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Bamberg vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-87
21-20 12-24 26-26 14-17
Position#19
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game94.0
Bamberg
vs
Benfica 🏆
Position#8
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game66.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bamberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBamberg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
W
88-87
88
87
+1
75avg 75
H13/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
115-114 OT
115
114
+1
no box
H17/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
57-89
57
89
-32
40avg 75
A22/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
98avg 75
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 75
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
77-67
77
67
+10
71avg 75
H08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
89-114
89
114
-25
77avg 75
A13/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 75
A15/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
55avg 75
H19/05
BBL
Budivelnyk
#15
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
no box
H23/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
27-22
22-19
23-26
19-18
18-25
28-22
23-23
8-23
16-18
17-23
16-25
29-19
21-16
25-31
19-15
23-16
22-18
16-8
23-26
19-15
19-23
27-9
12-20
20-25
25-36
30-31
14-22
11-18
23-29
29-27
22-23
18-27
18-34
18-23
16-19
19-18
15-23
23-19
25-22
177.0Avg total
85.6Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.094.0191.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)97.094.0191.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.691.4177.0-5.860%
Last 5 (5)83.695.0178.6-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)82.294.0176.2-11.825%
vs Similar (14)87.583.4170.9+4.171%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
89-72
89
72
+17
no box
H21/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
H23/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
A25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
79-58
79
58
+21
no box
H04/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
no box
H06/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
47-65
47
65
-18
no box
A09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
91-63
91
63
+28
no box
A11/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H17/09
Super Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#51
W
92-67
92
67
+25
86avg 79
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#42
W
73-65
73
65
+8
72avg 79
A23/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-18
19-10
25-24
27-26
18-12
22-16
26-26
25-14
10-19
24-12
16-15
17-14
23-12
22-15
17-17
15-10
13-11
16-11
12-16
18-22
15-15
5-13
9-15
23-16
17-17
24-14
27-16
28-33
9-15
17-21
30-20
14-19
28-23
29-16
21-9
13-16
21-15
17-21
22-13
144.6Avg total
77.9Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.566.0148.5+16.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)82.566.0148.5+16.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.966.7144.6+11.280%
Last 5 (5)77.469.8147.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)74.078.0152.0-4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)81.266.7147.9+14.584%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
BambergBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H17/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A22/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A13/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-61
36
61
-25
H19/05
BBL
Budivelnyk
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H23/09
Champions League
82.9Avg total
38.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.085.5-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.143.985.0-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.186.1-2.243%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.382.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.449.687.0-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.746.884.4-9.112%-
vs Similar (14)45.840.986.7+4.964%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H23/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H04/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H06/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H17/09
Super Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#51
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#42
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A23/09
Champions League
72.6Avg total
37.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.072.6+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.834.474.1+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)37.433.670.9+3.857%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.772.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.275.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.034.074.0+6.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.633.271.9+5.468%-
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.9
50.0%
51.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.0
32.4%
35.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.0
64.2%
74.3%12.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.5
53.4%
51.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.012.0
40.0%
35.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
74.3%13.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bamberg
WLLLWWWLWW
Benfica
WWLWLWWWWW
#19
League position
#8
-9.5
Net rating
+20.5
104.3
Offensive rating
113.7
113.8
Defensive rating
93.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
21.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.4%
3-point %
40.0%
62.6%
Assist %
80.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 113.7Defence113.8 · 93.2Shooting49.4% · 56.8%3-point %32.4% · 40.0%Ball care17.8% · 21.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 35.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bamberg   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bamberg wins
0
Benfica wins
No previous meetings.
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/22HBudivelnyk97-94 OT
19/05/22HAlba Berlin70-103
15/05/22AAlba Berlin85-97
13/05/22AAlba Berlin89-114
08/05/22HHamburg77-67
01/05/22HBasketball Braunschweig84-68
29/04/22AHeidelberg94-81
22/04/22AAlba Berlin57-89
17/04/22HUlm115-114 OT
13/04/22HGottingen88-87
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/22AKeravnos73-65
21/09/22AGolden Eagle Ylli92-67
17/09/22HSporting CP84-89
11/06/22AFC Porto91-63
09/06/22AFC Porto47-65
06/06/22HFC Porto56-48
04/06/22HFC Porto79-58
25/05/22AOliveirense75-60
23/05/22HOliveirense93-80
21/05/22HOliveirense89-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bamberg
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game94.094.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total191.0191.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
Benfica
Champions League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.5-82.5
Allowed / game66.0-66.0
Point differential+16.5-+16.5
Avg total148.5-148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%102.565.5+37.0
2 Chemnitz220100%94.573.5+21.0
3 Bakken Bears110100%83.065.0+18.0
4 Benfica220100%82.566.0+16.5
5 FMP Beograd220100%84.070.0+14.0
6 Tofas110100%68.057.0+11.0
7 Bamberg110100%97.094.0+3.0
8 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
9 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
10 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
11 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
12 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
13 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
14 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
15 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
16 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
17 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
18 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
19 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
20 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
21 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
22 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
23 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
24 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bamberg2112261473
Benfica2024261787
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