Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 65-48

26-18 22-8 12-10 5-12

Position#3

Record17-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game71.5

Shymkent 🏆

ChelSU Kostanay

Position#5

Record9-13

FormLLLWL

Points / game70.6

Allowed / game74.6

Higher League· Zhaksy

Other2024-25

Meetings · Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ChelSU Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Shymkent

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShymkent

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

88-61

+27

79avg 77

H14/12

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

85-73

+12

72avg 77

A15/12

Higher League

Turan

81-64

+17

78avg 77

H17/12

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

74-75

-1

57avg 77

A27/01

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

88-76

+12

74avg 77

H28/01

Higher League

Karaganda

91-73

+18

84avg 77

A29/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

89-74

+15

74avg 77

H30/01

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

77-70

66avg 77

A31/01

Higher League

Turan

79-75

62avg 77

H01/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

66-71

-5

50avg 77

A02/03

Higher League

33-13

21-12

24-24

10-12

17-21

27-12

22-26

19-14

24-13

22-17

11-15

24-19

21-20

13-17

27-18

13-20

30-15

25-14

17-21

16-26

25-14

31-15

19-21

16-23

28-15

25-20

16-22

20-17

23-16

28-8

12-25

14-21

22-24

26-16

7-11

24-24

23-25

13-15

14-13

16-18

153.0Avg total

81.8Scored

71.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	85.5	71.5	157.0	+14.0	77%
Season at home (11)	87.4	70.4	157.7	+17.0	82%
Season away (11)	83.5	72.6	156.2	+10.9	73%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	71.2	153.0	+10.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	72.6	153.0	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.0	74.5	148.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar (7)	80.3	82.3	162.6	-2.0	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	88.5	68.5	157.0	+20.1	95%

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

67-92

-25

no box

A14/12

Higher League

Karaganda

74-64

+10

70avg 62

H16/12

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

74-71

70avg 62

A17/12

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

72-89

-17

62avg 62

H27/01

Higher League

Shymkent

76-88

-12

67avg 62

A28/01

Higher League

Turan

65-75

-10

55avg 62

H29/01

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

57-79

-22

50avg 62

A30/01

Higher League

Karaganda

72-73

-1

59avg 62

H01/02

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

67-63

53avg 62

A01/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

66-71

-5

50avg 62

H02/03

Higher League

12-21

18-16

20-31

17-24

21-15

20-19

9-15

24-15

22-18

12-17

20-22

20-14

18-31

25-13

15-27

14-18

15-30

14-25

21-17

26-16

14-27

12-19

19-18

20-11

16-18

9-19

18-24

14-18

25-18

17-18

15-17

15-20

17-15

16-20

15-11

19-17

22-16

12-15

17-14

15-26

145.5Avg total

69.0Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	70.6	74.6	145.2	-4.0	41%
Season at home (11)	71.8	68.5	140.3	+3.4	45%
Season away (11)	69.5	80.7	150.2	-11.3	36%
Last 10 (10)	69.0	76.5	145.5	-7.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	65.4	72.2	137.6	-6.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	67.9	84.5	152.4	-16.5	7%
vs Similar (4)	75.2	65.5	140.8	+9.8	50%
vs Weaker (11)	68.1	61.1	129.2	+7.0	82%

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ShymkentChelSU Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	25.0	18.2	43.2	+6.7	72%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.5	17.2	42.6	+8.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.6	19.1	43.7	+5.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	17.6	42.2	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	16.2	36.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	26.7	17.7	44.4	+9.1	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	19.9	40.0	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.1	40.2	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.8	39.8	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	22.5	41.5	-3.6	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	16.8	38.5	+4.9	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.7	15.8	38.4	+6.9	69%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	14.1	37.1	+8.9	85%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	14.6	37.7	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	14.8	39.4	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	15.2	35.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.4	20.9	38.3	-3.4	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	25.3	13.9	39.2	+11.3	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.1	18.6	34.6	-2.5	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.6	17.2	32.8	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	19.6	36.1	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	18.1	33.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	18.2	31.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.1	20.7	35.7	-5.6	13%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	13.0	31.8	+5.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	16.5	17.6	34.1	-1.1	30%	-

ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

54-25

+29

H14/12

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

44-33

+11

A15/12

Higher League

Turan

46-30

+16

H17/12

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

34-37

-3

A27/01

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

55-29

+26

H28/01

Higher League

Karaganda

56-29

+27

A29/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

53-35

+18

H30/01

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

51-24

+27

A31/01

Higher League

Turan

48-40

H01/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

36-40

-4

A02/03

Higher League

79.9Avg total

47.7Scored

32.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	47.6	34.0	81.7	+13.6	79%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	48.5	31.2	79.7	+17.2	92%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.9	36.3	83.2	+10.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	32.2	79.9	+15.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	33.6	82.4	+15.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.2	31.5	71.8	+8.8	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.6	41.7	82.3	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	52.0	31.6	83.6	+20.4	94%	-

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

30-37

-7

A14/12

Higher League

Karaganda

41-34

H16/12

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

34-35

-1

A17/12

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

43-44

-1

H27/01

Higher League

Shymkent

29-55

-26

A28/01

Higher League

Turan

26-46

-20

H29/01

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

25-37

-12

A30/01

Higher League

Karaganda

42-36

H01/02

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

33-35

-2

A01/03

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

34-31

H02/03

Higher League

72.7Avg total

33.7Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.1	38.5	74.6	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.8	37.3	73.1	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	39.4	75.8	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	39.0	72.7	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	37.0	69.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.0	43.2	77.2	-9.2	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.8	31.0	69.8	+7.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.2	34.4	72.6	+3.8	50%	-

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	18.4	32.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.0	19.0	32.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.1	20.1	42.1	+2.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-2.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	16.8	34.8	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	21.7	38.9	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.8	33.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	22.2	40.5	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	17.0	32.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.2	16.5	33.7	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	39%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.4	17.7	34.1	-1.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	16.2	33.9	+1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.4	18.8	34.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.7	19.1	34.7	-3.4	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	17.5	38.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	15.8	15.6	31.4	+0.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	38.8	76.9	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	42.1	81.9	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	39.0	73.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	39.0	70.6	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.2	40.5	72.8	-8.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.7	40.6	80.3	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.3	40.7	81.0	-0.3	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.0	37.2	71.1	-3.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.6	33.1	68.7	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.6	40.5	73.1	-7.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	37.5	72.8	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	35.2	68.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	33.9	41.3	75.2	-7.3	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	34.5	71.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	33.0	32.1	65.1	+0.9	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Shymkent wins

ChelSU Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/25	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	88-76
12/12/24	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	108-65
20/10/24	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	91-86
24/02/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	78-95
24/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	66-82
22/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	68-99
11/11/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	71-81
09/04/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	78-87
18/11/22	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	60-93
23/10/22	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	56-88

Shymkentlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	66-71
01/03/25	H	Turan	79-75
31/01/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	77-70
30/01/25	H	CHAMP1ON	89-74
29/01/25	A	Karaganda	91-73
28/01/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	88-76
27/01/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	74-75
17/12/24	H	Turan	81-64
15/12/24	A	Tigers-KazATU	85-73
14/12/24	H	CHAMP1ON	88-61

ChelSU Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	66-71
01/03/25	A	CHAMP1ON	67-63
01/02/25	H	Karaganda	72-73
30/01/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	57-79
29/01/25	H	Turan	65-75
28/01/25	A	Shymkent	76-88
27/01/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	72-89
17/12/24	A	CHAMP1ON	74-71
16/12/24	H	Karaganda	74-64
14/12/24	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	67-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	77%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	WLWWL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	77%	82%	73%
Points / game	85.5	87.4	83.5
Allowed / game	71.5	70.4	72.6
Point differential	+14.0	+17.0	+10.9
Avg total	157.0	157.7	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	64%	55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

ChelSU Kostanay

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	41%
Home	WLLLL	45%
Away	LWLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	41%	45%	36%
Points / game	70.6	71.8	69.5
Allowed / game	74.6	68.5	80.7
Point differential	-4.0	+3.4	-11.3
Avg total	145.2	140.3	150.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	45%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turan	22	19	3	86%	80.8	62.4	+18.4
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	23	19	4	83%	82.5	62.7	+19.8
3	Shymkent	22	17	5	77%	85.5	71.5	+14.0
4	ChelSU Kostanay	22	9	13	41%	70.6	74.6	-4.0
5	Tigers-KazATU	22	8	14	36%	70.1	76.6	-6.5
6	Karaganda	22	3	19	14%	60.0	80.5	-20.6
7	CHAMP1ON	23	3	20	13%	61.2	82.3	-21.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Shymkent	26	22	12	5	65
ChelSU Kostanay	18	8	10	12	48

← all games of the day

Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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