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BC Nokia vs Lahti Basketball Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 98-82
27-13 22-24 27-21 22-24
Position#2
Record14-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game84.6
BC Nokia 🏆
Finland
vs
Lahti Basketball
Finland
Position#12
Record4-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game101.8
FinlandKorisliiga· Nokian Palloiluhalli (Nokia)
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Nokia v Lahti Basketball
16 Jan 2024
NOK98
LAHT82
17 Mar 2023
NOK103
LAHT95
21 Oct 2022
NOK74
LAHT76
16 Feb 2022
NOK78
LAHT95
27 Oct 2021
NOK75
LAHT76
23 Jan 2021
NOK97
LAHT89
03 Mar 2020
NOK90
LAHT88
19 Nov 2019
NOK94
LAHT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lahti Basketball winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#9
L
74-91
74
91
-17
60avg 85
H24/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
98-93
98
93
+5
88avg 85
A28/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
95avg 85
A02/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 85
H09/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
88avg 85
H13/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
123-80
123
80
+43
131avg 85
H28/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
no box
A31/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
80avg 85
A02/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 85
H05/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
94-89
94
89
+5
92avg 85
A12/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-30
19-20
16-23
28-19
28-19
27-31
15-24
31-14
16-26
21-21
23-23
16-31
24-20
18-21
26-19
24-29
21-10
23-21
22-24
26-23
42-19
33-21
22-17
22-20
26-20
22-22
21-29
20-17
24-18
26-23
18-21
23-20
21-17
20-25
27-20
30-25
21-25
17-12
26-27
183.0Avg total
94.3Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.884.6175.4+6.274%
Season at home (9)89.681.4171.0+8.167%
Season away (10)91.987.4179.3+4.580%
Last 10 (10)94.388.7183.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)101.288.8190.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.096.6179.6-13.620%
vs Similar (15)88.383.3171.6+4.973%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.380.0172.3+12.390%
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
no box
A22/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
96-103
96
103
-7
87avg 77
H29/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
97-112
97
112
-15
89avg 77
H01/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
63avg 77
A11/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 77
H15/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 77
H19/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 77
A28/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
80avg 77
H31/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
83-112
83
112
-29
69avg 77
A07/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
109-101
109
101
+8
102avg 77
A10/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
16-25
27-29
19-16
20-24
23-30
30-26
23-23
21-20
27-36
33-28
16-28
19-26
12-28
22-25
21-26
19-19
23-29
23-23
23-30
22-26
19-21
16-22
20-20
23-25
22-25
21-26
21-26
34-21
20-21
19-22
19-24
24-26
19-25
20-35
20-26
26-26
28-20
26-31
29-24
191.8Avg total
90.2Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.8101.8189.7-14.021%
Season at home (10)89.698.4188.0-8.830%
Season away (9)85.9105.7191.6-19.811%
Last 10 (10)90.2101.6191.8-11.420%
Last 5 (5)89.698.4188.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)88.2101.7189.9-13.520%
vs Similar (8)95.590.1185.6+5.462%
vs Weaker (2)107.598.0205.5+9.5100%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
BC NokiaLahti Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H24/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H09/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H13/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
68-42
68
42
+26
H28/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
Korisliiga
90.2Avg total
48.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.640.485.9+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.440.186.6+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)44.840.685.4+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)48.242.090.2+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)51.040.891.8+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
vs Similar (15)44.939.984.8+4.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)49.040.189.1+8.970%-
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A22/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H29/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H01/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A11/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H19/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A28/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H31/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A10/01
Korisliiga
93.8Avg total
44.5Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.048.493.4-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.747.291.9-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)45.449.695.0-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)44.549.393.8-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.294.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)43.449.993.2-6.525%-
vs Similar (8)47.246.193.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)53.042.595.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.425.0
57.6%
51.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.2
37.1%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
73.5%14.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.1
50.9%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
73.5%12.6
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
WWWLWWLWWL
Lahti Basketball
WLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#12
+11.1
Net rating
-16.7
114.9
Offensive rating
107.1
103.8
Defensive rating
123.8
56.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
37.4%
69.6%
Assist %
55.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 107.1Defence103.8 · 123.8Shooting56.9% · 52.9%3-point %37.1% · 37.4%Ball care14.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds24.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Lahti Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BC Nokia wins
5
Lahti Basketball wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Lahti Basketball v BC Nokia70-99
17/03/23BC Nokia v Lahti Basketball103-95
11/02/23Lahti Basketball v BC Nokia85-88
03/01/23Lahti Basketball v BC Nokia94-90 OT
21/10/22BC Nokia v Lahti Basketball74-76
19/03/22Lahti Basketball v BC Nokia106-97 OT
16/02/22BC Nokia v Lahti Basketball78-95
18/12/21Lahti Basketball v BC Nokia99-103
27/10/21BC Nokia v Lahti Basketball75-76
23/01/21BC Nokia v Lahti Basketball97-89
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24ABisons Loimaa94-89
05/01/24HHelsinki Seagulls91-82
02/01/24ASalon Vilpas88-79
31/12/23AKouvot Kouvola110-114 OT
28/12/23HKataja123-80
13/12/23HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki90-84
09/12/23HKarhu Basket84-91
02/12/23APyrinto Tampere91-84
28/11/23AKTP Kotka Basket98-93
24/11/23HKobrat74-91
Lahti Basketballlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki109-101
07/01/24APyrinto Tampere83-112
31/12/23HKTP Kotka Basket92-88
28/12/23AKobrat87-102
19/12/23HKarhu Basket77-89
15/12/23HBisons Loimaa88-101
11/12/23AHelsinki Seagulls74-105
01/12/23HKouvot Kouvola97-112
29/11/23HKataja96-103
22/11/23ASalon Vilpas99-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%67%80%
Points / game90.889.691.9
Allowed / game84.681.487.4
Point differential+6.2+8.1+4.5
Avg total175.4171.0179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Lahti Basketball
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW21%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game87.889.685.9
Allowed / game101.898.4105.7
Point differential-14.0-8.8-19.8
Avg total189.7188.0191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1917289%94.979.4+15.5
2 BC Nokia1914574%90.884.6+6.2
3 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki1911858%91.190.5+0.6
4 Kataja1911858%82.583.1-0.6
5 Karhu Basket1910953%87.181.6+5.4
6 Salon Vilpas1910953%86.986.9+0.0
7 Kouvot Kouvola1991047%91.089.5+1.5
8 Kobrat1991047%81.280.3+0.9
9 KTP Kotka Basket1991047%85.086.8-1.8
10 Pyrinto Tampere1961332%81.087.5-6.5
11 Bisons Loimaa1941521%83.190.4-7.3
12 Lahti Basketball1941521%87.8101.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia2722272298
Lahti Basketball1324212482
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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