Bayreuth vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 78-82

9-21 25-24 27-21 17-16

Position#12

Record4-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game84.1

Bayreuth

Alba Berlin 🏆

Position#1

Record7-2

FormWLLWW

Points / game91.3

Allowed / game78.3

BBLRound 11

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Bayreuth v Alba Berlin

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alba Berlin winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Basketball Braunschweig

85-100

100

-15

A12/05

BBL

Bamberg

75-88

-13

H24/09

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

76-83

-7

A06/10

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

79-88

-9

H13/10

BBL

Vechta

83-84

-1

A18/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

88-74

+14

A02/11

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

95-89

H10/11

BBL

Bayern

79-91

-12

A17/11

BBL

Bonn

#15

82-79

H24/11

BBL

Hamburg

#17

95-81

+14

A30/11

BBL

26-27

22-20

16-24

21-29

15-26

14-21

21-16

25-25

26-29

15-19

19-15

16-20

17-28

21-19

14-20

27-21

28-24

17-18

19-25

19-17

25-16

26-15

26-21

11-22

25-16

24-17

16-26

30-30

20-21

18-26

21-23

19-21

20-18

25-19

18-21

15-18

26-23

25-14

29-26

169.4Avg total

83.7Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	83.6	84.1	167.7	-0.6	44%
Season at home (4)	82.8	86.0	168.8	-3.2	50%
Season away (5)	84.2	82.6	166.8	+1.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	85.7	169.4	-2.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	82.8	170.6	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	79.7	87.9	167.6	-8.1	14%
vs Similar (15)	81.1	89.0	170.1	-7.9	20%
vs Weaker (8)	88.9	81.5	170.4	+7.4	75%

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alba Berlin Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

107-78

107

+29

H18/05

BBL

Vechta

101-78

101

+23

H02/10

BBL

Bamberg

78-74

A06/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

87-53

+34

H15/10

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

110-82

110

+28

A20/10

BBL

Ulm

109-89

109

+20

H03/11

BBL

Bayern

80-84

-4

A10/11

BBL

Ludwigsburg

77-81

-4

A17/11

BBL

Oldenburg

90-77

+13

H23/11

BBL

Bonn

#15

90-87

A26/11

BBL

29-16

31-27

22-22

25-13

24-21

26-22

29-11

22-24

17-18

17-25

21-18

23-13

17-15

23-13

22-15

25-10

32-15

28-23

27-20

23-24

29-28

21-27

24-20

35-14

22-16

16-25

15-21

27-22

15-21

29-14

14-22

19-24

29-23

13-21

23-21

25-12

18-24

17-17

29-21

26-25

171.2Avg total

92.9Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	91.3	78.3	169.7	+13.0	78%
Season at home (4)	96.8	74.2	171.0	+22.5	100%
Season away (5)	87.0	81.6	168.6	+5.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	78.3	171.2	+14.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	83.6	172.8	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.7	90.0	167.7	-12.3	33%
vs Similar (5)	84.6	84.4	169.0	+0.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	94.5	80.0	174.5	+14.5	91%

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayreuthAlba Berlin

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.1	41.9	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	22.8	41.1	-4.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.4	42.7	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.4	23.7	43.1	-4.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.8	19.9	41.6	+1.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.0	20.6	46.6	+5.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.7	42.9	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.4	45.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.2	21.1	45.3	+3.0	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.7	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	22.7	42.3	-3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.3	20.6	43.9	+2.6	59%	-

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Basketball Braunschweig

48-47

A12/05

BBL

Bamberg

29-47

-18

H24/09

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

41-48

-7

A06/10

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

38-47

-9

H13/10

BBL

Vechta

45-42

A18/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

51-31

+20

A02/11

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

49-33

+16

H10/11

BBL

Bayern

40-42

-2

A17/11

BBL

Bonn

#15

39-39

H24/11

BBL

Hamburg

#17

41-41

A30/11

BBL

83.8Avg total

42.1Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.6	82.6	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	42.4	80.2	-4.6	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	42.8	85.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	41.7	83.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.2	81.2	+6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.1	42.3	79.4	-5.1	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.4	43.9	83.3	-4.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.6	40.5	84.1	+3.1	38%	-

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulm

60-43

+17

H18/05

BBL

Vechta

50-43

H02/10

BBL

Bamberg

34-43

-9

A06/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

40-28

+12

H15/10

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

60-38

+22

A20/10

BBL

Ulm

50-55

-5

H03/11

BBL

Bayern

38-41

-3

A10/11

BBL

Ludwigsburg

44-35

A17/11

BBL

Oldenburg

42-44

-2

H23/11

BBL

Bonn

#15

35-41

-6

A26/11

BBL

86.4Avg total

45.3Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	41.6	87.7	+4.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.0	42.9	91.9	+6.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	40.4	83.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	41.1	86.4	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.2	85.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	42.0	79.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.0	40.8	85.8	+4.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.5	41.8	89.2	+5.7	59%	-

