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BC Nokia W vs Espoo Team II W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 75-67
28-14 8-21 22-21 17-11
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game60.2
BC Nokia W 🏆
Finland
vs
Espoo Team II W
Finland
Position#12
Record7-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game66.9
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Harjuniityn Liikuntahalli
Women2023-24
Meetings · BC Nokia W v Espoo Team II W
14 Jan 2024
BC N75
ESPO67
06 Jan 2023
BC N66
ESPO83
30 Jan 2022
BC N80
ESPO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espoo Team II W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Nokia WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
67avg 64
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
73avg 64
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
66-62
66
62
+4
54avg 64
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 64
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
67avg 64
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
62avg 64
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
64-47
64
47
+17
58avg 64
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
53-39
53
39
+14
38avg 64
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 64
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
76avg 64
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
23-14
20-27
18-15
17-15
29-14
16-28
21-13
21-17
12-20
15-13
18-12
20-19
19-26
15-11
11-10
17-12
14-22
18-13
24-13
17-22
18-16
19-11
24-21
11-16
8-13
20-6
25-12
22-11
4-9
12-8
15-11
22-18
25-17
21-7
16-10
20-16
27-17
18-18
22-14
133.3Avg total
73.4Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.060.2135.2+14.892%
Season at home (6)75.259.8135.0+15.3100%
Season away (6)74.860.5135.3+14.383%
Last 10 (10)73.459.9133.3+13.590%
Last 5 (5)73.254.6127.8+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.482.0143.4-20.611%
vs Similar (6)72.875.8148.7-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.560.5136.0+14.993%
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
63avg 48
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
70-74
70
74
-4
53avg 48
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
85-57
85
57
+28
71avg 48
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
49avg 48
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
59-58
59
58
+1
41avg 48
A19/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
58-69
58
69
-11
40avg 48
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
79-65
79
65
+14
71avg 48
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
24avg 48
A17/12
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
69-62
69
62
+7
53avg 48
H21/12
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
60-79
60
79
-19
43avg 48
H07/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-20
24-21
20-10
14-15
23-13
18-26
15-20
22-13
25-18
17-13
21-13
10-12
16-18
23-20
17-26
14-12
22-12
10-14
13-20
12-16
13-17
18-14
15-22
15-10
24-14
13-25
27-16
8-11
14-19
17-15
15-7
18-13
16-18
9-16
26-15
21-20
6-28
15-15
18-16
134.7Avg total
68.1Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.166.9133.0-0.858%
Season at home (7)69.467.7137.1+1.771%
Season away (5)61.465.8127.2-4.440%
Last 10 (10)68.166.6134.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)64.065.4129.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.271.0135.2-6.840%
vs Similar (5)66.466.2132.6+0.260%
vs Weaker (20)75.958.5134.4+17.485%
This opponent (BC Nokia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
BC Nokia WEspoo Team II W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Nokia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
69.2Avg total
36.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.836.571.2-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.634.069.6+1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)33.938.972.9-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.669.2+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.065.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.943.374.2-12.411%-
vs Similar (6)33.239.072.2-5.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.731.369.1+6.467%-
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A19/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A17/12
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H21/12
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H07/01
I Divisioona Women
65.2Avg total
33.0Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.730.366.0+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.430.966.3+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.929.665.6+6.371%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.265.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.262.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.633.062.6-3.440%-
vs Similar (5)32.632.064.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker (20)38.029.267.2+8.870%-
This opponent (BC Nokia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia W: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.9
44.4%
40.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.08.4
26.2%
24.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.811.4
54.8%
63.2%11.4
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espoo Team II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espoo Team II W: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.416.9
35.7%
40.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.4
25.9%
24.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.811.7
56.2%
63.2%11.7
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia W
WWWWWWLWWW
Espoo Team II W
LWWWLWLWLW
#1
League position
#12
+16.4
Net rating
+2.1
87.7
Offensive rating
78.4
71.4
Defensive rating
76.3
42.2%
Effective FG%
36.8%
37.2%
Opp. effective FG%
38.8%
26.6%
Turnover %
24.9%
42.0%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
26.2%
3-point %
25.9%
63.1%
Assist %
52.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 78.4Defence71.4 · 76.3Shooting42.2% · 36.8%3-point %26.2% · 25.9%Ball care26.6% · 24.9%Off. rebounds42.0% · 36.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ BC Nokia W   ■ Espoo Team II W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BC Nokia W wins
1
Espoo Team II W wins
DateGameScore
06/01/23BC Nokia W v Espoo Team II W66-83
30/01/22BC Nokia W v Espoo Team II W80-61
24/10/21Espoo Team II W v BC Nokia W33-81
BC Nokia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24APantterit W87-65
17/12/23HKorihait W84-52
10/12/23ATurun NMKY W53-39
03/12/23HPuhuttaret W64-47
26/11/23AHyPo W78-70
19/11/23HLahti Basketball W73-60
12/11/23ALePy W65-66
05/11/23HLappeenranta W66-62
29/10/23APyrinto II W83-70
22/10/23HJyvaskyla BA W81-68
Espoo Team II Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HLahti Basketball W60-79
21/12/23HLappeenranta W69-62
17/12/23AKataja W54-52
10/12/23HPyrinto II W79-65
01/12/23AHBA W58-69
19/11/23AHyPo W59-58
12/11/23APantterit W66-76
05/11/23HKorihait W85-57
27/10/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W70-74
22/10/23HTurun NMKY W81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game75.075.274.8
Allowed / game60.259.860.5
Point differential+14.8+15.3+14.3
Avg total135.2135.0135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%83%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Espoo Team II W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game66.169.461.4
Allowed / game66.967.765.8
Point differential-0.8+1.7-4.4
Avg total133.0137.1127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1211192%75.060.2+14.8
2 Lahti Basketball W1310377%67.558.2+9.4
3 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1310377%70.962.0+8.9
4 Lappeenranta W128467%60.556.3+4.2
5 Turun NMKY W128467%62.062.3-0.3
6 Espoo Team II W127558%66.166.9-0.8
7 Pyrinto II W126650%67.264.7+2.6
8 HBA W136746%66.367.7-1.4
9 HyPo W125742%64.163.8+0.3
10 Puhuttaret W125742%66.468.2-1.8
11 Korihait W125742%66.169.5-3.4
12 LePy W125742%57.965.1-7.2
13 Tapiolan Honka II W124833%70.366.2+4.1
14 Jyvaskyla BA W134931%62.968.1-5.2
15 Pantterit W123925%63.870.3-6.6
16 Kataja W121118%49.768.3-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia W288221775
Espoo Team II W1421211167
← all games of the day
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