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Evansville vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-52
33-32 31-20
Position#362
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#288
Record3-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Evansville v Ball State
03 Dec 2025
EVAN64
BALL52
18 Nov 2023
EVAN74
BALL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H19/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
59-97
59
97
-38
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-34
30-28
29-35
24-39
22-41
29-41
44-25
48-25
39-26
37-21
28-36
44-41
34-35
42-49
30-28
43-41
36-44
23-53
29-40
30-38
138.4Avg total
66.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.873.0142.8-3.238%
Season at home (6)72.372.2144.5+0.233%
Season away (2)62.075.5137.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)66.472.0138.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)67.881.0148.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.674.4140.0-8.829%
vs Similar (4)59.558.0117.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#242
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Mansfield
#469
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A23/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-22
28-47
23-41
43-38
28-29
47-35
32-28
52-26
26-39
29-47
35-37
27-31
28-27
24-43
29-35
44-45
15-23
22-32
38-38
58-47
137.7Avg total
66.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.870.2137.0-3.538%
Season at home (4)79.267.8147.0+11.575%
Season away (4)54.272.8127.0-18.50%
Last 10 (10)66.771.0137.7-4.330%
Last 5 (5)64.071.6135.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.580.0150.5-9.517%
vs Similar (12)68.773.6142.2-4.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.972.4152.3+7.580%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -1.7-1.7
EvansvilleBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H13/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A22/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/11
NCAA
65.8Avg total
31.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.534.865.3-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.735.166.8-3.431%-
Last 30 away (14)29.234.463.6-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)31.434.465.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.436.668.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.036.166.1-6.221%-
vs Similar (4)28.531.259.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#242
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Mansfield
#469
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
15-23
15
23
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/11
NCAA
61.2Avg total
29.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.168.5+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.033.570.5+3.544%-
Last 30 away (14)31.534.866.3-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)29.331.961.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)29.032.061.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.239.071.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (12)32.832.665.3+0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.632.770.3+4.960%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Evansville wins
2
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Ball State v Evansville80-43
18/11/23Evansville v Ball State74-50
10/12/22Ball State v Evansville88-69
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HCharleston59-78
24/11/25HAkron59-97
22/11/25AOregon State73-69
19/11/25HUT Arlington76-84
13/11/25HMiddle Tenn. St.72-77
09/11/25HOakland City76-47
07/11/25HCalumet College92-50
04/11/25APurdue51-82
07/03/25AMurray State53-74
02/03/25AIllinois State53-62
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HLe Moyne96-85
29/11/25ALafayette37-55
28/11/25AMonmouth73-80
23/11/25AIndiana State52-70
16/11/25HUALR62-68
12/11/25AWisconsin55-86
08/11/25HMansfield84-54
04/11/25HLouisiana Lafayette75-64
07/03/25AMiami (Ohio)66-79
05/03/25HCentral Michigan67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %38%33%50%
Points / game69.872.362.0
Allowed / game73.072.275.5
Point differential-3.2+0.2-13.5
Avg total142.8144.5137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game66.879.254.2
Allowed / game70.267.872.8
Point differential-3.5+11.5-18.5
Avg total137.0147.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa87188%74.055.4+18.6
2 Belmont108280%82.470.4+12.0
3 Illinois State86275%78.966.0+12.9
4 Drake96367%80.864.4+16.3
5 Murray State96367%88.877.3+11.4
6 Valparaiso85362%70.469.0+1.4
7 Southern Illinois95456%80.073.4+6.6
8 Indiana State95456%75.870.7+5.1
9 Bradley95456%74.369.8+4.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)84450%78.672.4+6.2
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)770100%95.767.6+28.1
2 Buffalo880100%78.869.5+9.2
3 Akron97278%96.275.2+21.0
4 Kent State97278%96.383.1+13.2
5 Bowling Green86275%85.165.8+19.4
6 Toledo85362%82.475.4+7.0
7 UMass85362%78.072.6+5.4
8 Eastern Michigan95456%71.172.4-1.3
9 Western Michigan94544%76.078.9-2.9
10 Central Michigan83538%75.475.1+0.2
11 Ball State83538%66.870.2-3.5
12 Northern Illinois83538%75.879.2-3.5
13 Ohio82625%72.181.0-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville333164
Ball State322052
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