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Baylor vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 57-36
25-15 32-21
Position#16
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game56.4
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Position#20
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Baylor v Villanova
12 Dec 2021
BAYL57
VILL36
27 Mar 2021
BAYL62
VILL51
24 Nov 2019
BAYL87
VILL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H03/04
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A06/04
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H13/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
W
86-48
86
48
+38
H20/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H25/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
W
99-54
99
54
+45
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-20
33-39
47-37
39-33
40-28
47-32
48-28
41-32
43-20
49-27
34-28
52-20
45-31
30-32
29-27
40-34
38-36
37-22
44-21
55-33
141.6Avg total
83.6Scored
58.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.056.4140.4+27.6100%
Season at home (6)88.055.3143.3+32.7100%
Season away (2)72.059.5131.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.658.0141.6+25.6100%
Last 5 (5)80.856.8137.6+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
vs Weaker (28)79.863.9143.7+16.093%
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#5
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A27/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H09/11
NCAA
UCLA
#28
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A20/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#285
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A28/11
NCAA
Penn
#247
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A02/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-23
21-39
45-21
46-30
30-32
37-35
52-44
48-37
35-15
36-38
33-31
41-49
42-17
30-29
33-21
38-35
34-22
47-30
26-29
41-24
137.5Avg total
75.5Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.262.0140.2+16.278%
Season at home (3)90.761.3152.0+29.3100%
Season away (6)72.062.3134.3+9.767%
Last 10 (10)75.562.0137.5+13.570%
Last 5 (5)73.057.4130.4+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.062.0113.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.769.4145.1+6.370%
vs Weaker (19)76.262.6138.8+13.579%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.7+13.71st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +11.9+11.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.7+13.71st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +11.9+11.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
BaylorVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H03/04
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A06/04
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H25/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#342
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H04/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
41.3Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.829.567.3+8.380%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.628.668.2+11.085%-
Last 30 away (10)34.131.265.3+2.970%-
Last 10 (10)41.327.668.9+13.7100%-
Last 5 (5)38.028.666.6+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)46.028.574.5+17.5100%-
vs Weaker (28)37.229.566.8+7.779%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#5
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A27/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H09/11
NCAA
UCLA
#28
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A13/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
35-15
35
15
+20
A20/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#285
W
42-17
42
17
+25
A28/11
NCAA
Penn
#247
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A02/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#283
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H04/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/12
NCAA
61.5Avg total
36.0Scored
25.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.265.5+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.130.769.7+8.487%-
Last 30 away (15)31.729.761.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)36.025.561.5+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)33.624.057.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.023.053.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.530.968.4+6.680%-
vs Weaker (19)34.530.264.7+4.463%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baylor wins
0
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
27/03/21Baylor v Villanova62-51
24/11/19Baylor v Villanova87-78
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21HArkansas-Pine Bluff99-54
26/11/21AMichigan State75-58
25/11/21AVCU Rams69-61
25/11/21HArizona State75-63
20/11/21HStanford86-48
18/11/21HCentral Arkansas92-47
15/11/21HNicholls State89-60
13/11/21HIncarnate Word87-60
06/04/21AGonzaga86-70
03/04/21HHouston78-59
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/21ASyracuse67-53
04/12/21HSaint Josephs Hawks81-52
02/12/21APenn71-56
28/11/21ALa Salle72-46
21/11/21APurdue74-80
20/11/21ATennessee71-53
16/11/21HHoward100-81
13/11/21AUCLA77-86 OT
09/11/21HMount St. Mary's91-51
27/03/21ABaylor51-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.088.072.0
Allowed / game56.455.359.5
Point differential+27.6+32.7+12.5
Avg total140.4143.3131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %78%100%67%
Points / game78.290.772.0
Allowed / game62.061.362.3
Point differential+16.2+29.3+9.7
Avg total140.2152.0134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona990100%90.761.7+29.0
2 Baylor880100%84.056.4+27.6
3 Iowa State10100100%72.157.1+15.0
4 Kansas98189%86.467.0+19.4
5 TCU98189%71.761.2+10.4
6 West Virginia98189%70.661.9+8.7
7 Texas Tech87188%81.958.5+23.4
8 Houston108280%80.956.4+24.5
9 Brigham Young108280%76.165.1+11.0
10 UCF Knights86275%74.565.5+9.0
11 Colorado118373%72.066.9+5.1
12 Utah Utes107370%74.665.0+9.6
13 Cincinnati107370%69.860.6+9.2
14 Oklahoma State96367%73.962.9+11.0
15 Kansas State85362%69.659.1+10.5
16 Arizona State104640%64.767.8-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Providence1110191%70.962.3+8.6
2 Seton Hall98189%80.461.8+18.7
3 DePaul98189%82.767.7+15.0
4 Uconn119282%81.862.1+19.7
5 Xavier119282%75.562.3+13.2
6 St. John's (N.Y.)108280%85.273.0+12.2
7 Creighton108280%73.466.1+7.3
8 Villanova97278%78.262.0+16.2
9 Marquette118373%73.069.5+3.5
10 Butler107370%64.958.3+6.6
11 Georgetown105550%75.274.3+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor253257
Villanova152136
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