Bayreuth will host Heidelberg on 13 November 2026 in the Pro A, and the Pythia model names Heidelberg the favourite, giving it an 88% chance of winning and a projected score of 78-91, a 13.5-point spread that the model believes the home side will cover 50% of the time. Bayreuth's season is 1-7, averaging 89.1 points and conceding 98.4, while Heidelberg sits 4th with a 6-2 record, 81.6 points for and 70.8 against. In the last five games Bayreuth won only once, losing to Paderborn 98-100, beating Bochum 98-83, and falling to Köln 98-105, whereas Heidelberg won three of five, beating Giessen 76-65, losing to Kirchheim 64-72, and beating Göttingen 80-76. Their five-game head-to-head record is 2-3 in favour of Heidelberg, the most recent meeting ending 89-82 for Heidelberg on 22 September 2023. The projected total is 169.3 points with a 53% chance of going over the 168.0 line, and there is a 3% chance the game will go into overtime. Bayreuth's lone home win came 98-83 against Bochum on 30 October 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 89.1 | 98.4 | 187.5 | -9.2 | 12% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.0 | 92.2 | 180.2 | -4.2 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 90.2 | 104.5 | 194.8 | -14.2 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.5 | 95.0 | 185.5 | -4.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.8 | 97.0 | 190.8 | -3.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 84.8 | 93.4 | 178.2 | -8.6 | 31% |
| vs Similar (13) | 85.8 | 82.3 | 168.1 | +3.5 | 46% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 81.5 | 87.8 | 169.2 | -6.2 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 81.6 | 70.8 | 152.4 | +10.9 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 87.0 | 75.0 | 162.0 | +12.0 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 76.2 | 66.5 | 142.8 | +9.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.1 | 75.0 | 157.1 | +7.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 69.8 | 143.4 | +3.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 76.1 | 89.3 | 165.4 | -13.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (8) | 76.8 | 78.0 | 154.8 | -1.2 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 85.8 | 68.2 | 154.0 | +17.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 43.6 | 83.3 | -3.9 | 33% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.9 | 43.8 | 85.7 | -1.9 | 36% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.8 | 43.4 | 81.2 | -5.6 | 31% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.4 | 47.4 | 88.8 | -6.0 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 50.0 | 92.0 | -8.0 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 38.9 | 46.0 | 84.9 | -7.1 | 23% | 62% |
| vs Similar (13) | 40.2 | 40.4 | 80.6 | -0.2 | 46% | 23% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 40.8 | 46.2 | 87.0 | -5.5 | 25% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.6 | 40.8 | 80.4 | -1.1 | 43% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.1 | 43.4 | 84.4 | -2.3 | 43% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.4 | 38.5 | 76.9 | -0.1 | 44% | 19% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.1 | 37.3 | 81.4 | +6.8 | 70% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 35.0 | 76.8 | +6.8 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 36.2 | 44.4 | 80.7 | -8.2 | 19% | 50% |
| vs Similar (8) | 42.0 | 38.4 | 80.4 | +3.6 | 62% | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 45.5 | 34.2 | 79.7 | +11.3 | 83% | 17% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidelberg -4.5 | 79.2% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Heidelberg -3.5 | 81.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Heidelberg over 85.5 | 72.3% | 1.39 | 1.44 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Heidelberg (regulation) | 86.3% | 1.12 | 1.15 | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Heidelberg -5.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Heidelberg over 84.5 | 75.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Heidelberg -6.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +20.5 | 73.7% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Heidelberg win | 88.0% | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 160.5 | 70.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Bayreuth over 71.5 | 73.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Heidelberg -7.5 | 70.3% | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Bayreuth over 72.5 | 70.1% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Bayreuth under 83.5 | 71.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +19.5 | 70.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 30.0 | 16.0 | 53.3% | - | 32.0 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.8 | 11.3 | 37.9% | - | 33.9 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.8 | 14.1 | 71.2% | - | 14.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.3 | 21.3 | 55.6% | - | 42.6 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.9 | 8.3 | 30.9% | - | 24.9 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 14.3 | 76.5% | - | 14.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22/09/23 | Bayreuth v Heidelberg | 82-89 |
| 26/04/23 | Bayreuth v Heidelberg | 96-102 |
| 15/01/23 | Heidelberg v Bayreuth | 107-101 OT |
| 12/02/22 | Bayreuth v Heidelberg | 85-79 |
| 06/11/21 | Heidelberg v Bayreuth | 87-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Paderborn | 98-100 OT |
| 30/10/26 | H | Bochum | 98-83 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Koln | 98-105 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Artland | 86-97 |
| 14/10/26 | H | OrangeAcademy | 89-100 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Kirchheim | 75-104 |
| 02/10/26 | H | PS Karlsruhe | 79-89 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Koblenz | 90-109 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Bochum | 103-88 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Koblenz | 89-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Giessen | 76-65 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kirchheim | 64-72 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Gottingen | 80-76 |
| 17/10/26 | A | PS Karlsruhe | 74-51 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Wolmirstedt | 74-85 |
| 04/10/26 | A | OrangeAcademy | 84-68 |
| 02/10/26 | H | ETB Miners | 118-74 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Tubingen | 83-75 |
| 10/05/26 | H | Vechta | 89-103 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Jena | 79-81 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 12% |
| Home | LLLW | 25% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 89.1 | 88.0 | 90.2 |
| Allowed / game | 98.4 | 92.2 | 104.5 |
| Point differential | -9.2 | -4.2 | -14.2 |
| Avg total | 187.5 | 180.2 | 194.8 |
| Over 168 | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 0% | 25% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLW | 75% |
| Home | WLWW | 75% |
| Away | WWWL | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Points / game | 81.6 | 87.0 | 76.2 |
| Allowed / game | 70.8 | 75.0 | 66.5 |
| Point differential | +10.9 | +12.0 | +9.8 |
| Avg total | 152.4 | 162.0 | 142.8 |
| Over 168 | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 76.1 | +16.9 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 80.8 | 68.0 | +12.8 | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 77.9 | 72.8 | +5.1 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.6 | 70.8 | +10.9 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.1 | 83.1 | +0.0 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 84.4 | 89.3 | -4.9 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.9 | 78.1 | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.9 | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 78.6 | 82.6 | -4.0 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.9 | 85.0 | +0.9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.1 | 82.5 | -0.4 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.2 | 83.0 | -0.8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 83.1 | 86.5 | -3.4 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.9 | 86.2 | -5.4 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.9 | 84.2 | -7.4 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 79.5 | 85.4 | -5.9 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 86.4 | 93.0 | -6.6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 89.1 | 98.4 | -9.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 27 | 12 | 22 | 76 | |
| 24 | 26 | 19 | 18 | 87 |
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