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BC Nokia vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-87
24-23 17-26 29-4 21-34
Position#2
Record18-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#6
Record16-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game83.6
FinlandKorisliiga· Harjuniityn Liikuntahalli
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Nokia v Salon Vilpas
18 Jan 2025
NOK82
SVI75
09 Mar 2024
NOK91
SVI87
13 Oct 2023
NOK84
SVI90
26 Nov 2022
NOK103
SVI101
31 Oct 2021
NOK100
SVI97
13 Nov 2020
NOK84
SVI66
28 Jan 2020
NOK77
SVI84
21 Oct 2019
NOK73
SVI83
22 Apr 2019
NOK70
SVI88
04 Jan 2019
NOK80
SVI99
14 Nov 2018
NOK86
SVI89
01 Apr 2018
NOK65
SVI114
11 Oct 2017
NOK94
SVI84
22 Feb 2017
NOK98
SVI97
30 Nov 2016
NOK83
SVI90
10 Jan 2016
NOK83
SVI74
11 Oct 2015
NOK87
SVI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
103avg 83
H16/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 83
H19/01
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 83
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 83
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 83
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 83
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 83
A17/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 83
A02/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
73avg 83
H06/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
22-24
27-21
22-24
27-14
25-19
18-22
18-18
24-20
12-23
26-28
14-12
16-15
27-16
13-16
20-21
15-17
31-21
21-22
18-25
19-24
15-17
17-11
21-30
19-21
19-27
21-16
33-19
21-19
17-12
22-25
13-25
25-20
16-30
27-20
23-24
21-29
17-17
15-24
24-15
166.8Avg total
84.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.084.3173.3+4.767%
Season at home (13)90.282.8173.1+7.469%
Season away (14)87.985.6173.6+2.364%
Last 10 (10)84.382.5166.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)81.085.0166.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.091.4170.4-12.420%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.585.9173.5+1.655%
vs Weaker (13)92.081.4173.4+10.685%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
no box
H06/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
91-100
91
100
-9
82avg 75
A10/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 75
H16/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
103-80
103
80
+23
93avg 75
A24/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
W
90-67
90
67
+23
83avg 75
H03/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
72avg 75
H08/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 75
H14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
52avg 75
A17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 75
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 75
H05/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-15
23-24
19-29
18-22
28-29
26-30
19-19
27-21
27-17
18-23
28-12
21-16
20-17
31-28
31-19
20-30
18-15
31-11
21-11
24-19
17-15
11-17
30-21
25-26
22-20
19-17
10-16
24-23
17-19
22-19
7-16
22-19
26-21
18-24
25-15
22-13
20-27
16-22
23-16
171.1Avg total
89.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.883.6170.4+3.359%
Season at home (14)87.183.8170.9+3.357%
Season away (13)86.583.3169.8+3.262%
Last 10 (10)89.681.5171.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)80.077.0157.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.492.8175.2-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.682.9166.5+0.653%
vs Weaker (8)95.585.8181.2+9.875%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
BC NokiaSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H19/01
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A17/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/03
Korisliiga
81.3Avg total
41.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.785.9+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.940.386.1+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)44.641.185.8+3.562%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.881.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.281.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.645.084.6-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.841.584.4+1.355%-
vs Weaker (13)48.839.087.8+9.885%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H06/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H16/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H08/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/03
Korisliiga
84.0Avg total
44.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.085.4-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.741.584.2+1.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.244.586.7-2.320%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.084.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.246.088.2-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.742.984.6-1.235%-
vs Weaker (8)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.1
54.0%
51.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.5%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.412.1
78.6%
73.5%12.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.8
50.1%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.0
38.3%
33.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.1
71.2%
73.5%13.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
LLLWLWWLWW
Salon Vilpas
WWLLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#6
+2.2
Net rating
+9.5
108.1
Offensive rating
112.8
105.9
Defensive rating
103.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
38.3%
65.5%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 112.8Defence105.9 · 103.3Shooting52.6% · 53.2%3-point %33.5% · 38.3%Ball care16.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
BC Nokia wins
4
Salon Vilpas wins
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HHelsinki Seagulls77-85
02/03/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-94
17/02/24AKataja73-81
14/02/24HKarhu Basket92-83
08/02/24ASalon Vilpas72-82
03/02/24HKTP Kotka Basket100-94 OT
27/01/24AKobrat76-68
20/01/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-83
19/01/24HKataja88-73
16/01/24HLahti Basketball98-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HKataja81-78
01/03/24AHelsinki Seagulls91-79
17/02/24AKarhu Basket70-77
14/02/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki76-79
08/02/24HBC Nokia82-72
03/02/24HKobrat90-67
24/01/24ALahti Basketball103-80
16/01/24HBisons Loimaa100-73
10/01/24AHelsinki Seagulls91-100
06/01/24HKouvot Kouvola112-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL67%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%69%64%
Points / game89.090.287.9
Allowed / game84.382.885.6
Point differential+4.7+7.4+2.3
Avg total173.3173.1173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%57%62%
Points / game86.887.186.5
Allowed / game83.683.883.3
Point differential+3.3+3.3+3.2
Avg total170.4170.9169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%21%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (8)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2820871%91.181.0+10.1
2 BC Nokia2718967%89.084.3+4.7
3 Kouvot Kouvola27161159%89.784.8+4.9
4 Salon Vilpas27161159%86.883.6+3.3
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki27161159%88.988.1+0.8
6 Karhu Basket28161257%87.081.5+5.5
7 Kataja27151256%83.583.1+0.4
8 Kobrat28121643%81.082.6-1.6
9 Pyrinto Tampere28111739%82.486.7-4.3
10 KTP Kotka Basket28111739%83.988.5-4.6
11 Lahti Basketball2772026%86.199.0-12.9
12 Bisons Loimaa2872125%82.989.3-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia2417292191
Salon Vilpas232643487
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