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Barnaul vs Izhevsk Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Projected 84-82
Projected total 165.1
Final 90-74
24-16 20-10 22-23 24-25
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.9
Barnaul 🏆
Russia
Vs
57%
43%
■ BARN 57%■ IZHE 43%
Pythia win probability
Position#13
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game86.7
RussiaSuper League· Sport areal Pobeda
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barnaul v Izhevsk
05 Nov 2026
BARN90
IZHE74
15 Apr 2026
BARN63
IZHE78
31 Jan 2026
BARN77
IZHE79
28 Nov 2024
BARN88
IZHE85
28 Apr 2024
BARN66
IZHE76
03 Feb 2024
BARN74
IZHE67
01 Feb 2023
BARN85
IZHE77
17 Jan 2022
BARN103
IZHE83
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Barnaul faces Izhevsk in the Super League on 5 November 2026, with the model favouring Barnaul at 57% to 43% and projecting a close 84-82 finish; the spread is set at -3.0 with a 48% chance the home side covers, while the over line of 163.5 has a 53% probability of being hit, and a 5% chance of overtime. Barnaul has gone 2-5 in all seven games this season, averaging 78.6 points and conceding 83.9, while Izhevsk is 1-5 over six games, scoring 79.5 and allowing 86.7; both teams sit near the bottom of the standings at positions 10 and 12 respectively. At home Barnaul is 1-2, scoring 72.7 and giving up 78.3, and has won two of its last five, including a 78-67 win over Tambov on 2 November; Izhevsk is 1-3 on the road, with 78.2 points for and 86.0 against, and has only one win in its last five, a 78-63 victory over Barnaul on 15 April. The projected total of 165.1 points reflects the modest offensive output and defensive lapses both sides have shown so far this season.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barnaul winWon
57.3%fair 1.74
Best odds1.58
Implied60.1%
Edge-2.7pp
Izhevsk winLost
42.7%fair 2.34
Best odds2.33
Implied39.9%
Edge+2.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 14:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarnaulRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Metallurg
#11
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A14/04
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H15/04
Super League
Tambov
#13
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A16/04
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A01/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A04/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H12/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H15/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A22/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A25/10
Super League
Tambov
#7
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H02/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
11-12
12-21
17-24
15-17
17-24
16-18
15-19
16-12
22-16
23-24
33-23
20-28
22-17
11-29
26-18
19-25
17-20
22-25
23-21
14-13
16-26
22-26
18-21
17-24
17-14
21-31
15-13
21-23
17-22
19-16
21-13
26-24
20-28
26-19
22-24
30-12
14-12
15-16
19-27
157.9Avg total
76.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.683.9162.4-5.329%
Season at home (3)72.778.3151.0-5.733%
Season away (4)83.088.0171.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)76.281.7157.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)78.080.8158.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)74.684.0158.5-9.412%
vs Similar (5)80.877.0157.8+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Izhevsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IzhevskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A28/03
Super League
Tambov
#13
W
107-73
107
73
+34
H14/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A15/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A16/04
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A01/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A04/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H12/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H15/10
Super League
Tambov
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A25/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
85-103
85
103
-18
A02/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-21
13-27
30-22
24-13
31-20
26-19
26-21
17-15
24-17
18-16
19-15
14-18
16-19
30-21
23-23
22-18
17-26
13-17
23-26
18-16
14-15
19-25
26-15
24-20
22-20
15-29
17-18
28-28
16-24
13-16
29-21
21-20
14-24
19-21
22-18
21-25
21-27
16-26
27-25
165.4Avg total
82.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.586.7166.2-7.217%
Season at home (2)82.088.0170.0-6.00%
Season away (4)78.286.0164.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)82.882.6165.4+0.240%
Last 5 (5)80.486.6167.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.983.8160.7-6.913%
vs Similar (9)76.781.0157.7-4.333%
vs Weaker (6)84.771.3156.0+13.383%
This opponent (Barnaul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
64.7%
@ 1.49
Under 158.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.49
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5 · main lineActual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
52.9%
@ 1.87+2.9pp
Under 163.5
47.1%
@ 1.87-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Under 168.5
Over 168.5
41.0%
Under 168.5
59.0%
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Barnaul total 79.5Actual: Barnaul over 79.5
Over 79.5
65.3%
Under 79.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnaul total 83.5 · main lineActual: Barnaul over 83.5
Over 83.5
50.1%
@ 1.82-0.2pp
Under 83.5
49.9%
@ 1.84+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Barnaul total 87.5Actual: Barnaul over 87.5
Over 87.5
35.0%
Under 87.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Izhevsk total 76Actual: Izhevsk under 76
Over 76
70.6%
Under 76
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Izhevsk total 80 · main lineActual: Izhevsk under 80
Over 80
55.5%
@ 1.81+5.0pp
Under 80
44.5%
@ 1.85-5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Izhevsk total 84Actual: Izhevsk under 84
Over 84
39.7%
Under 84
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Barnaul -6Actual: Barnaul -6
BARN -6
36.8%
@ 1.98-8.4pp
IZHE +6
63.2%
@ 1.67+8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
BARN
Marathon Be
1.98
1xBet
1.98
IZHE
1xBet
1.67
Marathon Be
1.60
Spread Barnaul -3 · main lineActual: Barnaul -3
BARN -3
48.3%
@ 1.85-2.1pp
IZHE +3
51.7%
@ 1.88+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
BARN
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.77
1xBet
1.77
IZHE
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Spread Barnaul 0Actual: Barnaul 0
BARN 0
57.3%
IZHE 0
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
BARN
No market prices yet.
