Bars Petropavlovsk vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 84-79

26-22 19-23 18-20 21-14

Position#2

Record23-5

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game62.2

Bars Petropavlovsk 🏆

Shymkent

Position#3

Record21-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game69.4

Higher League

Other2024-25

Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Shymkent winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPetropavlovsk

Date

Competition

ChelSU Kostanay

79-57

+22

71avg 76

H30/01

Higher League

Karaganda

76-39

+37

74avg 76

A31/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

69-56

+13

56avg 76

H01/02

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

85-82

77avg 76

A01/03

Higher League

Shymkent

71-66

66avg 76

H02/03

Higher League

Turan

61-85

-24

45avg 76

A03/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

72-52

+20

68avg 76

H05/03

Higher League

Karaganda

64-48

+16

54avg 76

A06/03

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

76-53

+23

72avg 76

H06/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

71-63

63avg 76

A07/04

Higher League

18-16

19-9

24-18

18-14

21-6

22-11

13-11

20-11

19-22

24-4

20-14

6-16

22-16

27-20

16-25

20-21

25-23

15-13

13-14

18-16

19-26

17-16

15-26

10-17

27-15

20-10

15-12

10-15

24-12

14-9

20-10

6-17

20-10

21-19

27-12

8-12

27-10

17-18

11-23

16-12

132.5Avg total

72.4Scored

60.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.0	62.2	142.2	+17.8	82%
Season at home (14)	80.4	59.7	140.1	+20.6	93%
Season away (14)	79.7	64.7	144.4	+15.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	60.1	132.5	+12.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	60.2	129.0	+8.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	64.5	82.0	146.5	-17.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	84.2	78.6	162.8	+5.6	80%
vs Weaker (21)	80.7	53.3	134.0	+27.4	95%

This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Shymkent

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShymkent

Date

Competition

Karaganda

91-73

+18

84avg 75

A29/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

89-74

+15

74avg 75

H30/01

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

77-70

66avg 75

A31/01

Higher League

Turan

79-75

62avg 75

H01/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

66-71

-5

50avg 75

A02/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

65-48

+17

53avg 75

H03/03

Higher League

Karaganda

90-55

+35

93avg 75

A04/03

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

88-41

+47

88avg 75

H05/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

91-67

+24

86avg 75

A06/03

Higher League

Turan

53-90

-37

29avg 75

H07/04

Higher League

25-14

31-15

19-21

16-23

28-15

25-20

16-22

20-17

23-16

28-8

12-25

14-21

22-24

26-16

7-11

24-24

23-25

13-15

14-13

16-18

26-18

22-8

12-10

5-12

22-15

21-13

26-15

21-12

30-16

18-8

21-7

19-10

24-12

22-16

17-26

28-13

8-25

16-13

5-33

24-19

145.3Avg total

78.9Scored

66.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	84.0	69.4	153.4	+14.6	78%
Season at home (14)	83.4	68.1	151.4	+15.3	79%
Season away (13)	84.6	70.8	155.5	+13.8	77%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	66.4	145.3	+12.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	60.2	137.6	+17.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	69.8	77.6	147.4	-7.8	40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	80.5	83.7	164.2	-3.2	33%
vs Weaker (19)	89.4	65.2	154.6	+24.3	100%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bars PetropavlovskShymkent

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	15.6	37.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	14.6	38.0	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	24.0	41.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.8	24.8	46.6	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.9	14.2	36.1	+7.8	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	17.8	42.1	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	17.7	41.7	+6.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	18.0	42.5	+6.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.0	41.1	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.7	22.2	45.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	26.2	16.4	42.6	+9.8	84%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	15.3	36.2	+5.6	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	14.2	35.1	+6.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	16.4	37.3	+4.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	12.9	32.5	+6.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.4	32.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	19.8	36.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.7	14.2	36.0	+7.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	14.6	36.5	+7.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	13.1	35.1	+8.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	16.1	37.9	+5.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	13.2	35.4	+9.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	11.6	31.4	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	14.8	34.0	+4.4	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.8	12.7	36.5	+11.2	89%	-

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ChelSU Kostanay

37-25

+12

H30/01

Higher League

Karaganda

43-17

+26

A31/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

43-26

+17

H01/02

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

49-36

+13

A01/03

Higher League

Shymkent

40-36

H02/03

Higher League

Turan

36-42

-6

A03/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

47-25

+22

H05/03

Higher League

Karaganda

38-21

+17

A06/03

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

41-29

+12

H06/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

44-28

+16

A07/04

Higher League

70.3Avg total

41.8Scored

28.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.2	32.6	74.9	+9.6	79%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	31.8	74.4	+10.8	93%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	33.5	75.4	+8.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	28.5	70.3	+13.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	29.0	70.2	+12.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.2	43.8	78.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.0	40.6	83.6	+2.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (20)	43.6	28.4	72.0	+15.2	95%	-

