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Basket Torino vs Pistoia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.1
ItalySerie A2Round 31· Pala Gianni Asti
Other2026-27
Meetings · Basket Torino v Pistoia
21 Mar 2027
BASK v PIS
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
BASK87
PIS91
17 Jun 2023
BASK61
PIS73
15 Jun 2023
BASK78
PIS67
05 Dec 2021
BASK72
PIS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Torino win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
36avg 62
A29/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
L
57-79
57
79
-22
45avg 62
H27/09
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
69avg 62
A04/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
76-59
76
59
+17
71avg 62
H11/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 62
A17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 62
A25/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
70-48
70
48
+22
no box
H04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
62-85
62
85
-23
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
12-9
10-17
19-10
15-23
26-19
11-21
5-16
30-20
19-23
18-20
17-14
23-25
15-10
19-17
19-7
20-27
22-24
20-18
23-12
20-15
20-21
19-18
14-17
19-15
23-12
13-10
15-11
13-26
9-15
25-15
15-29
25-24
16-14
20-16
14-24
26-10
16-22
10-18
22-20
141.9Avg total
71.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.972.0144.9+0.967%
Season at home (4)69.566.0135.5+3.550%
Season away (5)75.676.8152.4-1.280%
Last 10 (10)71.270.7141.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)70.870.4141.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.476.5146.9-6.112%
vs Similar (15)73.272.9146.1+0.353%
vs Weaker (7)72.169.6141.7+2.671%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 65
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 65
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 65
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 65
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 65
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 65
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 65
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
14-21
13-16
24-16
28-12
146.7Avg total
77.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (6)78.066.8144.8+11.267%
Last 10 (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)76.468.8145.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.0156.6-9.420%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.270.2151.5+11.075%
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
Basket TorinoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A29/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/09
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A04/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A25/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A08/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A15/11
Serie A2
76.1Avg total
38.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.074.8-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.775.7+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)34.639.373.9-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.776.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.539.973.4-6.450%-
vs Similar (15)38.538.777.2-0.340%-
vs Weaker (7)36.934.371.1+2.671%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/11
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.480.1-2.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.680.5-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.8-4.312%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.071.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.240.376.5-4.120%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.938.075.9-0.125%-
This opponent (Basket Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Torino: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.515.9
46.1%
51.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
34.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
71.0%11.3
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
71.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Torino
WLLWWWWWLL
Pistoia
WWWLWWWLLL
#7
League position
#8
-5.2
Net rating
+12.8
86.3
Offensive rating
98.5
91.5
Defensive rating
85.6
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
12.4%
Turnover %
8.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
29.5%
58.0%
Assist %
54.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 98.5Defence91.5 · 85.6Shooting49.0% · 48.1%3-point %35.4% · 29.5%Ball care12.4% · 8.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Basket Torino   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Torino wins
6
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ARuvo Di Puglia74-70
11/11/26HFortitudo Bologna75-78
08/11/26AJuVi Cremona62-85
04/11/26HMontecatini70-48
25/10/26APesaro73-71
17/10/26ABrindisi85-81
11/10/26HCividale76-59
04/10/26APistoia84-77
27/09/26HMestre57-79
29/04/26AJuVi Cremona56-59
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUrania Milano79-65
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Torino
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game72.969.575.6
Allowed / game72.066.076.8
Point differential+0.9+3.5-1.2
Avg total144.9135.5152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.677.078.0
Allowed / game69.172.566.8
Point differential+8.5+4.5+11.2
Avg total146.7149.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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