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BC Nokia vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-91
16-31 24-20 18-21 26-19
Position#2
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game82.3
BC Nokia
Finland
vs
Karhu Basket 🏆
Finland
Position#5
Record4-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game83.3
FinlandKorisliiga· Nokian Palloiluhalli (Nokia)
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Nokia v Karhu Basket
04 Oct 2024
NOK71
KAH79
14 Feb 2024
NOK92
KAH83
09 Dec 2023
NOK84
KAH91
04 Nov 2022
NOK76
KAH86
05 Feb 2022
NOK75
KAH82
21 Mar 2021
NOK86
KAH80
16 Mar 2021
NOK69
KAH78
27 Feb 2021
NOK75
KAH99
09 Mar 2020
NOK63
KAH87
26 Nov 2019
NOK81
KAH72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 81
A10/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
80avg 81
H13/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 81
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 81
H25/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
77-106
77
106
-29
63avg 81
A03/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
102-82
102
82
+20
104avg 81
H10/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 81
A18/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
74-91
74
91
-17
60avg 81
H24/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
98-93
98
93
+5
88avg 81
A28/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
95avg 81
A02/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
31-23
26-24
13-20
22-17
22-22
21-24
19-27
13-20
25-32
28-18
19-11
19-21
18-19
12-11
26-19
28-26
19-32
12-21
18-27
33-16
31-27
23-27
15-12
29-20
29-14
30-12
11-24
21-18
18-30
19-20
16-23
28-19
28-19
27-31
15-24
31-14
16-26
21-21
23-23
174.0Avg total
88.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.182.3169.4+4.875%
Season at home (5)83.679.2162.8+4.460%
Season away (7)89.684.6174.1+5.086%
Last 10 (10)88.285.8174.0+2.470%
Last 5 (5)92.884.0176.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.699.0174.6-23.40%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.380.4163.7+2.962%
vs Weaker (9)87.277.1164.3+10.189%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 71
H28/10
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
75-66
75
66
+9
69avg 71
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 71
A05/11
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
81avg 71
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
106-59
106
59
+47
100avg 71
H11/11
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 71
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kobrat
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
49avg 71
A18/11
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 71
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
100-109
100
109
-9
99avg 71
A29/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
no box
H02/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
15-18
21-20
18-26
16-16
15-17
21-20
23-13
18-27
20-22
21-12
21-24
24-25
23-19
19-27
21-16
27-12
25-15
31-13
23-19
19-22
21-23
27-24
25-29
14-21
23-26
11-15
20-15
18-12
17-21
14-22
31-30
31-28
19-31
22-17
28-33
27-20
19-25
20-21
22-22
175.0Avg total
88.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.183.3168.4+1.836%
Season at home (5)89.482.2171.6+7.240%
Season away (6)81.584.2165.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)88.186.9175.0+1.220%
Last 5 (5)90.297.0187.2-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.483.6161.0-6.220%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.985.4165.3-5.531%
vs Weaker (11)88.479.2167.5+9.264%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
BC NokiaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A10/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A03/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H10/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A18/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H24/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/12
Korisliiga
92.7Avg total
48.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.483.2+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.239.583.7+4.758%-
Last 30 away (18)42.040.982.9+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)48.843.992.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)52.840.693.4+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.644.280.8-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.140.883.8+2.362%-
vs Weaker (9)46.037.683.6+8.467%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/10
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A05/11
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H11/11
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kobrat
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/11
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A29/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H02/12
Korisliiga
82.4Avg total
41.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.280.6+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.077.7+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)41.242.683.9-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.282.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.887.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.036.672.6-0.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.841.280.9-1.454%-
vs Weaker (11)43.840.784.5+3.155%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.7
54.1%
51.0%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.4
32.9%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.4
77.8%
73.5%14.4
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.921.2
47.2%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.6
69.6%
73.5%12.6
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
WWLWWLWWLW
Karhu Basket
LLLLLWLLWL
#2
League position
#5
+2.5
Net rating
-2.2
108.2
Offensive rating
105.2
105.7
Defensive rating
107.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.9%
3-point %
33.0%
62.3%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 105.2Defence105.7 · 107.4Shooting52.4% · 48.1%3-point %32.9% · 33.0%Ball care16.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 36.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BC Nokia wins
8
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Karhu Basket v BC Nokia67-80
31/12/22Karhu Basket v BC Nokia76-72
04/11/22BC Nokia v Karhu Basket76-86
05/02/22BC Nokia v Karhu Basket75-82
23/10/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia91-62
23/03/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia82-69
21/03/21BC Nokia v Karhu Basket86-80
19/03/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia96-74
16/03/21BC Nokia v Karhu Basket69-78
14/03/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia85-61
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23APyrinto Tampere91-84
28/11/23AKTP Kotka Basket98-93
24/11/23HKobrat74-91
18/11/23ALahti Basketball99-70
10/11/23HBisons Loimaa102-82
03/11/23AHelsinki Seagulls77-106
25/10/23HKouvot Kouvola75-70
21/10/23AKataja85-81
13/10/23HSalon Vilpas84-90
10/10/23AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki97-91
Karhu Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki111-116 OT
29/11/23APyrinto Tampere100-109
22/11/23HAEK Larnaca80-85
18/11/23AKobrat68-77
15/11/23HRostock92-98
11/11/23HLahti Basketball106-59
08/11/23AJonava94-98 OT
05/11/23ABisons Loimaa80-85
01/11/23AAEK Larnaca75-66
28/10/23HHelsinki Seagulls75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%60%86%
Points / game87.183.689.6
Allowed / game82.379.284.6
Point differential+4.8+4.4+5.0
Avg total169.4162.8174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game85.189.481.5
Allowed / game83.382.284.2
Point differential+1.8+7.2-2.7
Avg total168.4171.6165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1211192%95.978.4+17.5
2 BC Nokia129375%87.182.3+4.8
3 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki139469%88.888.2+0.7
4 Kataja138562%83.480.5+2.9
5 KTP Kotka Basket127558%86.585.7+0.8
6 Kouvot Kouvola137654%90.587.5+3.0
7 Salon Vilpas137654%84.884.2+0.7
8 Kobrat136746%79.579.2+0.2
9 Karhu Basket114736%85.183.3+1.8
10 Pyrinto Tampere1331023%81.490.6-9.2
11 Lahti Basketball1221017%88.2103.1-14.8
12 Bisons Loimaa1321115%83.891.3-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia1624182684
Karhu Basket3120211991
← all games of the day
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