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BC Nokia vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-83
19-21 19-27 21-16 33-19
Position#2
Record17-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.0
BC Nokia 🏆
Finland
vs
Karhu Basket
Finland
Position#5
Record13-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game81.2
FinlandKorisliiga· Harjuniityn Liikuntahalli
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Nokia v Karhu Basket
04 Oct 2024
NOK71
KAH79
14 Feb 2024
NOK92
KAH83
09 Dec 2023
NOK84
KAH91
04 Nov 2022
NOK76
KAH86
05 Feb 2022
NOK75
KAH82
21 Mar 2021
NOK86
KAH80
16 Mar 2021
NOK69
KAH78
27 Feb 2021
NOK75
KAH99
09 Mar 2020
NOK63
KAH87
26 Nov 2019
NOK81
KAH72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
no box
A31/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
80avg 84
A02/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 84
H05/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
94-89
94
89
+5
92avg 84
A12/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
103avg 84
H16/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 84
H19/01
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 84
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 84
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 84
A08/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
26-20
22-22
21-29
20-17
24-18
26-23
18-21
23-20
21-17
20-25
27-20
30-25
21-25
17-12
26-27
27-13
22-24
27-21
22-24
27-14
25-19
18-22
18-18
24-20
12-23
26-28
14-12
16-15
27-16
13-16
20-21
15-17
31-21
21-22
18-25
19-24
15-17
17-11
21-30
173.9Avg total
89.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.084.0174.1+6.074%
Season at home (11)91.382.6173.9+8.673%
Season away (12)88.985.3174.2+3.675%
Last 10 (10)89.384.6173.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)82.480.0162.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.894.3176.2-12.517%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.985.5173.5+2.464%
vs Weaker (12)93.681.4175.0+12.292%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 77
A19/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
106-65
106
65
+41
109avg 77
H22/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 77
H28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
79avg 77
A30/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
66avg 77
A03/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
89-69
89
69
+20
90avg 77
H05/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
no box
H16/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 77
A26/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
84-66
84
66
+18
77avg 77
H03/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
90-77
90
77
+13
87avg 77
H10/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
21-19
22-16
20-20
24-20
34-14
29-13
19-18
20-24
30-25
29-18
15-23
29-19
15-22
22-22
21-30
28-15
13-17
18-21
14-25
27-22
26-14
20-18
16-15
18-22
17-16
24-22
18-17
17-20
34-20
25-16
18-15
22-12
14-18
26-18
22-18
14-16
29-24
33-21
14-16
169.5Avg total
90.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.981.2169.1+6.757%
Season at home (12)91.680.0171.6+11.667%
Season away (11)83.982.5166.5+1.445%
Last 10 (10)90.678.9169.5+11.770%
Last 5 (5)91.477.2168.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.684.0164.6-3.429%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.588.5176.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (12)89.878.2168.0+11.558%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
BC NokiaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H19/01
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/02
Korisliiga
83.2Avg total
44.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.386.0+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.640.488.0+7.171%-
Last 30 away (16)44.040.284.2+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.583.2+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.279.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.042.382.3-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.740.584.3+3.264%-
vs Weaker (12)49.839.789.4+10.183%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H22/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A26/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H03/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/02
Korisliiga
83.9Avg total
45.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.083.3+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.538.080.5+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)44.342.386.6+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)45.838.183.9+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.880.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.137.775.9+0.457%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.842.988.7+2.980%-
vs Weaker (12)45.239.084.2+6.267%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.126.4
56.1%
51.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.511.6
74.8%
73.5%11.6
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.9
55.9%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.9
36.8%
33.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
73.5%14.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
LWWLWWWWWL
Karhu Basket
WWWLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#5
+12.4
Net rating
+17.4
112.9
Offensive rating
117.1
100.5
Defensive rating
99.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
36.8%
68.5%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 117.1Defence100.5 · 99.7Shooting55.2% · 55.6%3-point %35.7% · 36.8%Ball care14.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BC Nokia wins
8
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23BC Nokia v Karhu Basket84-91
07/10/23Karhu Basket v BC Nokia67-80
31/12/22Karhu Basket v BC Nokia76-72
04/11/22BC Nokia v Karhu Basket76-86
05/02/22BC Nokia v Karhu Basket75-82
23/10/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia91-62
23/03/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia82-69
21/03/21BC Nokia v Karhu Basket86-80
19/03/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia96-74
16/03/21BC Nokia v Karhu Basket69-78
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24ASalon Vilpas72-82
03/02/24HKTP Kotka Basket100-94 OT
27/01/24AKobrat76-68
20/01/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-83
19/01/24HKataja88-73
16/01/24HLahti Basketball98-82
12/01/24ABisons Loimaa94-89
05/01/24HHelsinki Seagulls91-82
02/01/24ASalon Vilpas88-79
31/12/23AKouvot Kouvola110-114 OT
Karhu Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HHelsinki Seagulls90-77
03/02/24HPyrinto Tampere84-66
26/01/24AKTP Kotka Basket94-71
16/01/24HKobrat100-103 OT
05/01/24HBisons Loimaa89-69
03/01/24AKataja73-78
30/12/23AHelsinki Seagulls87-93
28/12/23HKouvot Kouvola94-90
22/12/23HKTP Kotka Basket106-65
19/12/23ALahti Basketball89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game90.091.388.9
Allowed / game84.082.685.3
Point differential+6.0+8.6+3.6
Avg total174.1173.9174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game87.991.683.9
Allowed / game81.280.082.5
Point differential+6.7+11.6+1.4
Avg total169.1171.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2317674%92.281.3+10.9
2 BC Nokia2317674%90.084.0+6.0
3 Salon Vilpas2314961%88.184.5+3.6
4 Kataja2314961%84.582.6+1.9
5 Karhu Basket23131057%87.981.2+6.7
6 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki23131057%90.789.9+0.8
7 Kouvot Kouvola23121152%90.287.4+2.7
8 Kobrat24101442%81.082.2-1.2
9 Pyrinto Tampere2391439%81.886.0-4.2
10 KTP Kotka Basket2391439%83.688.1-4.6
11 Lahti Basketball2461825%86.0100.0-14.0
12 Bisons Loimaa2351822%82.890.8-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia1919213392
Karhu Basket2127161983
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