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Baskonia vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-56
16-16 22-14 26-11 18-15
Position#8
Record1-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5
European cup2018
Meetings · Baskonia v Darussafaka
01 Nov 2018
BAS82
DAR56
09 Dec 2016
BAS73
DAR52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
99-76
99
76
+23
H29/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A03/10
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H07/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A12/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
110-60
110
60
+50
A14/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A19/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H21/10
ACB
Bayern
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A25/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
100-67
100
67
+33
A28/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-19
32-17
26-19
18-24
20-19
27-25
14-14
24-11
16-27
28-13
17-15
22-24
20-15
21-14
24-26
31-8
32-17
27-17
20-18
19-27
20-23
13-17
28-18
19-25
25-27
23-22
12-23
32-12
23-15
22-9
16-13
11-20
21-23
20-18
19-16
23-10
27-14
22-18
28-25
162.1Avg total
88.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.284.5163.8-5.225%
Season at home (1)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Season away (3)79.084.3163.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)88.373.8162.1+14.560%
Last 5 (5)84.675.0159.6+9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.088.5164.5-12.50%
vs Similar (14)83.683.8167.4-0.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.570.3161.8+21.292%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#5
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A18/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H26/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-12
23-28
15-20
15-19
16-21
22-17
16-21
12-23
20-19
23-20
23-17
12-19
19-12
16-15
15-17
18-25
20-28
31-38
24-18
26-20
16-24
18-9
12-22
14-25
25-10
14-14
18-14
17-19
21-12
10-26
27-22
14-21
24-12
21-25
18-14
18-23
22-24
24-11
7-21
152.5Avg total
74.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.582.5160.0-5.025%
Season at home (2)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
Season away (2)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)74.578.0152.5-3.520%
Last 5 (5)73.273.6146.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.580.6156.1-5.125%
vs Similar (10)75.873.4149.2+2.460%
vs Weaker (11)82.473.8156.2+8.573%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
BaskoniaDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/10
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A12/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
63-25
63
25
+38
A14/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H21/10
ACB
Bayern
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A28/10
ACB
82.5Avg total
44.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.582.2+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.839.281.9+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)44.538.082.5+6.559%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.182.5+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.047.091.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (14)40.641.782.4-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.634.180.7+12.585%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/10
Euroleague
75.9Avg total
36.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.376.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.573.5+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.278.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.175.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.077.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.540.877.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (10)36.537.774.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)41.934.576.4+7.582%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.4
38.1%
37.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.3
74.1%
76.7%14.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.3
54.3%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
37.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
76.7%13.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWLLWWWLW
Darussafaka
LWLWLLLLLL
#8
League position
#16
+18.3
Net rating
-3.5
116.1
Offensive rating
110.3
97.8
Defensive rating
113.8
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.1%
3-point %
33.2%
66.0%
Assist %
46.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 110.3Defence97.8 · 113.8Shooting55.4% · 52.5%3-point %38.1% · 33.2%Ball care15.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Baskonia   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Baskonia wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
12/01/17Darussafaka v Baskonia98-89
09/12/16Baskonia v Darussafaka73-52
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18AEstudiantes100-67
25/10/18ABayern71-77
21/10/18HMurcia93-49
19/10/18AReal Madrid79-97
17/10/18HOlympiacos80-85
14/10/18AFuenlabrada110-60
12/10/18AZalgiris Kaunas87-79
07/10/18HGipuzkoa85-66
03/10/18ASan Pablo Burgos79-82
29/09/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza99-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/18HBarcelona71-79
22/10/18HBahcesehir Kol.77-72
18/10/18ACSKA Moscow75-79
16/10/18HBuducnost71-63
14/10/18AAnadolu Efes72-75
11/10/18AReal Madrid93-109
06/10/18HGaziantep62-63
24/05/18HAnadolu Efes78-79
22/05/18AAnadolu Efes69-78
13/05/18HGaziantep77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game79.280.079.0
Allowed / game84.585.084.3
Point differential-5.2-5.0-5.3
Avg total163.8165.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.571.084.0
Allowed / game82.571.094.0
Point differential-5.0+0.0-10.0
Avg total160.0142.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%96.578.0+18.5
2 CSKA Moscow550100%87.678.4+9.2
3 Fenerbahce43175%88.880.2+8.5
4 Olimpia Milano43175%86.879.2+7.5
5 Anadolu Efes43175%85.882.8+3.0
6 Olympiacos53260%80.078.8+1.2
7 Panathinaikos42250%88.284.5+3.8
8 Zalgiris Kaunas42250%83.582.8+0.8
9 Barcelona42250%80.881.5-0.8
10 Bayern42250%75.280.8-5.5
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%82.083.5-1.5
12 Darussafaka41325%77.582.5-5.0
13 Baskonia41325%79.284.5-5.2
14 Gran Canaria41325%84.297.8-13.5
15 Khimki M.4040%78.886.5-7.8
16 Buducnost4040%64.280.0-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1622261882
Darussafaka1614111556
← all games of the day
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