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BC Dnipro vs Stariy Lutsk Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 76-39
18-9 17-17 19-3 22-10
Position#1
Record13-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#8
Record5-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game73.2
UkraineFBU Superleague· ODYuSSh
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Dnipro v Stariy Lutsk
10 Jan 2026
DNI86
STAR68
02 Feb 2025
DNI96
STAR52
06 Nov 2024
DNI76
STAR64
12 Jan 2024
DNI76
STAR39
18 Mar 2023
DNI96
STAR78
11 Feb 2023
DNI97
STAR94
24 Nov 2022
DNI92
STAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Dnipro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stariy Lutsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC DniproUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDnipro
Date
Competition
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
81avg 87
A18/10
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
88avg 87
A19/10
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
104-58
104
58
+46
109avg 87
H03/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 87
H10/11
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
95-74
95
74
+21
106avg 87
H19/11
FBU Superleague
Budivelnyk
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
H04/12
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
96-81
96
81
+15
107avg 87
H06/12
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
70-52
70
52
+18
61avg 87
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
W
83-54
83
54
+29
74avg 87
A21/12
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
88avg 87
A22/12
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
30-15
15-20
16-16
29-9
26-14
15-13
20-26
24-21
32-12
25-14
23-11
14-21
27-22
26-19
16-11
27-25
24-13
25-14
19-22
23-15
19-25
6-23
26-17
32-25
26-19
25-20
13-17
14-19
21-9
17-12
18-12
31-13
12-12
19-11
21-18
28-19
17-23
25-13
17-16
153.0Avg total
86.0Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.366.9151.1+17.493%
Season at home (5)90.473.2163.6+17.280%
Season away (9)80.963.3144.2+17.6100%
Last 10 (10)86.067.0153.0+19.090%
Last 5 (5)82.067.6149.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (2)73.073.0146.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.766.8152.5+18.993%
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskUkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLutsk
Date
Competition
BIPA
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 55
H01/11
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
67avg 55
H02/11
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 55
H22/11
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
L
54-73
54
73
-19
35avg 55
A23/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
54avg 55
H07/12
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
64avg 55
H08/12
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
57avg 55
H09/12
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
49avg 55
H17/12
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 55
A18/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
46avg 55
A19/12
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
14-17
20-19
19-23
21-18
14-17
19-22
20-13
15-28
26-26
10-16
15-20
13-25
15-14
11-21
15-13
13-15
16-22
14-14
20-14
20-17
21-17
29-15
9-21
20-17
9-13
22-17
21-17
17-31
22-15
6-21
18-8
15-16
17-20
21-18
7-14
13-17
12-22
18-23
17-14
139.2Avg total
66.4Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)64.473.2137.6-8.831%
Season at home (10)66.974.5141.4-7.640%
Season away (6)60.371.0131.3-10.717%
Last 10 (10)66.472.8139.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)66.870.6137.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.082.7148.7-16.711%
vs Similar (9)67.670.4138.0-2.933%
vs Weaker (3)69.063.3132.3+5.767%
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
BC DniproStariy Lutsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC DniproLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
FBU Superleague
Stariy Lutsk
#8
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A19/10
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H03/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/11
FBU Superleague
Kryvbas
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H19/11
FBU Superleague
Budivelnyk
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H04/12
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H06/12
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A20/12
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A21/12
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A22/12
FBU Superleague
81.8Avg total
47.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.932.976.8+11.093%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.836.181.9+9.686%-
Last 30 away (16)42.230.072.2+12.2100%-
Last 10 (10)47.334.581.8+12.890%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.880.4+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.025.067.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar (2)39.538.077.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.332.877.1+11.593%-
This opponent (Stariy Lutsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stariy LutskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BIPA
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H01/11
FBU Superleague
BK Zaporozhye
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/11
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H22/11
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/11
FBU Superleague
Rivne
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H07/12
FBU Superleague
BC Halychyna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H08/12
FBU Superleague
Goverla
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H09/12
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/12
FBU Superleague
BIPA
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/12
FBU Superleague
Kyiv Basket
#4
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A19/12
FBU Superleague
71.8Avg total
33.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.939.373.2-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.539.675.1-4.129%-
Last 30 away (16)32.639.071.6-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)33.338.571.8-5.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.237.070.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.243.477.7-9.217%-
vs Similar (9)32.433.966.3-1.433%-
vs Weaker (3)36.730.767.3+6.067%-
This opponent (BC Dnipro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Dniprotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Dnipro: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.3
59.9%
49.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
30.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
71.9%14.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stariy Lutsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stariy Lutsk: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.515.3
45.7%
49.5%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
30.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.1
68.8%
71.9%12.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Dnipro
WWWWLWWWWW
Stariy Lutsk
LLLWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#8
+28.2
Net rating
-7.4
118.8
Offensive rating
96.8
90.6
Defensive rating
104.3
56.8%
Effective FG%
44.4%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
40.0%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
28.6%
78.0%
Assist %
68.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 96.8Defence90.6 · 104.3Shooting56.8% · 44.4%3-point %34.7% · 28.6%Ball care20.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds40.0% · 32.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ BC Dnipro   ■ Stariy Lutsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BC Dnipro wins
0
Stariy Lutsk wins
BC Dniprolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ABC Halychyna87-71
21/12/23ARivne83-54
20/12/23AGoverla70-52
06/12/23HBIPA96-81
04/12/23HBudivelnyk74-80
19/11/23HKryvbas95-74
10/11/23HRivne83-73
03/11/23HGoverla104-58
19/10/23AStariy Lutsk90-62
18/10/23ACherkaski Mavpy78-65
Stariy Lutsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23AKyiv Basket60-76
18/12/23ABIPA60-68
17/12/23HCherkaski Mavpy63-75
09/12/23HGoverla72-64
08/12/23HBC Halychyna79-70
07/12/23HRivne63-65
23/11/23ACherkaski Mavpy54-73
22/11/23HKyiv Basket66-90
02/11/23HBK Zaporozhye74-70
01/11/23HBIPA73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Dnipro
FBU Superleague 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW93%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %93%80%100%
Points / game84.390.480.9
Allowed / game66.973.263.3
Point differential+17.4+17.2+17.6
Avg total151.1163.6144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%80%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stariy Lutsk
FBU Superleague 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %31%40%17%
Points / game64.466.960.3
Allowed / game73.274.571.0
Point differential-8.8-7.6-10.7
Avg total137.6141.4131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Dnipro1413193%84.366.9+17.4
2 Budivelnyk1310377%78.161.1+17.0
3 Cherkaski Mavpy1711665%74.868.9+5.9
4 Rivne1911858%75.970.0+5.9
5 Goverla1911858%68.571.8-3.4
6 Kyiv Basket169756%75.174.4+0.7
7 BK Zaporozhye158753%71.571.7-0.1
8 BC Halychyna1881044%75.678.2-2.7
9 Stariy Lutsk1651131%64.473.2-8.8
10 BIPA1951426%68.575.0-6.5
11 Kryvbas160160%59.678.9-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Dnipro1817192276
Stariy Lutsk91731039
← all games of the day
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