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Bali United vs Satria Muda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 86-96
24-26 18-23 23-26 21-21
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game77.2
Bali United
Indonesia
vs
Satria Muda 🏆
Indonesia
Position#4
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game71.7
IndonesiaIBL· Purna Krida Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bali United v Satria Muda
09 Feb 2025
BALI86
SATR96
17 Mar 2024
BALI75
SATR85
06 Jul 2023
BALI61
SATR73
27 May 2023
BALI62
SATR80
10 Apr 2021
BALI55
SATR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bali United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Satria Muda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bali UnitedIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
72avg 70
H30/06
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
79avg 70
A06/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
66-96
66
96
-30
57avg 70
H18/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
64avg 70
A20/07
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 70
A11/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
60avg 70
H15/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 70
A25/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
68avg 70
A26/01
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
64-74
64
74
-10
44avg 70
A02/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
71-54
71
54
+17
64avg 70
H07/02
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
20-27
14-22
20-22
26-19
20-14
21-19
18-16
12-24
19-18
17-31
18-23
19-23
28-16
9-20
15-23
22-20
19-12
20-19
26-25
17-16
18-20
9-22
23-19
18-22
21-21
27-20
16-24
19-22
27-22
17-28
20-23
16-18
19-17
14-16
15-23
12-13
17-14
25-20
17-7
154.9Avg total
75.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.777.2152.8-1.533%
Season at home (2)69.065.5134.5+3.550%
Season away (4)79.083.0162.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)75.179.8154.9-4.730%
Last 5 (5)73.477.4150.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.988.7163.6-13.86%
vs Similar (5)80.080.6160.6-0.640%
vs Weaker (9)85.671.8157.3+13.8100%
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Satria MudaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuda
Date
Competition
Dewa United
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 85
A27/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
W
84-71
84
71
+13
75avg 85
H01/08
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
54avg 85
A03/08
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 85
A04/08
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 85
A11/01
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 85
H17/01
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
90-56
90
56
+34
88avg 85
H19/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 85
H31/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
104-67
104
67
+37
106avg 85
H01/02
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 85
A07/02
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
25-23
16-31
27-15
15-21
24-17
23-19
22-14
12-17
23-21
23-26
12-18
23-15
3-23
22-16
17-19
24-20
24-13
20-20
12-23
21-17
19-19
20-25
20-13
16-12
23-16
18-16
33-12
31-21
15-25
21-12
18-14
35-11
18-18
26-16
25-22
23-24
26-26
29-20
16-15
158.5Avg total
84.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.871.7160.5+17.2100%
Season at home (4)89.867.2157.0+22.5100%
Season away (2)87.080.5167.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.474.1158.5+10.380%
Last 5 (5)90.670.8161.4+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)82.678.8161.4+3.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.574.9165.4+15.777%
This opponent (Bali United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
Bali UnitedSatria Muda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bali UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/06
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A06/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A20/07
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A11/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A26/01
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/02
IBL
76.6Avg total
39.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.779.7+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.239.378.5-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.740.180.8+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.073.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.142.982.0-3.825%-
vs Similar (5)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
vs Weaker (9)40.334.674.9+5.878%-
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Satria MudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dewa United
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H01/08
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/08
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/08
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A11/01
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/01
IBL
Satya Wacana
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H31/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H01/02
IBL
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A07/02
IBL
79.9Avg total
42.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.184.9+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.935.678.5+7.286%-
Last 30 away (16)48.242.290.4+6.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.579.9+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.883.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.439.980.2+0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.738.986.5+8.873%-
This opponent (Bali United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bali Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bali United: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.717.7
42.4%
48.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.4
31.1%
29.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.913.5
64.6%
65.5%13.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Satria Mudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Satria Muda: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.822.8
48.7%
48.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.7
31.4%
29.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.314.9
66.8%
65.5%14.9
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bali United
WLLLLWLLWL
Satria Muda
WWWWWWLLWW
#11
League position
#4
-6.1
Net rating
+12.9
92.3
Offensive rating
106.5
98.4
Defensive rating
93.6
44.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
31.4%
64.8%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 106.5Defence98.4 · 93.6Shooting44.1% · 48.2%3-point %31.1% · 31.4%Ball care19.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Bali United   ■ Satria Muda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bali United wins
8
Satria Muda wins
DateGameScore
17/03/24Bali United v Satria Muda75-85
03/03/24Satria Muda v Bali United101-88
08/07/23Satria Muda v Bali United75-67
06/07/23Bali United v Satria Muda61-73
27/05/23Bali United v Satria Muda62-80
31/01/23Satria Muda v Bali United85-65
10/03/22Satria Muda v Bali United57-54
10/04/21Bali United v Satria Muda55-59
Bali Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HBima Perkasa Yogyakarta71-54
02/02/25ATangerang Hawks64-74
26/01/25ARANS PIK83-95
25/01/25ABumi Borneo82-87
15/01/25HHangtuah67-77
11/01/25ARajawali Medan87-76
20/07/24APelita Jaya71-82
18/07/24HPelita Jaya66-96
06/07/24ABima Perkasa Yogyakarta85-68
30/06/24HPelita Jaya75-89
Satria Mudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25APacific Caesar Surabaya94-85
01/02/25HBumi Borneo104-67
31/01/25HHangtuah85-72
19/01/25HSatya Wacana90-56
17/01/25HKesatria Bengawan Solo80-74
11/01/25APrawira Bandung80-76
04/08/24APelita Jaya65-73
03/08/24APelita Jaya70-82
01/08/24HPelita Jaya84-71
27/07/24ADewa United92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bali United
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game75.769.079.0
Allowed / game77.265.583.0
Point differential-1.5+3.5-4.0
Avg total152.8134.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Satria Muda
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.889.887.0
Allowed / game71.767.280.5
Point differential+17.2+22.5+6.5
Avg total160.5157.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Satria Muda660100%88.871.7+17.2
2 Pelita Jaya330100%77.066.0+11.0
3 Hangtuah86275%79.268.8+10.5
4 RANS PIK75271%81.374.0+7.3
5 Prawira Bandung75271%74.770.9+3.9
6 Dewa United85362%92.983.9+9.0
7 Kesatria Bengawan Solo74357%79.072.3+6.7
8 Tangerang Hawks74357%75.676.4-0.9
9 Bumi Borneo74357%82.485.9-3.4
10 Bali United62433%75.777.2-1.5
11 Satya Wacana82625%64.173.8-9.6
12 Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta71614%65.181.7-16.6
13 Pacific Caesar Surabaya81712%76.483.8-7.4
14 Rajawali Medan7070%66.984.9-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bali United2418232186
Satria Muda2623262196
← all games of the day
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