PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bataan Risers vs Mindoro Tamaraws Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 84-86
19-21 18-19 27-21 20-25
Position#17
Record7-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#16
Record11-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.7
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bataan Risers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mindoro Tamaraws winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bataan RisersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abra Weavers
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A02/05
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
103-69
103
69
+34
H07/05
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A14/05
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H19/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A27/05
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A05/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
88-95
88
95
-7
H12/06
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A19/06
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H25/06
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H04/07
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
17-18
25-29
13-24
26-11
23-20
26-14
28-24
13-19
32-12
14-22
21-27
12-24
21-16
18-16
16-13
19-22
17-19
11-23
24-18
24-23
25-24
14-20
23-17
24-18
11-27
23-22
30-28
18-20
29-21
14-22
21-21
17-15
17-24
16-19
20-26
24-9
14-20
11-18
25-17
161.5Avg total
80.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.278.6156.7-0.437%
Season at home (11)77.773.9151.6+3.845%
Season away (8)78.885.0163.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)80.081.5161.5-1.530%
Last 5 (5)80.082.2162.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.589.0159.5-18.50%
vs Similar (9)74.681.0155.6-6.411%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.173.2157.4+10.975%
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mindoro TamarawsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davao Tigers
#19
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A07/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H16/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H22/05
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A28/05
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/06
MPBL
Sarangani Marlins
#22
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H11/06
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A17/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H21/06
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
103-72
103
72
+31
A26/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A07/07
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
33-15
16-19
25-22
11-19
16-25
23-21
23-20
15-9
24-10
24-15
32-22
23-17
15-12
11-11
27-23
20-20
17-30
25-13
15-21
17-13
10-18
30-17
22-17
23-18
24-13
17-21
22-25
27-18
26-19
19-22
22-17
29-16
23-24
28-16
23-16
24-23
26-19
14-34
21-20
162.2Avg total
86.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.577.7159.2+3.855%
Season at home (7)82.073.9155.9+8.157%
Season away (13)81.279.8160.9+1.454%
Last 10 (10)86.975.3162.2+11.670%
Last 5 (5)89.477.2166.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.885.2159.0-11.317%
vs Similar (3)78.776.7155.3+2.067%
vs Weaker (11)86.473.9160.3+12.573%
This opponent (Bataan Risers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
Bataan RisersMindoro Tamaraws
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bataan RisersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abra Weavers
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/05
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H07/05
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A14/05
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H19/05
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/05
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A05/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H12/06
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/06
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/06
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H04/07
MPBL
78.9Avg total
40.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)38.837.776.5+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.435.874.2+2.545%-
Last 30 away (8)39.440.279.6-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.778.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.280.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.545.076.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (9)39.139.678.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.233.874.0+6.562%-
This opponent (Mindoro Tamaraws) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mindoro TamarawsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davao Tigers
#19
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A07/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H16/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H22/05
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/05
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A05/06
MPBL
Sarangani Marlins
#22
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/06
MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A17/06
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H21/06
MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
#29
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A26/06
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A07/07
MPBL
79.1Avg total
43.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)40.537.077.6+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.633.071.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (13)41.639.280.8+2.454%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.179.1+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.282.0+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.842.079.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (3)40.039.779.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker (11)42.233.675.8+8.582%-
This opponent (Bataan Risers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bataan Risers wins
0
Mindoro Tamaraws wins
No previous meetings.
Bataan Riserslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25HDavao Tigers74-64
25/06/25HBasilan Viva Portmasters70-84
19/06/25AZamboanga Sikat82-84
12/06/25HQuezon City88-95
05/06/25APasay Voyagers86-84
27/05/25ARizal Golden Coolers71-82
19/05/25HIlagan Isabela Cowboys67-69
14/05/25APasig City85-88 OT
07/05/25HMarikina Verdiamonds103-69
02/05/25AAbra Weavers74-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/25AQuezon City85-96
26/06/25ABulacan Kuyas103-72
21/06/25HMuntinlupa Cagers94-76
17/06/25AIlagan Isabela Cowboys86-77
11/06/25HSarangani Marlins79-65
05/06/25ABasilan Viva Portmasters77-84
28/05/25ABacolod Masskara76-63
22/05/25HManila Batang Quiapo95-56
16/05/25HCebu Classic73-85
07/05/25ADavao Tigers101-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bataan Risers
MPBL 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW37%
HomeWLLLW45%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %37%45%25%
Points / game78.277.778.8
Allowed / game78.673.985.0
Point differential-0.4+3.8-6.2
Avg total156.7151.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Mindoro Tamaraws
MPBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %55%57%54%
Points / game81.582.081.2
Allowed / game77.773.979.8
Point differential+3.8+8.1+1.4
Avg total159.2155.9160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers1918195%88.770.0+18.7
2 Nueva Ecija Vanguards1918195%89.772.6+17.1
3 San Juan Knights1817194%81.768.6+13.1
4 Quezon Huskers1815383%82.466.4+16.0
5 Zamboanga Sikat1914574%81.372.3+9.0
6 Pampanga Giant Lanterns1914574%81.576.3+5.3
7 Pangasinan Heatwaves1812667%82.776.4+6.2
8 Batang Kankaloo2013765%77.072.8+4.2
9 Rizal Golden Coolers1912763%84.776.0+8.7
10 GenSan Warriors1912763%82.874.5+8.3
11 Batangas City1912763%78.771.2+7.6
12 Binan Tatak Gel1811761%77.872.1+5.7
13 Pasay Voyagers2012860%78.273.5+4.7
14 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys1810856%82.475.0+7.4
15 Muntinlupa Cagers1810856%76.875.2+1.6
16 Mindoro Tamaraws2011955%81.577.7+3.8
17 Basilan Viva Portmasters189950%78.775.1+3.6
18 Davao Tigers1771041%76.082.3-6.3
19 Imus Braderhood2081240%78.282.3-4.2
20 Pasig City1871139%78.481.6-3.2
21 Bataan Risers1971237%78.278.6-0.4
22 Sarangani Marlins1971237%84.888.6-3.8
23 Quezon City1951426%75.179.8-4.7
24 Cebu Classic1951426%71.380.6-9.4
25 Marikina Verdiamonds1941521%74.686.3-11.7
26 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2041620%72.286.3-14.2
27 Bulacan Kuyas2031715%71.395.8-24.4
28 Bacolod Masskara1821611%70.883.3-12.5
29 Manila Batang Quiapo1921711%80.4106.5-26.1
30 Paranaque Patriots181176%65.783.8-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bataan Risers1918272084
Mindoro Tamaraws2119212586
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.