BC Dnipro vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 96-78

21-14 33-22 19-24 23-18

Position#2

Record18-7

FormWWWLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game65.1

BC Dnipro 🏆

Stariy Lutsk

Position#8

Record5-20

FormLLLLL

Points / game66.9

Allowed / game76.6

FBU Superleague

Other2022-23

Meetings · BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Dnipro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Stariy Lutsk winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Dnipro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Budivelnyk

65-76

-11

A24/01

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

93-64

+29

A25/01

FBU Superleague

Stariy Lutsk

97-94

H11/02

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

71-53

+18

A12/02

FBU Superleague

Goverla

81-62

+19

A03/03

FBU Superleague

BIPA

101-69

101

+32

A04/03

FBU Superleague

BC Halychyna

97-57

+40

H05/03

FBU Superleague

Goverla

77-52

+25

A06/03

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

80-86

-6

H10/03

FBU Superleague

Goverla

81-52

+29

H17/03

FBU Superleague

17-21

16-26

12-12

20-17

24-17

24-2

19-20

26-25

31-18

14-26

28-26

24-24

17-13

16-13

24-11

14-16

22-15

21-12

19-17

19-18

22-10

22-19

30-23

27-17

21-9

23-20

28-17

25-11

20-17

18-9

15-10

24-16

27-22

22-23

17-21

14-20

17-14

18-10

26-15

20-13

150.8Avg total

84.3Scored

66.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.3	65.1	144.4	+14.2	72%
Season at home (14)	86.7	68.9	155.6	+17.8	79%
Season away (11)	69.8	60.2	130.0	+9.6	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	66.5	150.8	+17.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	63.2	150.4	+24.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	67.0	70.2	137.2	-3.2	25%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	81.7	64.5	146.2	+17.1	85%

This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Stariy Lutsk Ukraine

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Zaporozhye

73-66

H12/01

FBU Superleague

BIPA

75-83

-8

A27/01

FBU Superleague

Goverla

71-73

-2

H28/01

FBU Superleague

BC Halychyna

55-82

-27

A29/01

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

73-63

+10

A10/02

FBU Superleague

BC Dnipro

94-97

-3

A11/02

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

71-88

-17

A12/02

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

66-85

-19

A28/02

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

57-88

-31

A01/03

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

62-71

-9

A17/03

FBU Superleague

13-17

19-27

20-14

21-8

20-27

20-23

11-13

24-20

17-21

13-24

19-15

22-13

21-10

18-23

9-21

7-28

17-21

15-9

20-21

21-12

18-31

26-14

26-28

24-24

23-21

16-29

17-17

15-21

12-24

19-15

17-22

18-24

13-17

19-25

14-22

11-24

16-19

15-15

13-19

18-18

149.3Avg total

69.7Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	66.9	76.6	143.5	-9.7	20%
Season at home (10)	63.5	74.6	138.1	-11.1	10%
Season away (15)	69.2	77.9	147.1	-8.7	27%
Last 10 (10)	69.7	79.6	149.3	-9.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	85.8	155.8	-15.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	64.1	80.5	144.6	-16.3	0%
vs Similar (6)	69.5	74.5	144.0	-5.0	33%
vs Weaker (4)	73.5	65.2	138.8	+8.2	75%

This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BC DniproStariy Lutsk

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	16.0	37.8	+5.8	86%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	15.9	38.6	+6.7	93%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	16.1	36.9	+4.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	15.6	37.4	+6.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	14.4	35.8	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.4	15.3	37.7	+7.1	96%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.4	38.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.6	19.7	36.3	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.0	18.7	35.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	16.3	36.5	+3.9	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	15.2	34.6	+4.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.0	35.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.2	36.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	75%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.6	15.9	36.4	+4.7	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.1	19.7	36.8	-2.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.3	21.2	37.5	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	16.8	34.2	+0.8	50%	-

BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Budivelnyk

33-47

-14

A24/01

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

48-19

+29

A25/01

FBU Superleague

Stariy Lutsk

45-44

H11/02

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

33-26

A12/02

FBU Superleague

Goverla

43-27

+16

A03/03

FBU Superleague

BIPA

44-29

+15

A04/03

FBU Superleague

BC Halychyna

44-29

+15

H05/03

FBU Superleague

Goverla

38-26

+12

A06/03

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

49-45

H10/03

FBU Superleague

Goverla

35-24

+11

H17/03

FBU Superleague

72.8Avg total

41.2Scored

31.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	32.3	74.3	+9.7	86%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	33.2	76.8	+10.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	31.3	71.6	+9.0	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	31.6	72.8	+9.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	30.6	72.6	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.0	31.2	74.2	+11.8	96%	-

