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Barcelos vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game70.2
PortugalProligaRound 16
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barcelos v Lusitania
24 Jan 2027
BARC v LUSI
upcoming
10 Oct 2015
BARC70
LUSI53
24 Jan 2015
BARC93
LUSI64
06 Apr 2014
BARC86
LUSI73
29 Mar 2013
BARC63
LUSI64
24 Mar 2012
BARC78
LUSI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
16-23
17-18
11-18
21-12
13-16
12-12
12-24
26-21
14-12
18-22
10-17
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
15-19
20-15
16-23
17-16
22-10
19-14
17-18
13-29
20-35
27-10
12-14
13-23
9-15
23-22
6-18
9-14
137.4Avg total
65.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.075.8142.8-8.825%
Season at home (2)64.074.0138.0-10.050%
Season away (2)70.077.5147.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)65.172.3137.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)64.873.8138.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)63.272.8136.0-9.619%
vs Similar (7)72.673.3145.9-0.757%
vs Weaker (2)66.056.0122.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#13
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
23-22
25-8
21-23
25-10
20-16
23-18
19-16
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
157.3Avg total
85.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.870.2149.0+8.575%
Season at home (2)75.071.5146.5+3.5100%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.871.5157.3+14.390%
Last 5 (5)80.869.8150.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (7)78.176.6154.7+1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.872.4159.1+14.490%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
BarcelosLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H16/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A17/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/10
Proliga
72.0Avg total
36.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.736.770.4-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.139.473.5-5.221%-
Last 30 away (16)33.334.467.8-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.772.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.270.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.638.071.6-4.338%-
vs Similar (7)34.736.170.9-1.429%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.057.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
80.3Avg total
44.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.479.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.533.674.1+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.284.3+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.635.780.3+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.076.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.939.677.4-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.636.279.8+7.471%-
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.2
49.2%
52.5%32.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.86.0
20.2%
29.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws24.216.0
66.0%
66.2%16.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.626.4
57.9%
52.5%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.0
32.0%
29.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.812.0
75.9%
66.2%12.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelos
LLWLLLWLLL
Lusitania
LWWWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#2
-10.0
Net rating
+16.4
71.6
Offensive rating
96.9
81.5
Defensive rating
80.5
40.2%
Effective FG%
54.7%
43.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.23
20.2%
3-point %
32.0%
47.2%
Assist %
65.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence71.6 · 96.9Defence81.5 · 80.5Shooting40.2% · 54.7%3-point %20.2% · 32.0%Ball care19.7% · 17.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Barcelos   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Barcelos wins
3
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
05/10/26Lusitania v Barcelos73-68
12/12/15Lusitania v Barcelos72-65
10/10/15Barcelos v Lusitania70-53
24/01/15Barcelos v Lusitania93-64
01/11/14Lusitania v Barcelos77-79
06/04/14Barcelos v Lusitania86-73
04/01/14Lusitania v Barcelos70-73
29/03/13Barcelos v Lusitania63-64
15/12/12Lusitania v Barcelos80-81 OT
24/03/12Barcelos v Lusitania78-55
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HSangalhos47-69
17/10/26AVasco Da Gama72-82
10/10/26HBarreirense81-79 OT
05/10/26ALusitania68-73
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62
22/04/16AOvarense68-72
17/04/16AFC Porto58-64
16/04/16HOvarense65-87
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
29/03/26HSampaense87-60
22/03/26HSangalhos89-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.064.070.0
Allowed / game75.874.077.5
Point differential-8.8-10.0-7.5
Avg total142.8138.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.875.082.5
Allowed / game70.271.569.0
Point differential+8.5+3.5+13.5
Avg total149.0146.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
6 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
7 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
8 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
9 Galitos Barreiro42250%71.573.2-1.8
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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