Basket Torino face Montecatini in Serie A2 on 4 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 82% thanks to their 4-1 record, 75.0 points per game and 73.4 allowed, placing them third in the league, while Montecatini sit eighteenth with a 1-5 record, 72.0 points per game and 84.2 allowed; Torino's home form is 1-1, 66.5 points scored and 69.0 allowed, and they have won four of their last five, including a 73-71 win over Pesaro, a 85-81 win over Brindisi and a 76-59 home victory over Cividale, whereas Montecatini's road record is 1-2, 74.7 points and 82.7 allowed, and they have lost four of their last five, with defeats to Cento, Avellino Basket and Fortitudo Bologna; the projected score is 82-71, with a total of 153.1 points, Torino covering the -12.5 line 43% of the time and the over on the 151.5 line 53%, and there is a 3% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 75.0 | 73.4 | 148.4 | +1.6 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 66.5 | 69.0 | 135.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 80.7 | 76.3 | 157.0 | +4.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.1 | 72.5 | 145.6 | +0.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.0 | 73.4 | 148.4 | +1.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 67.3 | 76.2 | 143.5 | -8.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (17) | 76.1 | 73.8 | 149.9 | +2.3 | 65% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 74.3 | 68.9 | 143.1 | +5.4 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 72.0 | 84.2 | 156.2 | -12.2 | 17% |
| Season at home (3) | 69.3 | 85.7 | 155.0 | -16.3 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 74.7 | 82.7 | 157.3 | -8.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (6) | 72.0 | 84.2 | 156.2 | -12.2 | 17% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.6 | 84.2 | 158.8 | -9.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 72.2 | 85.6 | 157.8 | -13.4 | 20% |
| vs Similar (1) | 71.0 | 77.0 | 148.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.5 | 38.4 | 75.8 | -0.9 | 47% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.1 | 37.0 | 76.1 | +2.1 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.9 | 39.7 | 75.6 | -3.9 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 39.7 | 77.6 | -1.8 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 41.4 | 83.4 | +0.6 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 29.7 | 39.7 | 69.3 | -10.0 | 33% | 17% |
| vs Similar (17) | 39.4 | 39.2 | 78.6 | +0.1 | 41% | 65% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 39.6 | 35.1 | 74.7 | +4.4 | 71% | 43% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (6) | 39.2 | 38.7 | 77.8 | +0.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (3) | 38.7 | 36.3 | 75.0 | +2.3 | 67% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (3) | 39.7 | 41.0 | 80.7 | -1.3 | 33% | 100% |
| Last 10 (6) | 39.2 | 38.7 | 77.8 | +0.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.2 | 39.6 | 78.8 | -0.4 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 38.6 | 41.2 | 79.8 | -2.6 | 40% | 80% |
| vs Similar (1) | 42.0 | 26.0 | 68.0 | +16.0 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montecatini +19.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Montecatini over 65.5 | 71.3% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 96.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.2pp | - |
| Basket Torino (regulation) | 80.1% | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.16 | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Montecatini +18.5 | 76.3% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Lost |
| Basket Torino under 87.5 | 71.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Montecatini +17.5 | 73.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Basket Torino over 76.5 | 70.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Lost |
| Montecatini +16.5 | 70.6% | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Lost |
| Basket Torino -3.5 | 74.4% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Basket Torino -4.5 | 71.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Basket Torino win | 82.1% | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.5 | 15.9 | 51.5% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.7 | 8.4 | 34.5% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.1 | 11.3 | 70.9% | 11.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 24.0 | 11.5 | 51.5% | 23.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.2 | 7.3 | 34.5% | 22.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.8 | 11.8 | 70.9% | 11.8 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | A | Pesaro | 73-71 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Brindisi | 85-81 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Cividale | 76-59 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Pistoia | 84-77 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Mestre | 57-79 |
| 29/04/26 | A | JuVi Cremona | 56-59 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Sebastiani Rieti | 66-80 |
| 19/04/26 | H | Cento | 80-69 |
| 08/04/26 | H | Pesaro | 77-81 |
| 04/04/26 | H | Ruvo Di Puglia | 77-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | H | Cento | 71-77 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Avellino Basket | 74-85 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Fortitudo Bologna | 69-91 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Brindisi | 78-96 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Sassari | 81-72 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Rimini | 59-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 80% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 75.0 | 66.5 | 80.7 |
| Allowed / game | 73.4 | 69.0 | 76.3 |
| Point differential | +1.6 | -2.5 | +4.3 |
| Avg total | 148.4 | 135.5 | 157.0 |
| Over 152 | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 17% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 72.0 | 69.3 | 74.7 |
| Allowed / game | 84.2 | 85.7 | 82.7 |
| Point differential | -12.2 | -16.3 | -8.0 |
| Avg total | 156.2 | 155.0 | 157.3 |
| Over 152 | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 82.4 | 69.0 | +13.4 |
| 2 | Avellino Basket | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 80.7 | 73.0 | +7.7 |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 75.0 | 73.4 | +1.6 | |
| 4 | Rimini | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.6 | 71.0 | +11.6 |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 81.3 | 76.9 | +4.4 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.1 | 75.4 | +3.7 | |
| 7 | Sebastiani Rieti | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 75.0 | 74.9 | +0.1 |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.7 | 78.3 | +5.4 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.6 | 73.3 | +3.3 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.0 | 75.9 | +0.1 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.1 | 69.3 | +6.9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 73.0 | 76.3 | -3.3 | |
| 13 | Cividale | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 70.7 | 74.4 | -3.7 |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.8 | 83.5 | -3.7 | |
| 15 | Ruvo Di Puglia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.0 | 84.6 | -6.6 |
| 16 | Vigevano | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 77.7 | 85.6 | -7.9 |
| 17 | Cento | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.6 | 83.6 | -10.0 |
| 18 | Montecatini | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 72.0 | 84.2 | -12.2 |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 75.7 | 81.7 | -6.0 | |
| 20 | JuVi Cremona | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 73.4 | 80.3 | -6.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 23 | 13 | 15 | 70 | |
| Montecatini | 15 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 48 |
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