This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.2	40.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	21.4	40.7	-2.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.9	18.6	42.5	+5.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	19.6	43.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.5	40.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	22.3	37.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.0	19.2	42.1	+3.8	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	23.3	45.5	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	22.1	46.4	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	24.6	44.5	-4.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.4	46.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	24.6	24.0	48.6	+0.6	57%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	18.3	41.5	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	18.1	43.1	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	19.4	45.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.7	18.8	42.5	+4.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	44.0	86.4	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	42.3	87.4	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	45.9	85.4	-6.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	44.0	85.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	45.6	89.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	42.6	45.6	88.1	-3.0	57%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.9	44.8	85.7	-3.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	45.2	41.0	86.2	+4.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.8	37.9	84.7	+8.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	41.3	83.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	37.2	84.8	+10.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.4	87.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.6	43.6	83.2	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.6	38.0	84.6	+8.7	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.3	50.5%	54.1%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	11.1	43.7%	33.9%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.7	79.4%	73.5%	12.7

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.6	56.7%	54.1%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.9	35.0%	33.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.1%	73.5%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.3	50.6%	54.1%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	10.1	42.3%	33.9%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.6	78.3%	73.5%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.0	54.9%	54.1%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.7	36.0%	33.9%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.9	74.7%	73.5%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayreuth wins

Alba Berlin wins

Date	Game	Score
25/04/19	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	80-79
02/02/19	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	86-68
07/10/18	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	88-68
03/03/18	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	100-68
11/11/17	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	83-76
24/03/17	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	77-76
28/10/16	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	98-96
22/04/16	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	78-82
04/10/15	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	97-77
31/01/15	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	91-60

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/19	A	Hamburg	95-81
24/11/19	H	Bonn	82-79
17/11/19	A	Bayern	79-91
10/11/19	H	Basketball Braunschweig	95-89
02/11/19	A	Frankfurt	88-74
18/10/19	A	Vechta	83-84
13/10/19	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	79-88
06/10/19	A	Crailsheim Merlins	76-83
24/09/19	H	Bamberg	75-88
12/05/19	A	Basketball Braunschweig	85-100

Alba Berlinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/19	A	Bonn	90-87
23/11/19	H	Oldenburg	90-77
17/11/19	A	Ludwigsburg	77-81
10/11/19	A	Bayern	80-84
03/11/19	H	Ulm	109-89
20/10/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	110-82
15/10/19	H	Frankfurt	87-53
06/10/19	A	Bamberg	78-74
02/10/19	H	Vechta	101-78
18/05/19	H	Ulm	107-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	44%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	LLWLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	50%	40%
Points / game	83.6	82.8	84.2
Allowed / game	84.1	86.0	82.6
Point differential	-0.6	-3.2	+1.6
Avg total	167.7	168.8	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	0%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alba Berlin

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	78%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	78%	100%	60%
Points / game	91.3	96.8	87.0
Allowed / game	78.3	74.2	81.6
Point differential	+13.0	+22.5	+5.4
Avg total	169.7	171.0	168.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	100%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	10	10	0	100%	88.3	73.6	+14.7
2	Ludwigsburg	11	9	2	82%	88.1	80.3	+7.8
3	Alba Berlin	9	7	2	78%	91.3	78.3	+13.0
4	Bamberg	11	7	4	64%	85.5	77.1	+8.4
5	Crailsheim Merlins	10	6	4	60%	89.1	83.0	+6.1
6	Oldenburg	10	6	4	60%	81.8	83.9	-2.1
7	s.Oliver Wurzburg	11	6	5	55%	82.5	82.9	-0.4
8	Vechta	11	6	5	55%	82.4	85.4	-3.0
9	Basketball Braunschweig	9	4	5	44%	89.9	89.2	+0.7
10	Bayreuth	9	4	5	44%	83.6	84.1	-0.6
11	Ulm	10	4	6	40%	83.0	83.8	-0.8
12	Giessen	10	4	6	40%	85.2	86.9	-1.7
13	Frankfurt	10	4	6	40%	75.5	79.8	-4.3
14	Bonn	9	2	7	22%	83.9	92.2	-8.3
15	Gottingen	9	2	7	22%	77.8	86.9	-9.1
16	Hamburg	10	2	8	20%	77.1	94.0	-16.9
17	Syntainics MBC	11	2	9	18%	89.7	94.5	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayreuth	9	25	27	17	78
Alba Berlin	21	24	21	16	82

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Bayreuth vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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