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Barcelos vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:30
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
PortugalProligaRound 16
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barcelos v Lusitania
24 Jan 2027
BARC v LUSI
upcoming
10 Oct 2015
BARC70
LUSI53
24 Jan 2015
BARC93
LUSI64
06 Apr 2014
BARC86
LUSI73
29 Mar 2013
BARC63
LUSI64
24 Mar 2012
BARC78
LUSI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelos
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
no box
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 59
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
72avg 59
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 59
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
28avg 59
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 59
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
55-87
55
87
-32
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
15-19
20-15
16-23
17-16
22-10
19-14
17-18
13-29
20-35
27-10
12-14
13-23
9-15
23-22
6-18
9-14
18-24
24-18
17-15
21-13
23-20
15-24
12-18
13-20
19-21
16-22
10-22
10-22
139.7Avg total
65.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.677.4144.0-10.929%
Season at home (3)63.776.7140.3-13.033%
Season away (4)68.878.0146.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)65.873.9139.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)63.478.0141.4-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)62.773.8136.5-11.118%
vs Similar (6)75.875.8151.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (2)66.056.0122.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 83
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 83
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 83
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 83
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 83
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 83
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 83
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 83
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +6.3+6.3
BarcelosLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.1Avg total
36.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.772.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.439.774.1-5.320%-
Last 30 away (15)34.535.770.2-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.474.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.138.572.6-4.436%-
vs Similar (6)36.838.775.5-1.817%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.057.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
52.5%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.07.4
23.9%
30.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.215.8
68.1%
67.3%15.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelos
LLWLLWLLLW
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#5
-5.9
Net rating
+13.5
75.7
Offensive rating
95.6
81.7
Defensive rating
82.1
42.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
23.9%
3-point %
32.3%
57.4%
Assist %
67.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence75.7 · 95.6Defence81.7 · 82.1Shooting42.0% · 53.2%3-point %23.9% · 32.3%Ball care18.7% · 16.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Barcelos   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Barcelos wins
3
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
05/10/26Lusitania v Barcelos73-68
12/12/15Lusitania v Barcelos72-65
10/10/15Barcelos v Lusitania70-53
24/01/15Barcelos v Lusitania93-64
01/11/14Lusitania v Barcelos77-79
06/04/14Barcelos v Lusitania86-73
04/01/14Lusitania v Barcelos70-73
29/03/13Barcelos v Lusitania63-64
15/12/12Lusitania v Barcelos80-81 OT
24/03/12Barcelos v Lusitania78-55
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAcademica55-87
07/11/26HIlliabum63-82
01/11/26ABenfica Lisboa B80-70
24/10/26HSangalhos47-69
17/10/26AVasco Da Gama72-82
10/10/26HBarreirense81-79 OT
05/10/26ALusitania68-73
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game66.663.768.8
Allowed / game77.476.778.0
Point differential-10.9-13.0-9.2
Avg total144.0140.3146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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