This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Zaporozhye

32-44

-12

H12/01

FBU Superleague

BIPA

40-50

-10

A27/01

FBU Superleague

Goverla

30-45

-15

H28/01

FBU Superleague

BC Halychyna

39-33

A29/01

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

32-30

A10/02

FBU Superleague

BC Dnipro

44-45

-1

A11/02

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

39-50

-11

A12/02

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

31-39

-8

A28/02

FBU Superleague

Kyiv Basket

32-42

-10

A01/03

FBU Superleague

BK Zaporozhye

31-34

-3

A17/03

FBU Superleague

76.2Avg total

35.0Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	33.9	39.2	73.1	-5.2	24%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	31.7	39.2	70.9	-7.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.4	39.1	74.5	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	41.2	76.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	42.0	77.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.1	40.1	74.2	-6.1	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.0	38.7	71.7	-5.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.8	36.2	71.0	-1.5	50%	-

This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	15.1	32.7	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.2	40.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	12.8	27.8	+2.2	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.8	16.7	36.4	+3.1	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	15.6	19.3	34.9	-3.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	15.0	18.9	33.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.5	35.6	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	14.4	20.7	35.1	-6.3	7%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	17.8	35.7	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	18.4	39.8	+2.9	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.0	40.3	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.4	37.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.3	15.7	32.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.3	19.1	34.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	12.8	34.5	+9.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	34.6	75.0	+5.9	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	35.1	77.9	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	34.1	71.9	+3.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	34.9	78.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	32.6	77.8	+12.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.0	31.2	62.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.0	35.1	77.1	+6.8	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	32.8	37.1	69.9	-4.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	31.3	34.6	65.9	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.8	38.8	72.6	-5.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	38.4	73.1	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	43.8	78.4	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	29.7	39.8	69.5	-10.1	13%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.5	35.8	72.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.8	29.0	67.8	+9.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

BC Dniprotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Dnipro: 51.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀35%

🏀🏀🏀59%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers18.0 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀 Free throws3.0 pts a game · 6% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game

51%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	23.0	9.0	39.1%	49.3%	18.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.0	34.5%	30.8%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	6.0	3.0	50.0%	70.4%	3.0

They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	21.0	56.8%	49.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.0	12.0	32.4%	30.8%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	10.0	76.9%	70.4%	10.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	21.0	56.8%	49.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.0	12.0	32.4%	30.8%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	13.0	10.0	76.9%	70.4%	10.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BC Dnipro wins

Stariy Lutsk wins

Date	Game	Score
11/02/23	BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk	97-94
20/12/22	Stariy Lutsk v BC Dnipro	52-66
24/11/22	BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk	92-79

BC Dniprolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/23	H	Goverla	81-52
10/03/23	H	Kyiv Basket	80-86
06/03/23	A	Goverla	77-52
05/03/23	H	BC Halychyna	97-57
04/03/23	A	BIPA	101-69
03/03/23	A	Goverla	81-62
12/02/23	A	Cherkaski Mavpy	71-53
11/02/23	H	Stariy Lutsk	97-94
25/01/23	A	BK Zaporozhye	93-64
24/01/23	A	Budivelnyk	65-76

Stariy Lutsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/23	A	BK Zaporozhye	62-71
01/03/23	A	Kyiv Basket	57-88
28/02/23	A	Cherkaski Mavpy	66-85
12/02/23	A	Budivelnyk	71-88
11/02/23	A	BC Dnipro	94-97
10/02/23	A	BK Zaporozhye	73-63
29/01/23	A	BC Halychyna	55-82
28/01/23	H	Goverla	71-73
27/01/23	A	BIPA	75-83
12/01/23	H	BK Zaporozhye	73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Dnipro

FBU Superleague 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	72%
Home	WWWLW	79%
Away	WWWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	14	11
Win %	72%	79%	64%
Points / game	79.3	86.7	69.8
Allowed / game	65.1	68.9	60.2
Point differential	+14.2	+17.8	+9.6
Avg total	144.4	155.6	130.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	71%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Stariy Lutsk

FBU Superleague 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	20%
Home	LLLWL	10%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	10	15
Win %	20%	10%	27%
Points / game	66.9	63.5	69.2
Allowed / game	76.6	74.6	77.9
Point differential	-9.7	-11.1	-8.7
Avg total	143.5	138.1	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Budivelnyk	25	25	0	100%	81.9	61.1	+20.8
2	BC Dnipro	25	18	7	72%	79.3	65.1	+14.2
3	Kyiv Basket	26	18	8	69%	77.6	69.8	+7.7
4	BIPA	25	17	8	68%	75.6	69.9	+5.7
5	BC Halychyna	26	14	12	54%	73.2	71.5	+1.7
6	Goverla	25	8	17	32%	63.2	70.3	-7.1
7	Cherkaski Mavpy	25	6	19	24%	66.0	75.6	-9.6
8	Stariy Lutsk	25	5	20	20%	66.9	76.6	-9.7
9	BK Zaporozhye	26	3	23	12%	60.2	83.4	-23.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BC Dnipro	21	33	19	23	96
Stariy Lutsk	14	22	24	18	78

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BC Dnipro vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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