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BC Nokia vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-88
26-10 18-30 38-24 15-24
Position#2
Record19-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#7
Record17-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game82.3
FinlandKorisliiga· Harjuniityn Liikuntahalli
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Nokia v Kataja
07 Dec 2024
NOK81
KAT101
05 May 2024
NOK75
KAT74
01 May 2024
NOK90
KAT93
25 Apr 2024
NOK85
KAT64
19 Apr 2024
NOK86
KAT67
22 Mar 2024
NOK97
KAT88
19 Jan 2024
NOK88
KAT73
28 Dec 2023
NOK123
KAT80
01 Nov 2022
NOK75
KAT83
30 Mar 2022
NOK57
KAT65
15 Dec 2021
NOK73
KAT75
04 Nov 2020
NOK90
KAT68
12 Jan 2020
NOK89
KAT84
03 Jan 2020
NOK102
KAT94
28 Dec 2018
NOK97
KAT95
13 Oct 2018
NOK86
KAT88
12 Apr 2018
NOK92
KAT80
08 Apr 2018
NOK95
KAT78
18 Feb 2018
NOK98
KAT76
12 Nov 2017
NOK96
KAT91
09 Apr 2017
NOK69
KAT74
05 Apr 2017
NOK79
KAT75
29 Mar 2017
NOK84
KAT65
07 Jan 2017
NOK70
KAT79
07 Apr 2016
NOK75
KAT72
03 Apr 2016
NOK85
KAT79
12 Mar 2016
NOK78
KAT82
19 Dec 2015
NOK85
KAT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 82
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 82
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 82
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 82
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 82
A17/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 82
A02/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
73avg 82
H06/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 82
H09/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
71-90
71
90
-19
64avg 82
A16/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
12-23
26-28
14-12
16-15
27-16
13-16
20-21
15-17
31-21
21-22
18-25
19-24
15-17
17-11
21-30
19-21
19-27
21-16
33-19
21-19
17-12
22-25
13-25
25-20
16-30
27-20
23-24
21-29
17-17
15-24
24-15
24-23
17-26
29-4
21-34
18-24
13-22
16-15
24-29
166.6Avg total
81.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.584.6173.1+3.966%
Season at home (14)90.383.1173.4+7.171%
Season away (15)86.885.9172.7+0.960%
Last 10 (10)81.984.7166.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)80.687.4168.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.289.0169.2-8.825%
vs Similar (13)86.586.3172.8+0.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.882.9175.7+9.883%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
83avg 72
A27/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
110-68
110
68
+42
111avg 72
H03/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 72
A11/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 72
A14/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
67avg 72
H17/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
78avg 72
H02/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 72
A05/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 72
H13/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 72
H16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
69-62
69
62
+7
61avg 72
A19/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
28-22
11-18
31-26
25-19
23-25
35-8
27-16
20-20
20-20
25-33
16-17
19-24
16-21
13-23
21-29
19-21
12-17
25-22
25-13
17-15
20-37
23-26
24-14
13-22
27-20
22-16
16-23
25-23
20-21
26-20
10-13
24-26
19-19
21-21
13-21
32-13
19-14
6-11
12-24
163.7Avg total
82.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.782.3165.0+0.457%
Season at home (15)85.680.9166.5+4.767%
Season away (15)79.983.7163.6-3.947%
Last 10 (10)82.581.2163.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)77.879.8157.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.187.8168.8-6.738%
vs Similar (12)80.979.2160.2+1.750%
vs Weaker (4)99.083.8182.8+15.2100%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
BC NokiaKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A17/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H09/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A16/03
Korisliiga
80.9Avg total
38.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.887.0+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.142.188.2+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)44.541.485.9+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.380.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.482.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.246.087.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (13)41.842.584.2-0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)49.840.390.1+9.483%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A27/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H03/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A11/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H02/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A05/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A19/03
Korisliiga
84.1Avg total
42.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.184.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.742.486.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.841.983.7-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.884.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.743.185.8-0.438%-
vs Similar (12)40.839.880.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (4)50.843.294.0+7.5100%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.8
54.0%
51.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
29.8%
33.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.612.1
77.6%
73.5%12.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.9
48.6%
51.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.2
34.4%
33.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
73.5%12.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
LWLLLWLWWL
Kataja
WLWLLWLLWW
#2
League position
#7
-2.5
Net rating
+1.5
104.4
Offensive rating
110.5
106.9
Defensive rating
109.0
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.8%
3-point %
34.4%
62.9%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 110.5Defence106.9 · 109.0Shooting50.6% · 50.0%3-point %29.8% · 34.4%Ball care17.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.1% · 35.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BC Nokia wins
6
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Kataja v BC Nokia81-73
19/01/24BC Nokia v Kataja88-73
28/12/23BC Nokia v Kataja123-80
21/10/23Kataja v BC Nokia81-85
13/01/23Kataja v BC Nokia94-54
10/01/23Kataja v BC Nokia95-81
01/11/22BC Nokia v Kataja75-83 OT
30/03/22BC Nokia v Kataja57-65
12/03/22Kataja v BC Nokia81-92
15/12/21BC Nokia v Kataja73-75
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AKarhu Basket71-90
09/03/24HSalon Vilpas91-87
06/03/24HHelsinki Seagulls77-85
02/03/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-94
17/02/24AKataja73-81
14/02/24HKarhu Basket92-83
08/02/24ASalon Vilpas72-82
03/02/24HKTP Kotka Basket100-94 OT
27/01/24AKobrat76-68
20/01/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-83
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24AKarhu Basket69-62
16/03/24HHelsinki Seagulls77-87
13/03/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-77
05/03/24ASalon Vilpas78-81
02/03/24HKarhu Basket84-92
17/02/24HBC Nokia81-73
14/02/24AHelsinki Seagulls69-97
11/02/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-90
03/02/24HLahti Basketball110-68
27/01/24ABisons Loimaa95-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL66%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%71%60%
Points / game88.590.386.8
Allowed / game84.683.185.9
Point differential+3.9+7.1+0.9
Avg total173.1173.4172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%67%47%
Points / game82.785.679.9
Allowed / game82.380.983.7
Point differential+0.4+4.7-3.9
Avg total165.0166.5163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2921872%91.080.9+10.1
2 BC Nokia29191066%88.584.6+3.9
3 Kouvot Kouvola29171259%89.284.2+5.0
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki29171259%88.387.3+0.9
5 Karhu Basket30171357%86.280.7+5.5
6 Kataja30171357%82.782.3+0.4
7 Salon Vilpas29161355%86.483.8+2.6
8 Kobrat29131645%81.382.4-1.1
9 KTP Kotka Basket29121741%83.988.1-4.2
10 Pyrinto Tampere29111838%82.887.2-4.3
11 Bisons Loimaa2982128%83.589.5-6.0
12 Lahti Basketball2972224%85.298.2-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia2618381597
Kataja1030242488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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