Paderborn hosts Bayreuth on 8 November 2026 in the Pro A, with the Pythia model naming Paderborn the favourite and predicting a 69% chance of victory, 31% for Bayreuth, and a projected score of 88-83 that totals 171.4 points; the home team's line is -4.5 with a 55% chance of covering, the over line is 172.0 with a 48% probability, and an overtime probability of 5%. Paderborn's season record stands at 2-5, scoring 79.6 points per game and allowing 80.3, while Bayreuth is 1-6, averaging 87.9 points and conceding 98.1; in their last five games each team has won only once. At home Paderborn is 2-2, averaging 84.0 points and 78.2 allowed, and their recent results include a 83-71 win over OrangeAcademy at home and losses to Crailsheim Merlins and Kirchheim; Bayreuth's road record is 0-3, with an 87.7 points per game and 106.0 allowed, and their recent outings feature a 98-83 win over Bochum and defeats to Koln and Artland. The teams have met four times, each winning twice, with Paderborn's last win being 103-92 on 17 January 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 79.6 | 80.3 | 159.9 | -0.7 | 29% |
| Season at home (4) | 84.0 | 78.2 | 162.2 | +5.8 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 73.7 | 83.0 | 156.7 | -9.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.3 | 83.7 | 163.0 | -4.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.0 | 81.6 | 159.6 | -3.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 79.9 | 90.1 | 169.9 | -10.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (11) | 81.0 | 85.3 | 166.3 | -4.3 | 45% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 83.3 | 75.0 | 158.3 | +8.3 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 87.9 | 98.1 | 186.0 | -10.3 | 14% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.0 | 92.2 | 180.2 | -4.2 | 25% |
| Season away (3) | 87.7 | 106.0 | 193.7 | -18.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.8 | 94.5 | 184.3 | -4.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.2 | 97.8 | 187.0 | -8.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 84.4 | 93.4 | 177.8 | -9.0 | 31% |
| vs Similar (13) | 85.1 | 81.9 | 167.0 | +3.2 | 46% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 81.5 | 87.8 | 169.2 | -6.2 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 43.0 | 83.5 | -2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.9 | 43.4 | 84.4 | -2.5 | 44% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.0 | 42.5 | 82.5 | -2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.7 | 40.2 | 79.9 | -0.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.4 | 41.0 | 82.4 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 39.5 | 43.7 | 83.2 | -4.2 | 44% | 44% |
| vs Similar (11) | 42.2 | 43.5 | 85.6 | -1.3 | 55% | 55% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 39.7 | 37.7 | 77.3 | +2.0 | 67% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.1 | 44.0 | 83.1 | -4.9 | 30% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.9 | 43.8 | 85.7 | -1.9 | 36% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.6 | 44.2 | 80.9 | -7.6 | 25% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 48.3 | 88.5 | -8.1 | 20% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.6 | 52.4 | 90.0 | -14.8 | 0% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 37.5 | 47.0 | 84.5 | -9.5 | 15% | 46% |
| vs Similar (13) | 40.2 | 40.4 | 80.5 | -0.2 | 46% | 23% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 40.8 | 46.2 | 87.0 | -5.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayreuth under 89.5 | 74.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Bayreuth under 88.5 | 71.0% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Lost |
| Paderborn +3.5 | 77.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Paderborn +2.5 | 74.9% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +13.5 | 75.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | - |
| Paderborn over 82.5 | 72.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Paderborn +1.5 | 71.4% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Paderborn under 94.5 | 72.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Lost |
| Bayreuth +12.5 | 73.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +11.5 | 70.0% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 30.0 | 16.0 | 53.3% | - | 32.0 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.8 | 11.3 | 37.9% | - | 33.9 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.8 | 14.1 | 71.2% | - | 14.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 | Bayreuth v Paderborn | 92-103 |
| 27/09/25 | Paderborn v Bayreuth | 73-94 |
| 20/04/24 | Bayreuth v Paderborn | 88-78 |
| 13/01/24 | Paderborn v Bayreuth | 84-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Crailsheim Merlins | 58-65 |
| 24/10/26 | H | OrangeAcademy | 83-71 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Kirchheim | 82-100 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Koblenz | 86-88 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Bremerhaven | 81-84 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Koln | 90-73 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Bochum | 77-81 |
| 02/05/26 | A | PS Karlsruhe | 74-89 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Tubingen | 70-105 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Kirchheim | 92-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | H | Bochum | 98-83 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Koln | 98-105 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Artland | 86-97 |
| 14/10/26 | H | OrangeAcademy | 89-100 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Kirchheim | 75-104 |
| 02/10/26 | H | PS Karlsruhe | 79-89 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Koblenz | 90-109 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Bochum | 103-88 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Koblenz | 89-75 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Phoenix Hagen | 91-95 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 29% |
| Home | LWLW | 50% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 79.6 | 84.0 | 73.7 |
| Allowed / game | 80.3 | 78.2 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | -0.7 | +5.8 | -9.3 |
| Avg total | 159.9 | 162.2 | 156.7 |
| Over 171.75 | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (3) | 0% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 14% |
| Home | LLLW | 25% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 87.9 | 88.0 | 87.7 |
| Allowed / game | 98.1 | 92.2 | 106.0 |
| Point differential | -10.3 | -4.2 | -18.3 |
| Avg total | 186.0 | 180.2 | 193.7 |
| Over 171.75 | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 93.1 | 75.4 | +17.7 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 80.8 | 68.0 | +12.8 | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 77.9 | 72.8 | +5.1 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.6 | 70.8 | +10.9 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.1 | 83.1 | +0.0 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 85.5 | 88.4 | -2.9 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.9 | 78.1 | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.9 | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 78.6 | 82.6 | -4.0 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.4 | 85.7 | -2.3 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.2 | 83.0 | -0.8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.9 | 86.2 | -5.4 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.9 | 84.2 | -7.4 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.6 | 80.3 | -0.7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 84.3 | 86.3 | -2.0 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 79.5 | 85.4 | -5.9 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 86.4 | 93.0 | -6.6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 87.9 | 98.1 | -10.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 20 | 28 | 18 | 16 | 100 | |
| 27 | 29 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 98 |
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