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Keilor Thunder W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 20-0
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#5
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game79.2
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Ballarat W
14 Jun 2025
KEIL93
BALL70
03 Aug 2024
KEIL96
BALL75
04 May 2024
KEIL20
BALL0
14 Apr 2023
KEIL64
BALL54
28 May 2022
KEIL85
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
103-53
103
53
+50
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
19-25
17-16
23-16
15-25
20-18
31-16
18-18
21-18
14-17
22-18
23-23
28-11
10-16
17-15
17-11
22-14
22-20
13-6
24-20
25-23
24-19
27-15
21-23
26-10
28-13
27-17
22-13
21-18
25-17
26-8
22-17
13-16
18-17
13-23
11-24
23-15
22-22
15-20
19-8
149.7Avg total
81.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.665.9148.5+16.888%
Season at home (4)93.264.5157.8+28.8100%
Season away (4)72.067.2139.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)81.768.0149.7+13.780%
Last 5 (5)85.667.6153.2+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.778.6146.3-10.926%
vs Similar (3)66.770.7137.3-4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.665.9148.5+16.888%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
46-88
46
88
-42
H03/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-24
22-25
22-19
21-21
21-24
15-23
22-16
24-23
12-28
25-12
20-25
17-29
11-18
19-26
28-18
16-23
12-23
11-25
7-17
25-25
26-29
17-22
27-9
19-17
10-17
18-15
17-18
29-16
19-25
25-22
20-21
12-26
8-14
23-20
18-19
12-18
20-20
14-11
19-23
157.5Avg total
74.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.779.2149.8-8.533%
Season at home (3)78.085.7163.7-7.767%
Season away (3)63.372.7136.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)74.682.9157.5-8.320%
Last 5 (5)75.677.4153.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.383.4148.7-18.10%
vs Similar (8)76.168.4144.5+7.875%
vs Weaker (1)61.079.0140.0-18.00%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
Keilor Thunder WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H28/04
NBL1 South Women
76.2Avg total
40.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.474.2-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.937.373.1-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)35.739.675.3-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.376.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.034.079.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.440.774.1-7.421%-
vs Similar (3)32.737.770.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.833.276.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H03/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
80.0Avg total
35.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.142.277.3-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.845.584.3-6.720%-
Last 30 away (15)31.538.970.3-7.420%-
Last 10 (10)35.744.380.0-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.477.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.444.378.7-9.910%-
vs Similar (8)38.936.975.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker (1)20.040.060.0-20.00%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keilor Thunder W wins
1
Ballarat W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HWaverley W79-65
26/04/24AMt. Gambier W55-80
21/04/24HLaunceston W94-60
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers W103-53
14/04/24HGeelong W97-80
11/04/24AKilsyth W81-60
09/04/24ADiamond Valley W72-53
05/04/24AFrankston W80-76
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers W84-77
15/07/23AGeelong W72-76
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AHobart Chargers W65-72
26/04/24ALaunceston W61-79
20/04/24HRingwood W93-84
14/04/24AMt. Gambier W64-67
07/04/24HGeelong W95-85
03/04/24HBendigo Braves W46-88
15/07/23ABendigo W75-91
09/07/23HDiamond Valley W81-88
08/07/23AGeelong W79-84
02/07/23HEltham W87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.693.272.0
Allowed / game65.964.567.2
Point differential+16.8+28.8+4.8
Avg total148.5157.8139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game70.778.063.3
Allowed / game79.285.772.7
Point differential-8.5-7.7-9.3
Avg total149.8163.7136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keilor Thunder W87188%82.665.9+16.8
2 Bendigo Braves W76186%100.775.4+25.3
3 Mt. Gambier W76186%81.464.3+17.1
4 Knox W65183%83.272.5+10.7
5 Ringwood W97278%82.976.9+6.0
6 Dandenong Rangers W97278%78.174.6+3.6
7 Sandringham W86275%80.172.5+7.6
8 Eltham W63350%83.375.7+7.7
9 Melbourne Tigers W84450%79.980.1-0.2
10 Hobart Chargers W83538%66.171.4-5.2
11 Frankston W83538%70.676.1-5.5
12 Geelong W62433%82.887.8-5.0
13 Ballarat W62433%70.779.2-8.5
14 Diamond Valley W72529%76.384.3-8.0
15 Casey Cavaliers W72529%70.988.3-17.4
16 Waverley W82625%74.079.9-5.9
17 Nunawading W82625%69.983.0-13.1
18 Launceston W81712%68.180.8-12.6
19 Kilsyth W6060%66.080.7-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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