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Ball State vs South Dakota St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-68
40-39 24-29
Position#288
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#254
Record5-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Dakota St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Mansfield
#469
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A23/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-41
43-38
28-29
47-35
32-28
52-26
26-39
29-47
35-37
27-31
28-27
24-43
29-35
44-45
15-23
22-32
38-38
58-47
32-33
20-31
135.7Avg total
65.2Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)65.169.6134.7-4.433%
Season at home (4)79.267.8147.0+11.575%
Season away (5)53.871.0124.8-17.20%
Last 10 (10)65.270.5135.7-5.330%
Last 5 (5)62.070.8132.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.580.0150.5-9.517%
vs Similar (12)68.773.6142.2-4.925%
vs Weaker (10)76.570.6147.1+5.970%
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A04/11
NCAA
Dakota St.
#406
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Peru State
#611
W
94-46
94
46
+48
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
105-58
105
58
+47
H22/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
52-75
52
75
-23
H25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A27/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A04/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
37-33
38-33
30-29
25-28
33-37
34-40
35-43
46-22
48-24
53-19
52-39
24-29
28-46
22-29
30-35
36-26
39-36
44-41
37-43
139.4Avg total
72.9Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.966.5139.4+6.450%
Season at home (5)80.065.0145.0+15.060%
Season away (5)65.868.0133.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)72.966.5139.4+6.450%
Last 5 (5)73.068.6141.6+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.068.0122.0-14.00%
vs Similar (11)78.677.6156.3+1.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.373.8155.1+7.564%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
Ball StateSouth Dakota St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Mansfield
#469
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
15-23
15
23
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/12
NCAA
61.6Avg total
28.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.867.7+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.033.570.5+3.544%-
Last 30 away (14)30.434.164.6-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)28.633.061.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)28.431.259.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.239.071.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (12)32.832.665.3+0.233%-
vs Weaker (10)36.131.867.9+4.350%-
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A04/11
NCAA
Dakota St.
#406
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Peru State
#611
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
53-19
53
19
+34
H22/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A04/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/12
NCAA
66.0Avg total
36.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.273.2+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.733.175.7+9.680%-
Last 30 away (15)33.437.370.7-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.030.066.0+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.864.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)23.728.752.3-5.00%-
vs Similar (11)37.039.376.3-2.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.734.775.4+6.064%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ball State wins
0
South Dakota St. wins
No previous meetings.
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AEvansville52-64
30/11/25HLe Moyne96-85
29/11/25ALafayette37-55
28/11/25AMonmouth73-80
23/11/25AIndiana State52-70
16/11/25HUALR62-68
12/11/25AWisconsin55-86
08/11/25HMansfield84-54
04/11/25HLouisiana Lafayette75-64
07/03/25AMiami (Ohio)66-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HIdaho81-84
04/12/25ANorthern Arizona75-62
27/11/25AUC Irvine52-64
25/11/25HUtah Valley State52-75
22/11/25HGeorgia State105-58
18/11/25HPeru State94-46
13/11/25AOregon69-83
09/11/25ANorthern Iowa58-65
07/11/25HDakota St.68-62
04/11/25AMerrimack Warriors75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%75%0%
Points / game65.179.253.8
Allowed / game69.667.871.0
Point differential-4.4+11.5-17.2
Avg total134.7147.0124.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Dakota St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game72.980.065.8
Allowed / game66.565.068.0
Point differential+6.4+15.0-2.2
Avg total139.4145.0133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)880100%95.466.8+28.6
2 Buffalo109190%78.271.2+7.0
3 Akron108280%95.474.8+20.6
4 Kent State108280%97.881.6+16.2
5 Bowling Green107370%88.365.8+22.5
6 UMass96367%78.271.2+7.0
7 Eastern Michigan106460%72.670.0+2.6
8 Toledo95456%84.077.9+6.1
9 Western Michigan105550%76.778.3-1.6
10 Ball State93633%65.169.6-4.4
11 Central Michigan93633%74.278.7-4.4
12 Northern Illinois93633%73.479.8-6.3
13 Ohio93633%73.981.0-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St107370%79.467.3+12.1
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)117464%77.672.6+5.0
3 South Dakota St.105550%72.966.5+6.4
4 South Dakota Coyotes105550%83.680.2+3.4
5 Nebraska O.114736%75.779.4-3.6
6 Oral Roberts114736%76.081.1-5.1
7 Denver93633%76.088.0-12.0
8 North Dakota113827%73.279.1-5.9
9 UMKC91811%66.983.6-16.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State402464
South Dakota St.392968
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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