Bars Petropavlovsk vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 65-58

14-9 25-21 16-14 10-14

Position#3

Record10-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.0

Allowed / game54.0

Bars Petropavlovsk 🏆

Aktobe

Position#4

Record4-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game95.2

Allowed / game66.8

Higher League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aktobe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPetropavlovsk

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

88-64

+24

81avg 77

A21/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

82-51

+31

78avg 77

H22/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

108-65

108

+43

105avg 77

A23/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

98-66

+32

102avg 77

H24/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

105-65

105

+40

111avg 77

H25/10

Higher League

Karaganda

81-56

+25

71avg 77

H14/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

87-38

+49

84avg 77

A15/11

Higher League

Karaganda

84-59

+25

78avg 77

H16/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

86-43

+43

87avg 77

A17/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

111-33

111

+78

119avg 77

H18/11

Higher League

21-22

25-16

28-12

14-14

23-11

30-13

17-15

12-12

24-20

35-14

22-16

27-15

33-13

22-15

22-24

21-14

24-9

27-21

31-15

23-20

10-18

22-10

28-13

21-15

28-11

22-10

14-8

23-9

29-15

18-12

30-13

7-19

27-14

26-11

16-12

17-6

35-10

30-8

23-11

23-4

147.0Avg total

93.0Scored

54.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	93.0	54.0	147.0	+39.0	100%
Season at home (6)	93.5	55.0	148.5	+38.5	100%
Season away (4)	92.2	52.5	144.8	+39.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	93.0	54.0	147.0	+39.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	45.8	135.6	+44.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	58.8	84.5	143.2	-25.8	0%
vs Similar (4)	76.2	74.5	150.8	+1.8	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	86.5	54.0	140.4	+32.5	100%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

72-93

-21

60avg 74

H08/12

National League

Pavlodar

63-67

-4

60avg 74

H09/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

70-78

-8

62avg 74

H23/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

73-78

-5

63avg 74

H24/12

National League

Almaty

0-20

-20

no box

A08/03

National League

Almaty

0-20

-20

no box

A09/03

National League

Arlans

#11

94-84

+10

95avg 74

H08/11

Higher League

Arlans

#11

76-56

+20

77avg 74

A09/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

103-63

103

+40

101avg 74

H10/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

108-64

108

+44

108avg 74

A11/11

Higher League

14-15

13-28

19-25

26-25

19-8

23-16

14-24

7-19

16-26

19-16

20-16

15-20

18-16

18-25

15-15

22-22

–

19-22

27-20

31-21

17-21

19-11

20-15

22-18

15-12

28-8

23-13

25-11

27-31

28-13

25-16

27-14

28-21

128.2Avg total

65.9Scored

62.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	95.2	66.8	162.0	+28.5	100%
Season at home (2)	98.5	73.5	172.0	+25.0	100%
Season away (2)	92.0	60.0	152.0	+32.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	65.9	62.3	128.2	+3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	57.4	133.6	+18.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	70.8	76.8	147.7	-6.0	26%
vs Similar (5)	90.2	85.4	175.6	+4.8	80%
vs Weaker (6)	86.0	71.2	157.2	+14.8	67%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bars PetropavlovskAktobe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	16.5	39.4	+6.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	16.1	39.2	+7.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	17.0	39.6	+5.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	14.3	39.7	+11.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	13.6	39.4	+12.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	21.8	39.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.2	24.8	47.0	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.9	14.0	38.0	+9.9	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.1	14.9	35.0	+5.2	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	14.0	36.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	53%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	12.8	34.0	+8.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	14.1	35.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	13.3	35.2	+8.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	15.1	35.3	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	13.0	38.7	+12.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	10.2	33.8	+13.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.2	21.0	34.2	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	16.5	35.2	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.0	12.5	35.4	+10.5	91%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.7	46%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.8	19.7	41.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.5	21.5	40.9	-2.0	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.4	19.4	44.8	+6.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	83%	-

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

46-38

A21/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

53-24

+29

H22/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

59-34

+25

A23/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

55-28

+27

H24/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

51-30

+21

H25/10

Higher League

Karaganda

32-28

H14/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

50-21

+29

A15/11

Higher League

Karaganda

47-27

+20

H16/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

53-25

+28

A17/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

65-18

+47

H18/11

Higher League

78.4Avg total

51.1Scored

27.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	30.6	74.6	+13.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	29.4	74.4	+15.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	32.1	74.9	+10.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.1	27.3	78.4	+23.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	23.8	73.2	+25.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.0	42.8	73.8	-11.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.0	41.2	82.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.9	26.5	73.4	+20.4	100%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

