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BC Nokia vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-74
16-23 18-13 15-24 26-14
Position#2
Record26-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#7
Record23-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game83.3
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - Semi-finals· Harjuniityn Liikuntahalli
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · BC Nokia v Kataja
07 Dec 2024
NOK81
KAT101
05 May 2024
NOK75
KAT74
01 May 2024
NOK90
KAT93
25 Apr 2024
NOK85
KAT64
19 Apr 2024
NOK86
KAT67
22 Mar 2024
NOK97
KAT88
19 Jan 2024
NOK88
KAT73
28 Dec 2023
NOK123
KAT80
01 Nov 2022
NOK75
KAT83
30 Mar 2022
NOK57
KAT65
15 Dec 2021
NOK73
KAT75
04 Nov 2020
NOK90
KAT68
12 Jan 2020
NOK89
KAT84
03 Jan 2020
NOK102
KAT94
28 Dec 2018
NOK97
KAT95
13 Oct 2018
NOK86
KAT88
12 Apr 2018
NOK92
KAT80
08 Apr 2018
NOK95
KAT78
18 Feb 2018
NOK98
KAT76
12 Nov 2017
NOK96
KAT91
09 Apr 2017
NOK69
KAT74
05 Apr 2017
NOK79
KAT75
29 Mar 2017
NOK84
KAT65
07 Jan 2017
NOK70
KAT79
07 Apr 2016
NOK75
KAT72
03 Apr 2016
NOK85
KAT79
12 Mar 2016
NOK78
KAT82
19 Dec 2015
NOK85
KAT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
69avg 82
A30/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
92avg 82
H06/04
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 82
A09/04
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 82
H12/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
86-67
86
67
+19
77avg 82
H19/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
75-99
75
99
-24
63avg 82
A22/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
85-64
85
64
+21
80avg 82
H25/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 82
A29/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
87avg 82
H01/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
90-104
90
104
-14
85avg 82
A03/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
21-16
16-16
23-36
28-17
19-17
17-14
12-28
27-27
15-19
14-9
23-10
18-17
30-24
25-22
16-22
12-9
21-17
18-24
35-17
22-18
14-28
24-27
15-26
20-10
20-20
18-20
27-14
25-22
19-16
25-19
24-23
27-21
19-20
23-25
21-27
21-27
26-19
23-28
20-30
170.7Avg total
86.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)87.884.7172.5+3.163%
Season at home (21)89.783.0172.6+6.771%
Season away (20)85.886.5172.3-0.755%
Last 10 (10)86.284.5170.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)86.688.0174.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.585.8166.2-5.225%
vs Similar (12)87.187.0174.1+0.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.883.8174.5+7.069%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
74-95
74
95
-21
55avg 73
A05/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 73
H09/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
59avg 73
A12/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
60avg 73
H14/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
62avg 73
A19/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
99-75
99
75
+24
106avg 73
H22/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 73
A25/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
65avg 73
H29/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
81avg 73
A01/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
104-90
104
90
+14
94avg 73
H03/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
13-27
20-14
14-32
19-16
28-25
21-20
23-24
13-22
18-22
22-12
22-18
16-16
14-16
28-22
13-16
9-12
17-21
24-18
17-35
18-22
28-14
27-24
26-15
10-20
20-20
20-18
14-27
22-25
16-19
19-25
23-24
21-27
20-19
25-23
27-21
27-21
19-26
28-23
30-20
166.1Avg total
81.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)82.783.3166.0-0.655%
Season at home (21)86.381.7168.0+4.667%
Season away (21)79.084.9163.9-5.943%
Last 10 (10)81.884.3166.1-2.560%
Last 5 (5)88.086.6174.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.886.6167.4-5.944%
vs Similar (11)81.083.1164.1-2.155%
vs Weaker (2)102.576.5179.0+26.0100%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
BC NokiaKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A30/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/04
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A09/04
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H12/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H19/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/04
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H01/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/05
Korisliiga
81.1Avg total
42.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.683.9+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.439.684.9+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.041.782.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.981.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.282.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.525%-
vs Similar (12)42.243.485.6-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.038.283.2+6.892%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A05/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A12/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H14/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A19/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A25/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/05
Korisliiga
78.7Avg total
37.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.482.4-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.642.183.7-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.781.1-4.220%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.278.7-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.682.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.642.181.8-2.525%-
vs Similar (11)39.441.881.2-2.536%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.224.2
53.5%
51.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.5
30.9%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
73.5%11.3
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.6
49.4%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.8
32.2%
33.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.712.2
77.7%
73.5%12.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
LLWWLWWWWL
Kataja
WWLLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#7
+2.1
Net rating
-3.5
105.0
Offensive rating
104.2
102.9
Defensive rating
107.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.6%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.9%
3-point %
32.2%
67.6%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 104.2Defence102.9 · 107.7Shooting50.8% · 48.9%3-point %30.9% · 32.2%Ball care14.2% · 16.6%Off. rebounds23.9% · 30.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
BC Nokia wins
4
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
03/05/24Kataja v BC Nokia104-90
01/05/24BC Nokia v Kataja90-93
29/04/24Kataja v BC Nokia80-93
25/04/24BC Nokia v Kataja85-64
22/04/24Kataja v BC Nokia99-75
19/04/24BC Nokia v Kataja86-67
22/03/24BC Nokia v Kataja97-88
17/02/24Kataja v BC Nokia81-73
19/01/24BC Nokia v Kataja88-73
28/12/23BC Nokia v Kataja123-80
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24AKataja90-104
01/05/24HKataja90-93
29/04/24AKataja93-80
25/04/24HKataja85-64
22/04/24AKataja75-99
19/04/24HKataja86-67
12/04/24HKouvot Kouvola89-85
09/04/24AKouvot Kouvola79-65
06/04/24HKouvot Kouvola97-95 OT
30/03/24AHelsinki Seagulls78-93
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24HBC Nokia104-90
01/05/24ABC Nokia93-90
29/04/24HBC Nokia80-93
25/04/24ABC Nokia64-85
22/04/24HBC Nokia99-75
19/04/24ABC Nokia67-86
14/04/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki71-70
12/04/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki75-74
09/04/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-85
05/04/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki74-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %63%71%55%
Points / game87.889.785.8
Allowed / game84.783.086.5
Point differential+3.1+6.7-0.7
Avg total172.5172.6172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game82.786.379.0
Allowed / game83.381.784.9
Point differential-0.6+4.6-5.9
Avg total166.0168.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)75% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls42311174%89.179.2+9.9
2 BC Nokia41261563%87.884.7+3.1
3 Kouvot Kouvola35201557%87.383.4+4.0
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki36201656%86.885.9+0.9
5 Kataja42231955%82.783.3-0.6
6 Karhu Basket43232053%84.081.1+2.9
7 Salon Vilpas36191753%85.883.8+2.0
8 KTP Kotka Basket32131941%85.189.4-4.3
9 Kobrat35142140%80.582.4-1.9
10 Pyrinto Tampere32122038%83.587.0-3.5
11 Bisons Loimaa32102231%83.488.9-5.4
12 Lahti Basketball3282425%85.898.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia1618152675
Kataja2313241474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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