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Ball State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 92-74
40-46 52-28
Position#226
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game58.2
vs
Position#277
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas-Pine Bluff winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H09/03
NCAA
Goshen
#671
W
101-40
101
40
+61
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
92-51
92
51
+41
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
50-74
50
74
-24
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
50-37
37-27
31-48
41-36
42-51
35-40
46-47
32-54
38-36
48-14
53-26
38-36
35-32
41-20
51-31
27-30
23-44
32-25
43-33
147.5Avg total
77.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.258.2136.4+20.080%
Season at home (4)85.254.2139.5+31.0100%
Season away (1)50.074.0124.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)77.570.0147.5+7.550%
Last 5 (5)78.258.2136.4+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.579.3157.8-0.850%
vs Similar (5)70.271.8142.0-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)77.567.6145.1+9.979%
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#273
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H03/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri
#345
L
79-101
79
101
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
116-73
116
73
+43
H10/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#595
W
112-68
112
68
+44
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A14/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
81-100
81
100
-19
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
26-32
34-36
40-42
34-26
29-41
29-26
29-37
40-57
39-44
54-32
62-41
56-34
56-34
39-43
46-40
41-50
40-50
36-51
31-35
157.7Avg total
79.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.085.2175.2+4.850%
Season at home (3)103.080.3183.3+22.767%
Season away (3)77.090.0167.0-13.033%
Last 10 (10)79.478.3157.7+1.130%
Last 5 (5)92.282.0174.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)60.083.7143.7-23.70%
vs Similar (13)66.271.8137.9-5.623%
vs Weaker (12)75.871.2147.0+4.758%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +0.2+0.2
Ball StateArkansas-Pine Bluff
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H09/03
NCAA
Goshen
#671
W
48-14
48
14
+34
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
36.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.368.4+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.232.168.2+4.161%-
Last 30 away (12)36.132.768.8+3.475%-
Last 10 (10)36.331.567.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.225.062.2+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.337.071.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (5)33.034.067.0-1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.530.467.9+7.279%-
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#273
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri
#345
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#595
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A22/11
NCAA
78.3Avg total
39.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.369.4+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.829.967.7+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)32.338.771.1-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.778.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.087.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.043.774.7-12.70%-
vs Similar (13)31.133.764.8-2.662%-
vs Weaker (12)37.033.870.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ball State wins
0
Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins
No previous meetings.
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HUSC Upstate75-58
18/11/23AEvansville50-74
15/11/23HOakland City92-51
11/11/23HOld Dominion73-68
08/11/23HGoshen101-40
09/03/23HOhio70-90
03/03/23HToledo81-87
01/03/23AAkron83-87
25/02/23AEastern Michigan68-75
22/02/23HKent State82-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AMinnesota67-86
19/11/23HIncarnate Word81-100
14/11/23ACentral Arkansas85-83
12/11/23HSouthwestern Christian112-68
10/11/23HChampion Christian Tigers116-73
07/11/23AMissouri79-101
04/03/23HAlcorn State58-63
03/03/23HJackson State63-67
26/02/23AMiss. Valley St.74-78
21/02/23ATexas Southern59-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game78.285.250.0
Allowed / game58.254.274.0
Point differential+20.0+31.0-24.0
Avg total136.4139.5124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game90.0103.077.0
Allowed / game85.280.390.0
Point differential+4.8+22.7-13.0
Avg total175.2183.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State54180%78.258.2+20.0
2 Northern Illinois54180%87.276.4+10.8
3 UMass43175%89.572.5+17.0
4 Kent State64267%82.871.7+11.2
5 Ohio32167%79.068.0+11.0
6 Akron64267%77.566.7+10.8
7 Miami (Ohio)32167%72.362.3+10.0
8 Toledo53260%82.876.8+6.0
9 Eastern Michigan53260%65.477.6-12.2
10 Bowling Green42250%70.070.5-0.5
11 Central Michigan62433%64.874.5-9.7
12 Buffalo61517%70.584.0-13.5
13 Western Michigan4040%65.273.2-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bethune-Cookman43175%89.065.5+23.5
2 Prairie View A&M64267%74.570.7+3.8
3 Arkansas-Pine Bluff63350%90.085.2+4.8
4 Grambling St.62433%71.080.7-9.7
5 Alabama A&M Bulldogs41325%78.283.0-4.8
6 Alabama State51420%76.681.8-5.2
7 Southern Univ.51420%71.890.4-18.6
8 Jackson State61517%65.882.2-16.3
9 Alcorn State71614%69.184.4-15.3
10 Texas Southern5050%50.672.8-22.2
11 Florida A&M4040%57.585.5-28.0
12 Miss. Valley St.5050%49.488.4-39.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State405292
Arkansas-Pine Bluff462874
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