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Bayern vs Zenit Petersburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-80
13-19 19-21 24-16 26-24
Position#5
Record11-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game76.3
Bayern 🏆
vs
Zenit Petersburg
Position#6
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v Zenit Petersburg
13 Jan 2021
BAY82
ZPE80
17 Jan 2018
BAY95
ZPE78
16 Nov 2016
BAY88
ZPE99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zenit Petersburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Giessen
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 78
H13/12
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 78
A16/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
77-66
77
66
+11
67avg 78
H18/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
L
95-100
95
100
-5
90avg 78
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
64avg 78
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 78
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 78
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 78
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
75avg 78
H10/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
32-20
25-22
17-18
20-14
23-21
17-21
15-23
18-15
20-15
20-20
19-16
21-29
29-26
18-21
27-24
16-22
19-18
16-16
22-18
23-24
23-17
22-10
16-19
22-26
21-19
27-10
20-22
12-18
24-21
17-26
19-20
22-19
24-25
15-20
21-20
26-17
13-16
18-24
20-19
160.0Avg total
81.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.676.3155.9+3.361%
Season at home (9)80.173.1153.2+7.078%
Season away (9)79.179.6158.7-0.444%
Last 10 (10)81.878.2160.0+3.650%
Last 5 (5)81.078.4159.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.178.6160.7+3.558%
vs Weaker (14)84.571.7156.2+12.886%
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPetersburg
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
69avg 79
A10/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 79
A13/12
VTB United League
Bayern
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
77avg 79
H16/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
58avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
98-69
98
69
+29
100avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
78avg 79
A26/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 79
A29/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
85-67
85
67
+18
86avg 79
A03/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 79
A07/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
97-71
97
71
+26
100avg 79
H10/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
10-12
11-23
30-20
21-21
15-21
22-25
23-29
14-20
21-23
21-17
23-15
17-24
14-21
18-21
16-17
30-12
18-25
21-17
29-15
17-9
16-22
30-12
14-27
18-22
19-13
25-17
16-20
16-17
29-17
25-20
15-13
26-16
21-19
29-19
13-23
32-18
28-19
25-17
12-17
158.0Avg total
82.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.672.9149.5+3.869%
Season at home (6)77.575.0152.5+2.550%
Season away (10)76.171.6147.7+4.580%
Last 10 (10)82.175.9158.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)85.271.4156.6+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.775.5151.3+0.264%
vs Weaker (18)84.271.3155.5+12.883%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
BayernZenit Petersburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#17
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H13/12
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H18/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A20/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/01
BBL
82.0Avg total
42.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.678.6+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.977.2+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.480.0+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.382.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.482.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.739.679.2+0.150%-
vs Weaker (14)42.435.577.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A10/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/12
VTB United League
Bayern
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H16/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A18/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A26/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A29/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A03/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A07/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H10/01
VTB United League
77.8Avg total
40.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.175.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.039.080.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (18)37.934.272.1+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.577.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.478.8+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.026.052.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.737.873.5-2.136%-
vs Weaker (18)41.935.677.6+6.378%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.2
52.1%
52.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.6
37.3%
38.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.815.6
83.0%
79.3%15.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zenit Petersburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zenit Petersburg: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.0
52.6%
52.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.5
41.9%
38.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.516.2
83.1%
79.3%16.2
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLLWWLLWLW
Zenit Petersburg
WWWWWWLWLL
#5
League position
#6
+4.8
Net rating
+7.6
113.2
Offensive rating
113.7
108.4
Defensive rating
106.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
56.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.3%
3-point %
41.9%
65.3%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 113.7Defence108.4 · 106.1Shooting53.4% · 56.7%3-point %37.3% · 41.9%Ball care17.0% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Zenit Petersburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
3
Zenit Petersburg wins
DateGameScore
16/12/20Zenit Petersburg v Bayern79-75
24/01/18Zenit Petersburg v Bayern78-80
17/01/18Bayern v Zenit Petersburg95-78
16/11/16Bayern v Zenit Petersburg88-99
12/10/16Zenit Petersburg v Bayern80-77
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HChemnitz77-76
08/01/21AOlympiacos82-84
03/01/21AAlba Berlin72-85
30/12/20HBarcelona90-77
27/12/20HBamberg84-70
23/12/20AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
20/12/20AOldenburg95-100
18/12/20HBaskonia77-66
16/12/20AZenit Petersburg75-79
13/12/20HGiessen93-71
Zenit Petersburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HSaratov97-71
07/01/21APanathinaikos89-77
03/01/21AEnisey85-67
29/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-72
26/12/20AAstana77-70
22/12/20HCrvena zvezda98-69
18/12/20ACSKA Moscow65-83
16/12/20HBayern79-75
13/12/20ALokomotiv Kuban81-96
10/12/20AReal Madrid72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL61%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game79.680.179.1
Allowed / game76.373.179.6
Point differential+3.3+7.0-0.4
Avg total155.9153.2158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Zenit Petersburg
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %69%50%80%
Points / game76.677.576.1
Allowed / game72.975.071.6
Point differential+3.8+2.5+4.5
Avg total149.5152.5147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1915479%85.178.5+6.6
2 Zenit Petersburg1611569%76.672.9+3.8
3 Barcelona1913668%81.273.6+7.6
4 Real Madrid1812667%82.377.7+4.6
5 Bayern1811761%79.676.3+3.3
6 Olimpia Milano1811761%82.380.2+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%80.577.5+3.1
8 Olympiacos1810856%80.580.6-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes1910953%78.377.6+0.7
10 Valencia1910953%81.381.8-0.5
11 Baskonia1991047%79.278.1+1.1
12 Fenerbahce1991047%74.678.3-3.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1981142%79.178.3+0.8
14 Alba Berlin1971237%77.483.6-6.2
15 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
16 Panathinaikos1751229%79.683.8-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1751229%75.180.4-5.4
18 Khimki M.1921711%79.689.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1319242682
Zenit Petersburg1921162480
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