27-43

-16

H08/12

National League

Pavlodar

42-24

+18

H09/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

35-42

-7

H23/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

36-41

-5

H24/12

National League

Arlans

#11

46-42

H08/11

Higher League

Arlans

#11

39-26

+13

A09/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

51-21

+30

H10/11

Higher League

AiRom

#13

53-29

+24

A11/11

Higher League

74.6Avg total

41.1Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.6	39.6	81.1	+2.0	46%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	38.8	80.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.5	42%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.1	33.5	74.6	+7.6	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	31.8	76.8	+13.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.2	41.7	81.9	-1.5	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.6	42.8	87.4	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	30.8	73.8	+12.2	83%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.0	36.8	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	15.6	37.9	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	16.4	35.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	13.9	37.0	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	11.4	33.6	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	22.8	38.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	14.4	36.9	+8.2	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	15.8	39.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	14.2	30.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.4	14.2	30.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	14.1	30.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	12.8	31.6	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	10.6	28.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	15.2	33.8	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	17.0	13.1	30.1	+4.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	21.0	41.9	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	21.9	43.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	47%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	30.1	67.6	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.7	29.8	68.5	+8.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	30.5	66.5	+5.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	26.7	68.6	+15.2	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	22.0	62.4	+18.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	27.8	41.8	69.5	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.2	33.2	68.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	39.6	27.5	67.0	+12.1	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.0	41.6	82.7	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	40.6	80.6	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.5	43.0	85.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	37.2	83.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.0	41.8	80.8	-2.8	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.6	42.6	88.2	+3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	40.3	83.3	+2.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Aktobe wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/19	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	75-72
23/04/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	73-80
22/04/19	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	70-74
23/03/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	78-76
26/02/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	59-63
30/01/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	71-65
05/12/18	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	77-73
31/10/18	Bars Petropavlovsk v Aktobe	71-94
19/03/18	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	75-80
18/02/18	Aktobe v Bars Petropavlovsk	56-68

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	111-33
17/11/25	A	Pavlodar	86-43
16/11/25	H	Karaganda	84-59
15/11/25	A	Pavlodar	87-38
14/11/25	H	Karaganda	81-56
25/10/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	105-65
24/10/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	98-66
23/10/25	A	Tobol Kostanay 2	108-65
22/10/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	82-51
21/10/25	A	Tobol Kostanay 2	88-64

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/25	A	AiRom	108-64
10/11/25	H	AiRom	103-63
09/11/25	A	Arlans	76-56
08/11/25	H	Arlans	94-84
09/03/25	A	Almaty	0-20
08/03/25	A	Almaty	0-20
24/12/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	73-78
23/12/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	70-78
09/12/24	H	Pavlodar	63-67
08/12/24	H	Pavlodar	72-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	93.0	93.5	92.2
Allowed / game	54.0	55.0	52.5
Point differential	+39.0	+38.5	+39.8
Avg total	147.0	148.5	144.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aktobe

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	95.2	98.5	92.0
Allowed / game	66.8	73.5	60.0
Point differential	+28.5	+25.0	+32.0
Avg total	162.0	172.0	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bars Petropavlovsk	10	10	0	100%	93.0	54.0	+39.0
2	Aktobe	4	4	0	100%	95.2	66.8	+28.5
3	Turan	11	11	0	100%	89.4	61.5	+27.9
4	Shymkent	11	9	2	82%	97.0	73.2	+23.8
5	Atyrau 2	14	10	4	71%	75.1	71.3	+3.9
6	Arlans	7	4	3	57%	75.0	71.6	+3.4
7	ChelSU Kostanay	14	8	6	57%	76.4	78.7	-2.3
8	Tigers-KazATU	10	5	5	50%	70.6	77.0	-6.4
9	BC Almaty 2	10	4	6	40%	71.3	73.7	-2.4
10	Karaganda	6	2	4	33%	74.8	78.2	-3.3
11	CHAMP1ON	10	3	7	30%	68.1	75.9	-7.8
12	Tobol Kostanay 2	14	2	12	14%	70.1	84.9	-14.8
13	AiRom	7	1	6	14%	66.4	83.9	-17.4
14	Kaspiy Aktau 2	14	1	13	7%	55.2	82.9	-27.6
15	Pavlodar	6	0	6	0%	50.8	87.0	-36.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bars Petropavlovsk	14	25	16	10	65
Aktobe	9	21	14	14	58

← all games of the day

Bars Petropavlovsk vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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