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Miami (Ohio) vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-66
41-23 38-43
Position#41
Record22-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#243
Record14-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Ball State
19 Dec 2026
MIAM v BALL
upcoming
07 Mar 2025
MIAM79
BALL66
17 Feb 2024
MIAM80
BALL59
19 Jan 2021
MIAM81
BALL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H26/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
38-43
37-34
39-36
32-29
37-33
45-30
47-50
32-30
38-48
23-35
43-41
44-41
38-41
46-28
41-30
33-40
33-35
47-35
37-34
150.8Avg total
77.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.173.1154.2+8.173%
Season at home (15)90.072.1162.1+17.993%
Season away (15)72.374.0146.3-1.753%
Last 10 (10)77.972.9150.8+5.070%
Last 5 (5)79.874.0153.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.779.0154.7-3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.571.6154.1+10.975%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
44-44
36-38
37-43
35-37
42-39
40-33
35-42
38-20
38-56
35-28
31-39
41-36
39-30
39-47
43-40
24-25
28-36
39-22
28-47
151.1Avg total
76.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.774.0149.7+1.647%
Season at home (17)79.073.8152.8+5.253%
Season away (13)71.374.4145.7-3.138%
Last 10 (10)76.175.0151.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)69.470.0139.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.279.4153.6-5.220%
vs Similar (10)72.075.7147.7-3.730%
vs Weaker (13)77.271.6148.8+5.562%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -5.1-5.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -5.1-5.1
Miami (Ohio)Ball State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H26/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A05/03
NCAA
70.2Avg total
37.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.234.574.7+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.032.578.5+13.587%-
Last 30 away (15)34.536.570.9-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.870.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)34.039.773.7-5.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.833.275.0+8.675%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#333
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
37.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.270.6+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.133.071.1+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)34.135.869.8-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.231.869.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.667.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.038.675.6-1.640%-
vs Similar (10)34.234.468.6-0.240%-
vs Weaker (13)37.032.269.2+4.862%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami (Ohio) wins
2
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ABuffalo84-69
01/03/25AOhio66-75
26/02/25HNorthern Illinois87-58
22/02/25HKent State96-92 OT
18/02/25AEastern Michigan66-76
15/02/25AWestern Michigan70-78
12/02/25HToledo92-80
08/02/25HTroy69-62
05/02/25ACentral Michigan76-70
01/02/25HOhio73-69
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HCentral Michigan67-69
01/03/25ABowling Green52-61
26/02/25HAkron82-87
22/02/25HBuffalo80-66
19/02/25AToledo66-67
15/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-83 OT
12/02/25HEastern Michigan86-84 OT
08/02/25HSouthern Miss77-76
05/02/25AAkron73-81
01/02/25ABuffalo89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%93%53%
Points / game81.190.072.3
Allowed / game73.172.174.0
Point differential+8.1+17.9-1.7
Avg total154.2162.1146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWWWLL53%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %47%53%38%
Points / game75.779.071.3
Allowed / game74.073.874.4
Point differential+1.6+5.2-3.1
Avg total149.7152.8145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%35%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron3024680%83.974.4+9.5
2 Miami (Ohio)3022873%81.173.1+8.1
3 Kent State30201067%74.068.3+5.7
4 Ohio30161453%79.675.4+4.1
5 Toledo30161453%77.679.3-1.7
6 Eastern Michigan30161453%73.776.4-2.7
7 Central Michigan30141647%75.371.8+3.5
8 Ball State30141647%75.774.0+1.6
9 Bowling Green30141647%74.173.5+0.5
10 UMass30121840%73.774.9-1.2
11 Western Michigan30111937%72.576.6-4.0
12 Buffalo3092130%71.980.7-8.8
13 Northern Illinois3052517%70.576.7-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)413879
Ball State234366
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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