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Evansville vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-50
30-27 44-23
Position#225
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game55.7
vs
Position#226
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game53.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Evansville v Ball State
03 Dec 2025
EVAN64
BALL52
18 Nov 2023
EVAN74
BALL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
58-97
58
97
-39
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#698
W
116-46
116
46
+70
H10/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-26
28-33
27-30
33-36
28-46
35-49
24-27
34-47
32-40
44-42
28-31
25-41
28-46
30-51
32-34
40-30
61-29
55-17
39-28
37-29
141.5Avg total
70.3Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.055.7143.7+32.3100%
Season at home (2)94.055.0149.0+39.0100%
Season away (1)76.057.0133.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.371.2141.5-0.940%
Last 5 (5)75.067.2142.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)62.677.0139.6-14.415%
vs Similar (1)72.064.0136.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker (2)96.051.5147.5+44.5100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H09/03
NCAA
Goshen
#671
W
101-40
101
40
+61
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
92-51
92
51
+41
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-33
44-44
29-36
39-42
32-33
50-37
37-27
31-48
41-36
42-51
35-40
46-47
32-54
38-36
48-14
53-26
38-36
35-32
41-20
51-31
152.8Avg total
80.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.753.0141.7+35.7100%
Season at home (3)88.753.0141.7+35.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.572.3152.8+8.250%
Last 5 (5)83.467.2150.6+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.579.3157.8-0.850%
vs Similar (7)69.070.0139.0-1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.267.8147.0+11.582%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +3.5+3.5
EvansvilleBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis College of Pharmacy
#698
W
61-29
61
29
+32
H10/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A16/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.336.867.0-6.517%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.235.667.9-3.418%-
Last 30 away (13)27.738.265.9-10.515%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.767.9+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)28.737.566.2-8.711%-
vs Similar (1)32.034.066.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (2)50.028.578.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H09/03
NCAA
Goshen
#671
W
48-14
48
14
+34
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H15/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.868.9+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.332.869.1+3.656%-
Last 30 away (12)35.832.868.6+3.175%-
Last 10 (10)37.632.970.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.832.871.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.337.071.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (7)32.034.166.1-2.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.530.769.2+7.882%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Evansville wins
1
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Ball State v Evansville88-69
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23ASoutheast Missouri State76-57
10/11/23HSt. Louis College of Pharmacy116-46
07/11/23HMiami (FL)72-64
02/03/23AIndiana State58-97
26/02/23AIllinois State53-72
23/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)76-82
18/02/23AMurray State58-74
16/02/23ABelmont63-95
12/02/23HMissouri State60-66
09/02/23HNorthern Iowa71-59
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HOakland City92-51
11/11/23HOld Dominion73-68
08/11/23HGoshen101-40
09/03/23HOhio70-90
03/03/23HToledo81-87
01/03/23AAkron83-87
25/02/23AEastern Michigan68-75
22/02/23HKent State82-70
18/02/23AWestern Michigan68-78
15/02/23HNorthern Illinois87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.094.076.0
Allowed / game55.755.057.0
Point differential+32.3+39.0+19.0
Avg total143.7149.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.788.7-
Allowed / game53.053.0-
Point differential+35.7+35.7-
Avg total141.7141.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville330100%88.055.7+32.3
2 Southern Illinois330100%83.360.0+23.3
3 Drake220100%86.068.5+17.5
4 Bradley330100%77.066.7+10.3
5 Indiana State32167%88.773.0+15.7
6 Murray State32167%83.372.0+11.3
7 Illinois State32167%71.765.7+6.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)32167%72.069.0+3.0
9 Northern Iowa21150%83.566.5+17.0
10 Valparaiso42250%71.068.2+2.8
11 Belmont42250%81.586.2-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State330100%88.753.0+35.7
2 Akron330100%89.061.7+27.3
3 Toledo330100%86.371.7+14.7
4 Kent State43175%91.575.5+16.0
5 Northern Illinois43175%84.572.2+12.2
6 UMass32167%89.776.7+13.0
7 Miami (Ohio)21150%70.561.5+9.0
8 Ohio21150%83.076.0+7.0
9 Bowling Green42250%70.070.5-0.5
10 Eastern Michigan42250%62.879.0-16.2
11 Buffalo31233%77.081.7-4.7
12 Central Michigan41325%64.580.0-15.5
13 Western Michigan3030%68.373.3-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville304474
Ball State272350
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