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Ballarat W vs Kilsyth W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 79-77 (OT)
22-19 22-20 17-17 12-17 6-4
Position#13
Record5-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#15
Record5-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game81.6
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Ballarat W v Kilsyth W
05 Jul 2025
BALL79
KILS77
26 Jun 2021
BALL58
KILS86
21 May 2017
BALL55
KILS80
26 Apr 2015
BALL51
KILS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kilsyth W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
49-82
49
82
-33
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
56-100
56
100
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
50-79
50
79
-29
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
6-13
7-21
15-19
17-22
18-22
18-22
18-20
12-24
17-33
25-23
18-29
13-34
14-20
15-22
14-24
15-17
20-16
5-15
26-12
23-31
14-26
11-13
22-23
24-23
25-18
20-17
18-17
13-15
18-20
26-23
17-23
15-18
7-15
14-25
14-21
16-17
16-26
9-19
29-20
151.2Avg total
66.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.282.6152.8-12.429%
Season at home (8)64.579.9144.4-15.412%
Season away (9)75.285.0160.2-9.844%
Last 10 (10)66.584.7151.2-18.220%
Last 5 (5)70.282.0152.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.482.2155.6-8.943%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.777.2155.8+1.567%
vs Weaker (3)82.761.3144.0+21.3100%
This opponent (Kilsyth W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kilsyth WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
51-90
51
90
-39
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
24-22
21-17
14-18
22-26
19-21
19-25
18-22
24-23
21-24
15-16
22-19
19-15
23-22
10-28
15-25
3-18
22-20
19-18
17-12
26-14
12-23
23-15
18-25
19-22
11-13
15-24
18-19
19-29
20-20
31-17
24-19
8-29
17-18
14-27
12-16
19-20
19-22
22-27
13-14
156.6Avg total
73.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.581.6151.1-12.128%
Season at home (10)67.482.8150.2-15.420%
Season away (8)72.180.1152.2-8.038%
Last 10 (10)73.683.0156.6-9.430%
Last 5 (5)72.082.6154.6-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.383.8152.1-15.514%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.871.9143.6-0.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Ballarat WKilsyth W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
27-54
27
54
-27
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
76.3Avg total
32.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.479.3-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.638.373.9-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)39.944.184.0-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.976.3-11.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.876.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.342.979.2-6.524%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.542.283.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker (3)42.029.371.3+12.7100%-
This opponent (Kilsyth W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kilsyth WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#19
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
78.9Avg total
37.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.941.277.1-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.540.975.3-6.433%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.678.9-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.778.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.042.076.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.343.778.0-9.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.234.574.8+5.875%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ballarat W wins
7
Kilsyth W wins
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ARingwood W70-82
28/06/25HSandringham W50-79
21/06/25HFrankston W74-81
15/06/25ANunawading W87-75
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder W70-93
31/05/25ABendigo Braves W66-60
24/05/25HMt. Gambier W56-100
17/05/25ASandringham W72-109
11/05/25HDiamond Valley W71-86
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W49-82
Kilsyth Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HDandenong Rangers W73-83
22/06/25HGeelong W51-90
21/06/25AWaverley W94-85
14/06/25HMt. Gambier W63-78
06/06/25HBendigo Braves W79-77
31/05/25HKnox W61-68
25/05/25HFrankston W67-90
24/05/25AKeilor Thunder W86-92 OT
17/05/25ADiamond Valley W78-94
10/05/25HEltham W84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%12%44%
Points / game70.264.575.2
Allowed / game82.679.985.0
Point differential-12.4-15.4-9.8
Avg total152.8144.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kilsyth W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL28%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %28%20%38%
Points / game69.567.472.1
Allowed / game81.682.880.1
Point differential-12.1-15.4-8.0
Avg total151.1150.2152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W18180100%89.164.8+24.3
2 Keilor Thunder W1614288%81.871.5+10.3
3 Knox W1815383%81.866.6+15.2
4 Dandenong Rangers W1713476%86.072.8+13.2
5 Diamond Valley W1712571%85.577.4+8.1
6 Waverley W1711665%77.671.9+5.6
7 Melbourne Tigers W1811761%81.475.7+5.7
8 Frankston W1810856%76.271.8+4.4
9 Sandringham W179853%78.578.6-0.2
10 Ringwood W189950%78.376.3+1.9
11 Nunawading W178947%68.675.5-6.9
12 Casey Cavaliers W1771041%74.279.8-5.6
13 Mt. Gambier W1861233%68.276.3-8.2
14 Ballarat W1751229%70.282.6-12.4
15 Kilsyth W1851328%69.581.6-12.1
16 Hobart Chargers W1951426%71.480.6-9.3
17 Eltham W1731418%73.285.4-12.2
18 Launceston W1831517%73.282.4-9.2
19 Bendigo Braves W1931616%71.682.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ballarat W22221712679
Kilsyth W19201717477
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