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Bali United vs Pacific Caesar Surabaya Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 86-73
18-21 21-19 24-17 23-16
Position#7
Record7-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#14
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game92.7
IndonesiaIBL· GOR Merpati
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bali United v Pacific Caesar Surabaya
12 Mar 2025
BALI89
PACI94
12 May 2024
BALI86
PACI73
10 Jun 2023
BALI74
PACI69
04 Feb 2023
BALI80
PACI72
29 Mar 2021
BALI87
PACI45
12 Mar 2021
BALI75
PACI47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bali United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pacific Caesar Surabaya winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bali UnitedIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Satria Muda
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
75avg 69
A03/03
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 69
A06/03
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
54-92
54
92
-38
40avg 69
A09/03
IBL
Satya Wacana
#12
W
69-67
69
67
+2
56avg 69
H16/03
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 69
H17/03
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#9
W
82-66
82
66
+16
86avg 69
A22/03
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
60avg 69
A19/04
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
81-113
81
113
-32
74avg 69
A21/04
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 69
A04/05
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
74avg 69
H11/05
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
17-20
34-31
15-26
21-21
19-19
21-17
15-13
13-18
15-26
13-26
13-22
14-16
14-19
22-18
19-14
21-24
21-18
16-25
17-18
22-19
16-7
26-26
18-14
10-24
22-20
18-18
20-29
25-34
22-22
21-33
13-24
16-29
21-16
23-28
19-15
25-21
15-14
19-22
14-16
161.7Avg total
75.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.380.3156.6-3.947%
Season at home (6)78.071.2149.2+6.867%
Season away (9)75.286.3161.6-11.133%
Last 10 (10)75.786.0161.7-10.330%
Last 5 (5)79.089.0168.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.286.3158.5-14.19%
vs Similar (7)81.074.1155.1+6.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.766.3147.0+14.375%
This opponent (Pacific Caesar Surabaya) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pacific Caesar SurabayaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSurabaya
Date
Competition
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H28/01
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
89-107
89
107
-18
91avg 68
A31/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
no box
A02/02
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
52avg 68
A03/03
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
95-130
95
130
-35
86avg 68
A06/03
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#11
L
71-102
71
102
-31
61avg 68
A08/03
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
L
87-107
87
107
-20
80avg 68
H15/03
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 68
H17/03
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
65avg 68
H01/05
IBL
Hangtuah
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 68
H05/05
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-27
13-18
28-20
29-28
13-28
18-25
29-26
19-23
18-21
21-15
19-18
14-15
15-27
15-15
19-22
19-39
26-29
20-41
30-21
12-22
14-34
28-22
17-24
26-28
19-25
25-29
17-25
17-30
17-18
25-13
11-21
18-26
15-25
22-30
20-14
17-17
28-17
20-29
11-15
176.7Avg total
80.8Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.492.7171.1-14.38%
Season at home (7)77.788.7166.4-11.00%
Season away (6)79.297.3176.5-18.217%
Last 10 (10)80.895.9176.7-15.110%
Last 5 (5)75.892.8168.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.686.3158.9-13.712%
vs Similar (4)82.083.0165.0-1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bali United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
Bali UnitedPacific Caesar Surabaya
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bali UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Satria Muda
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/03
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/03
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/03
IBL
Satya Wacana
#12
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H16/03
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/03
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#9
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A22/03
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/04
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A21/04
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/05
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H11/05
IBL
78.2Avg total
37.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.777.4+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.138.076.1+0.150%-
Last 30 away (18)40.937.478.3+3.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.178.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.744.581.3-7.818%-
vs Similar (7)43.936.680.4+7.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.232.072.2+8.258%-
This opponent (Pacific Caesar Surabaya) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pacific Caesar SurabayaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/01
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A31/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A02/02
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A03/03
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A06/03
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#11
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A08/03
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H15/03
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H17/03
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H01/05
IBL
Hangtuah
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/05
IBL
87.9Avg total
38.0Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.444.681.0-8.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.444.082.4-5.627%-
Last 30 away (15)34.545.179.6-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)38.049.987.9-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)36.648.485.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.744.880.5-9.019%-
vs Similar (4)41.043.284.2-2.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bali United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bali Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bali United: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.819.4
42.4%
50.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.7
27.1%
29.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.115.4
66.7%
64.7%15.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pacific Caesar Surabayatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pacific Caesar Surabaya: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.0
49.0%
50.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.3
26.7%
29.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
64.7%13.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bali United
LLLLWLWLWL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
LLLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#14
-13.8
Net rating
-22.4
92.4
Offensive rating
94.1
106.2
Defensive rating
116.5
41.8%
Effective FG%
45.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.1%
3-point %
26.7%
71.6%
Assist %
70.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 94.1Defence106.2 · 116.5Shooting41.8% · 45.4%3-point %27.1% · 26.7%Ball care17.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Bali United   ■ Pacific Caesar Surabaya
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bali United wins
0
Pacific Caesar Surabaya wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HBumi Borneo83-87 OT
04/05/24AKesatria Bengawan Solo79-88
21/04/24ADewa United81-113
19/04/24APrawira Bandung70-91
22/03/24ARajawali Medan82-66
17/03/24HSatria Muda75-85
16/03/24HSatya Wacana69-67
09/03/24APelita Jaya54-92
06/03/24ATangerang Hawks76-70
03/03/24ASatria Muda88-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HHangtuah76-78
01/05/24HDewa United75-95
17/03/24HBumi Borneo70-82
15/03/24HSatria Muda87-107
08/03/24ATangerang Hawks71-102
06/03/24ADewa United95-130
03/03/24APrawira Bandung63-79
02/02/24ABumi Borneo92-86 OT
31/01/24APelita Jaya89-107
28/01/24HBima Perkasa Yogyakarta90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bali United
IBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%67%33%
Points / game76.378.075.2
Allowed / game80.371.286.3
Point differential-3.9+6.8-11.1
Avg total156.6149.2161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%17%0%
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
IBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%0%17%
Points / game78.477.779.2
Allowed / game92.788.797.3
Point differential-14.3-11.0-18.2
Avg total171.1166.4176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pelita Jaya1413193%90.374.0+16.3
2 Dewa United1312192%99.777.9+21.8
3 Kesatria Bengawan Solo1312192%82.169.8+12.2
4 Prawira Bandung139469%77.971.5+6.5
5 Satria Muda159660%88.080.3+7.7
6 RANS PIK148657%81.180.4+0.7
7 Bali United157847%76.380.3-3.9
8 Rajawali Medan1881044%74.481.3-6.9
9 Hangtuah146843%77.977.5+0.4
10 Bumi Borneo1661038%79.782.6-2.9
11 Tangerang Hawks1441029%79.780.8-1.1
12 Satya Wacana1541127%67.877.9-10.1
13 Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta1521313%65.385.5-20.1
14 Pacific Caesar Surabaya131128%78.492.7-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bali United1821242386
Pacific Caesar Surabaya2119171673
← all games of the day
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