IZHE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
BarnaulIzhevsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarnaulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Metallurg
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A14/04
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/04
Super League
Tambov
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A16/04
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A01/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H12/10
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H15/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/10
Super League
Tambov
#7
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H02/11
Super League
75.5Avg total
36.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)36.940.177.0-3.230%40%
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.575.1+0.047%33%
Last 30 away (15)36.342.678.9-6.313%47%
Last 10 (10)36.638.975.5-2.320%30%
Last 5 (5)38.439.678.0-1.220%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)36.541.377.8-4.824%40%
vs Similar (5)39.034.073.0+5.060%40%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Izhevsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IzhevskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A28/03
Super League
Tambov
#13
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/04
Super League
Barnaul
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/04
Super League
Metallurg
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A16/04
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/10
Super League
CSKA Moscow 2
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/10
Super League
Chelyabinsk
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/10
Super League
Metallurg
#9
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H15/10
Super League
Tambov
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A02/11
Super League
80.9Avg total
40.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)38.240.278.4-2.137%43%
Last 30 at home (12)40.540.380.8+0.242%58%
Last 30 away (18)36.640.276.8-3.633%33%
Last 10 (10)40.440.580.9-0.140%50%
Last 5 (5)39.843.883.6-4.040%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.641.779.3-4.127%47%
vs Similar (9)35.840.276.0-4.433%33%
vs Weaker (6)43.236.579.7+6.767%50%
This opponent (Barnaul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Barnaul -2 · main lineActual: Barnaul -2
BARN -2
no forecast
@ 1.81
IZHE +2
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Barnaul 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Barnaul over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Barnaul (regulation)
BARN
no forecast
@ 1.66
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
IZHE
no forecast
@ 2.26

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Barnaul wins
6
Izhevsk wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26Barnaul v Izhevsk63-78
31/01/26Barnaul v Izhevsk77-79
22/10/25Izhevsk v Barnaul82-71
27/02/25Izhevsk v Barnaul58-65
28/11/24Barnaul v Izhevsk88-85 OT
28/04/24Barnaul v Izhevsk66-76
03/02/24Barnaul v Izhevsk74-67
16/11/23Izhevsk v Barnaul78-77
01/02/23Barnaul v Izhevsk85-77
31/10/22Izhevsk v Barnaul90-76
Barnaullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HTambov78-67
25/10/26AChelyabinsk94-95
22/10/26AMetallurg78-74
15/10/26HDynamo Grozny70-82
12/10/26HCSKA Moscow 270-86
04/10/26ATemp Sumz Revda81-91
01/10/26AUfa79-92
16/04/26ATambov94-75
15/04/26HIzhevsk63-78
14/04/26AMetallurg55-77
Izhevsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26ANovosibirsk85-103
25/10/26ATambov76-83
15/10/26HMetallurg86-89
12/10/26HChelyabinsk78-87
04/10/26ACSKA Moscow 277-71
01/10/26ADynamo Grozny75-87
16/04/26AMetallurg83-81
15/04/26ABarnaul78-63
14/04/26HTambov107-73
28/03/26ATemp Sumz Revda83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barnaul
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game78.672.783.0
Allowed / game83.978.388.0
Point differential-5.3-5.7-5.0
Avg total162.4151.0171.0
Over 163.543%0%75%
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Izhevsk
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game79.582.078.2
Allowed / game86.788.086.0
Point differential-7.2-6.0-7.8
Avg total166.2170.0164.2
Over 163.550%100%25%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
2 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
3 Dynamo Grozny76186%84.172.7+11.4
4 Chelyabinsk65183%91.791.2+0.5
5 CSKA Moscow 275271%73.166.7+6.4
6 Khimki M.74357%83.777.3+6.4
7 University-Ugra73443%72.680.1-7.6
8 Tambov62433%71.373.8-2.5
9 Metallurg62433%76.281.2-5.0
10 Barnaul72529%78.683.9-5.3
11 Novosibirsk72529%80.989.1-8.3
12 Izhevsk61517%79.586.7-7.2
13 Desna Bryansk61517%68.879.2-10.3
14 Rusichi Kursk61517%71.386.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barnaul2420222490
Izhevsk1610232574
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