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Michigan State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 58-75
36-38 22-37
Position#104
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game60.8
Michigan State
USA
vs
Baylor 🏆
USA
Position#16
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game56.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan State v Baylor
16 Dec 2023
MICH88
BAYL64
26 Nov 2021
MICH58
BAYL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
22-30
30-26
40-38
30-34
27-34
44-33
33-44
32-39
42-48
46-25
44-21
31-23
42-29
49-31
34-28
23-28
40-33
32-24
32-36
135.6Avg total
70.4Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.560.8135.3+13.783%
Season at home (5)74.862.6137.4+12.280%
Season away (1)73.052.0125.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.465.2135.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)74.655.6130.2+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.173.3139.4-7.231%
vs Similar (9)64.265.8130.0-1.667%
vs Weaker (5)86.861.8148.6+25.0100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#41
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H27/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H03/04
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A06/04
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H13/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
W
86-48
86
48
+38
H20/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H25/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-30
39-21
46-38
35-34
45-20
33-39
47-37
39-33
40-28
47-32
48-28
41-32
43-20
49-27
34-28
52-20
45-31
30-32
29-27
40-34
139.6Avg total
80.5Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.056.5139.5+26.5100%
Season at home (5)85.855.6141.4+30.2100%
Season away (1)69.061.0130.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.559.1139.6+21.4100%
Last 5 (5)82.255.8138.0+26.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.764.6145.2+16.193%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +10.1+10.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +10.1+10.1
Michigan StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Michigan
#16
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
34.5Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.164.5+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.930.265.1+4.767%-
Last 30 away (12)28.834.963.8-6.117%-
Last 10 (10)34.530.264.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.226.262.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.134.166.2-2.131%-
vs Similar (9)28.029.157.1-1.144%-
vs Weaker (5)41.830.872.6+11.0100%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#41
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H27/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H03/04
NCAA
Gonzaga
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A06/04
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#236
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H25/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A25/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
40.0Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.829.668.4+9.280%-
Last 30 at home (21)41.029.270.2+11.886%-
Last 30 away (9)33.730.764.3+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)40.028.768.7+11.390%-
Last 5 (5)39.826.866.6+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)46.028.574.5+17.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)38.329.768.0+8.679%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Baylor wins
No previous meetings.
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/21HUconn64-60
24/11/21HLoyola Chicago63-61
20/11/21HEastern Michigan83-59
18/11/21AButler73-52
12/11/21HWestern Michigan90-46
10/11/21HKansas74-87
19/03/21HUCLA80-86 OT
11/03/21AMaryland57-68
07/03/21HMichigan70-64
05/03/21AMichigan50-69
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/21AVCU Rams69-61
25/11/21HArizona State75-63
20/11/21HStanford86-48
18/11/21HCentral Arkansas92-47
15/11/21HNicholls State89-60
13/11/21HIncarnate Word87-60
06/04/21AGonzaga86-70
03/04/21HHouston78-59
30/03/21HArkansas81-72
27/03/21HVillanova62-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%80%100%
Points / game74.574.873.0
Allowed / game60.862.652.0
Point differential+13.7+12.2+21.0
Avg total135.3137.4125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.085.869.0
Allowed / game56.555.661.0
Point differential+26.5+30.2+8.0
Avg total139.5141.4130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa550100%99.668.4+31.2
2 Purdue550100%91.468.8+22.6
3 Indiana550100%75.052.8+22.2
4 USC550100%82.261.4+20.8
5 Minnesota550100%72.859.6+13.2
6 Northwestern65183%81.761.3+20.3
7 UCLA65183%86.270.3+15.8
8 Michigan State65183%74.560.8+13.7
9 Wisconsin65183%67.755.2+12.5
10 Maryland65183%73.868.0+5.8
11 Penn State43175%72.568.2+4.2
12 Nebraska64267%76.068.2+7.8
13 Michigan64267%71.864.5+7.3
14 Ohio State64267%75.369.3+6.0
15 Illinois53260%70.460.4+10.0
16 Rutgers53260%63.458.4+5.0
17 Washington74357%72.472.3+0.1
18 Oregon63350%65.066.5-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona550100%88.857.4+31.4
2 Texas Tech550100%88.257.4+30.8
3 Baylor660100%83.056.5+26.5
4 Brigham Young550100%78.858.6+20.2
5 Kansas440100%83.563.5+20.0
6 Utah Utes550100%77.057.2+19.8
7 Iowa State550100%75.260.0+15.2
8 UCF Knights440100%75.565.2+10.2
9 Oklahoma State65183%77.558.7+18.8
10 Houston65183%73.355.7+17.7
11 Cincinnati65183%74.057.7+16.3
12 Colorado65183%78.767.8+10.8
13 TCU54180%72.462.2+10.2
14 West Virginia54180%71.664.2+7.4
15 Kansas State42250%68.566.2+2.2
16 Arizona State62433%70.570.2+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State362258
Baylor383775
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