This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karaganda

56-29

+27

A29/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

53-35

+18

H30/01

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

51-24

+27

A31/01

Higher League

Turan

48-40

H01/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

36-40

-4

A02/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

48-26

+22

H03/03

Higher League

Karaganda

43-28

+15

A04/03

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

48-24

+24

H05/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

46-28

+18

A06/03

Higher League

Turan

24-38

-14

H07/04

Higher League

76.5Avg total

45.3Scored

31.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.2	32.4	78.6	+13.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	30.7	76.8	+15.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.3	34.1	80.4	+12.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	31.2	76.5	+14.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	28.8	70.6	+13.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	32.8	69.8	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.5	42.7	84.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	50.1	29.1	79.2	+20.9	95%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.5	15.8	38.3	+6.7	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	14.7	39.1	+9.6	87%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	16.5	33.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.6	34.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.3	13.9	37.2	+9.4	85%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.8	35.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	18.3	33.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	11.4	21.8	33.2	-10.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.8	18.2	39.1	+2.6	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.4	15.0	31.4	+1.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.6	15.8	31.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	14.2	31.5	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.2	15.1	28.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	10.0	14.6	24.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.2	16.2	28.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	16.8	13.7	30.5	+3.2	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.5	37.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	13.2	32.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	18.5	17.8	36.4	+0.7	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.9	30.9	69.8	+8.1	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	30.5	70.5	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	31.2	69.1	+6.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.6	31.6	62.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	31.2	58.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.2	38.2	68.5	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	41.2	38.0	79.2	+3.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (20)	40.1	27.6	67.7	+12.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	36.1	72.5	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.2	79.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	35.2	68.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	31.4	67.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	31.6	42.8	74.4	-11.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	39.4	36.1	75.4	+3.3	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Shymkent wins

Date	Game	Score
02/03/25	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	71-66
27/01/25	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	75-74
13/11/24	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	75-79
19/10/24	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	87-75
10/04/24	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	113-99
06/04/24	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	74-79
13/12/23	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	72-81
14/10/23	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	57-76
11/04/23	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	85-68
20/11/22	Bars Petropavlovsk v Shymkent	83-71

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	71-63
06/04/25	H	CHAMP1ON	76-53
06/03/25	A	Karaganda	64-48
05/03/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	72-52
03/03/25	A	Turan	61-85
02/03/25	H	Shymkent	71-66
01/03/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	85-82
01/02/25	H	CHAMP1ON	69-56
31/01/25	A	Karaganda	76-39
30/01/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	79-57

Shymkentlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/25	H	Turan	53-90
06/03/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	91-67
05/03/25	H	CHAMP1ON	88-41
04/03/25	A	Karaganda	90-55
03/03/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	65-48
02/03/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	66-71
01/03/25	H	Turan	79-75
31/01/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	77-70
30/01/25	H	CHAMP1ON	89-74
29/01/25	A	Karaganda	91-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	82%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WWLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	82%	93%	71%
Points / game	80.0	80.4	79.7
Allowed / game	62.2	59.7	64.7
Point differential	+17.8	+20.6	+15.0
Avg total	142.2	140.1	144.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	79%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Shymkent

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	78%
Home	WWWWL	79%
Away	WWLWW	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	78%	79%	77%
Points / game	84.0	83.4	84.6
Allowed / game	69.4	68.1	70.8
Point differential	+14.6	+15.3	+13.8
Avg total	153.4	151.4	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	63%	64%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turan	28	25	3	89%	81.7	60.3	+21.4
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	28	23	5	82%	80.0	62.2	+17.8
3	Shymkent	27	21	6	78%	84.0	69.4	+14.6
4	ChelSU Kostanay	28	11	17	39%	67.5	70.8	-3.3
5	Tigers-KazATU	28	11	17	39%	69.2	75.7	-6.5
6	Karaganda	27	3	24	11%	57.2	78.0	-20.9
7	CHAMP1ON	28	3	25	11%	58.6	82.0	-23.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bars Petropavlovsk	26	19	18	21	84
Shymkent	22	23	20	14	79

← all games of the day

Bars Petropavlovsk vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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