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Maia vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-77
28-18 8-26 25-15 21-18
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.0
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game66.3
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maia v Lusitania
24 Oct 2026
MAIA82
LUSI77
27 Dec 2025
MAIA85
LUSI81
16 Mar 2025
MAIA93
LUSI86
03 Jan 2021
MAIA65
LUSI76
27 Mar 2020
MAIA v LUSI
upcoming
18 Mar 2017
MAIA88
LUSI77
21 Jan 2017
MAIA82
LUSI89
05 Mar 2016
MAIA67
LUSI89
20 Feb 2016
MAIA72
LUSI79
26 Oct 2014
MAIA70
LUSI64
23 Mar 2014
MAIA60
LUSI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
84-49
84
49
+35
80avg 75
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
54avg 75
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 75
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
109-81
109
81
+28
102avg 75
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
96avg 75
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 75
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 75
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 75
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
67avg 75
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#5
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 75
A17/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
19-15
17-9
27-13
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
24-18
19-22
18-15
26-25
29-18
20-16
32-28
28-19
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
161.1Avg total
85.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.084.0166.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)105.096.0201.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)59.072.0131.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)85.275.9161.1+9.380%
Last 5 (5)79.075.4154.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.286.0160.2-11.825%
vs Similar (10)79.979.5159.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (16)87.369.1156.4+18.281%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
99-71
99
71
+28
78avg 80
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
89-69
89
69
+20
93avg 80
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-60
87
60
+27
87avg 80
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 80
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 80
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 80
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 80
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#13
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 80
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 80
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 80
H17/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
17-25
27-8
25-18
20-16
23-22
25-8
21-23
25-10
20-16
23-18
19-16
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
158.4Avg total
88.0Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.366.3145.7+13.0100%
Season at home (2)75.071.5146.5+3.5100%
Season away (1)88.056.0144.0+32.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.070.4158.4+17.6100%
Last 5 (5)82.469.2151.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (7)78.176.6154.7+1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.672.3159.0+14.390%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
MaiaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
78.2Avg total
42.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.677.9+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.779.0+5.780%-
Last 30 away (15)40.336.576.8+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.678.2+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.075.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.542.076.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (10)40.438.679.0+1.860%-
vs Weaker (16)43.633.977.6+9.788%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
81.5Avg total
44.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.679.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.734.174.8+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.041.684.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.936.681.5+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.479.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.939.677.4-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.636.580.0+7.171%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.719.8
45.3%
52.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
30.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.418.7
70.8%
67.3%18.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.327.3
59.0%
52.5%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.5
32.0%
30.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.6
74.1%
67.3%12.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWWWWWWWLW
Lusitania
WWWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#3
+9.5
Net rating
+18.9
89.7
Offensive rating
99.3
80.2
Defensive rating
80.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
32.0%
63.3%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 99.3Defence80.2 · 80.4Shooting48.1% · 55.6%3-point %35.3% · 32.0%Ball care16.5% · 16.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Maia   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Maia wins
5
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Maia v Lusitania85-81
31/10/25Lusitania v Maia69-65
16/03/25Maia v Lusitania93-86
25/01/25Lusitania v Maia82-69
09/12/23Lusitania v Maia76-82
03/04/21Lusitania v Maia93-67
03/01/21Maia v Lusitania65-76
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
18/03/17Maia v Lusitania88-77
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
29/03/26AGinasio109-81
28/03/26HGinasio87-80
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72
15/03/26HImortal B84-49
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
29/03/26HSampaense87-60
22/03/26HSangalhos89-69
15/03/26ASampaense99-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.0105.059.0
Allowed / game84.096.072.0
Point differential-2.0+9.0-13.0
Avg total166.0201.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.375.088.0
Allowed / game66.371.556.0
Point differential+13.0+3.5+32.0
Avg total145.7146.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lusitania330100%79.366.3+13.0
2 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
3 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
4 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
5 Sangalhos32167%76.064.3+11.7
6 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
7 Sampaense42250%83.277.2+6.0
8 Galitos Barreiro42250%71.573.2-1.8
9 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
10 Maia21150%82.084.0-2.0
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Barcelos31233%73.778.0-4.3
13 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica4040%74.281.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia288252182
Lusitania1826151877
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