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Ballarat W vs Eltham W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 75-66
28-19 13-22 14-15 20-10
Position#5
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.6
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game76.1
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Ballarat W v Eltham W
20 Jul 2024
BALL97
ELTH83
11 May 2024
BALL75
ELTH66
02 Jul 2023
BALL87
ELTH91
30 Apr 2022
BALL78
ELTH67
31 Jul 2021
BALL63
ELTH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
46-88
46
88
-42
H03/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-24
15-23
22-16
24-23
12-28
25-12
20-25
17-29
11-18
19-26
28-18
16-23
12-23
11-25
7-17
25-25
26-29
17-22
27-9
19-17
10-17
18-15
17-18
29-16
19-25
25-22
20-21
12-26
8-14
23-20
18-19
12-18
20-20
14-11
19-23
–
–
–
–
141.7Avg total
65.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)60.670.7131.3-10.129%
Season at home (3)78.085.7163.7-7.767%
Season away (4)47.559.5107.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)65.975.8141.7-9.920%
Last 5 (5)56.664.4121.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)62.380.5142.9-18.20%
vs Similar (7)77.170.4147.6+6.771%
vs Weaker (1)61.079.0140.0-18.00%
This opponent (Eltham W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
95-70
95
70
+25
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
19-28
24-20
11-18
10-19
28-14
15-6
22-14
16-20
10-22
16-12
15-26
22-23
20-26
25-28
23-20
16-17
5-15
25-20
16-14
15-26
25-20
22-26
22-21
24-10
12-12
18-15
30-22
23-16
23-16
21-15
18-22
24-15
23-12
21-15
27-28
25-26
22-22
20-17
22-14
154.9Avg total
79.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.176.1160.3+8.057%
Season at home (4)87.076.0163.0+11.075%
Season away (3)80.376.3156.7+4.033%
Last 10 (10)79.175.8154.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)87.474.0161.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.087.9154.9-20.90%
vs Similar (10)71.368.9140.2+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.570.3156.8+16.292%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Ballarat WEltham W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H03/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
78.9Avg total
34.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.242.777.9-7.517%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.845.584.3-6.720%-
Last 30 away (14)31.439.871.1-8.414%-
Last 10 (9)34.944.078.9-9.111%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.477.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.444.378.7-9.910%-
vs Similar (7)39.738.478.1+1.343%-
vs Weaker (1)20.040.060.0-20.00%-
This opponent (Eltham W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eltham WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
76.3Avg total
37.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.177.9+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.437.779.1+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.238.576.7-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.576.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.078.2+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.746.181.9-10.414%-
vs Similar (10)39.937.177.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.934.676.5+7.369%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ballarat W wins
2
Eltham W wins
DateGameScore
02/07/23Ballarat W v Eltham W87-91
30/04/22Ballarat W v Eltham W78-67
31/07/21Ballarat W v Eltham W63-82
12/05/19Eltham W v Ballarat W72-80
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder W0-20
27/04/24AHobart Chargers W65-72
26/04/24ALaunceston W61-79
20/04/24HRingwood W93-84
14/04/24AMt. Gambier W64-67
07/04/24HGeelong W95-85
03/04/24HBendigo Braves W46-88
15/07/23ABendigo W75-91
09/07/23HDiamond Valley W81-88
08/07/23AGeelong W79-84
Eltham Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HRingwood W89-79
27/04/24AMelbourne Tigers W95-70
20/04/24HKilsyth W85-69
13/04/24HNunawading W84-59
10/04/24ADandenong Rangers W84-93
07/04/24AFrankston W62-66
06/04/24HDiamond Valley W90-97
30/07/23AWaverley W57-80
22/07/23AFrankston W75-53
16/07/23HMt. Gambier W70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game60.678.047.5
Allowed / game70.785.759.5
Point differential-10.1-7.7-12.0
Avg total131.3163.7107.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eltham W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game84.187.080.3
Allowed / game76.176.076.3
Point differential+8.0+11.0+4.0
Avg total160.3163.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt. Gambier W98189%83.266.0+17.2
2 Keilor Thunder W98189%75.758.6+17.1
3 Knox W76186%82.771.0+11.7
4 Dandenong Rangers W108280%79.773.5+6.2
5 Sandringham W97278%79.171.4+7.7
6 Bendigo Braves W107370%93.677.1+16.5
7 Ringwood W107370%82.578.1+4.4
8 Eltham W74357%84.176.1+8.0
9 Melbourne Tigers W95456%79.078.8+0.2
10 Frankston W94544%72.174.0-1.9
11 Hobart Chargers W93633%66.371.4-5.1
12 Diamond Valley W72529%76.384.3-8.0
13 Ballarat W72529%60.670.7-10.1
14 Geelong W82625%79.685.8-6.1
15 Casey Cavaliers W82625%69.887.2-17.5
16 Waverley W92722%72.481.3-8.9
17 Nunawading W92722%69.182.7-13.6
18 Launceston W81712%68.180.8-12.6
19 Kilsyth W81712%68.581.9-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat W2813142075
Eltham W1922151066
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