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HBA W vs Espoo Team II W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-58
16-12 17-13 14-18 22-15
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game63.9
HBA W 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#12
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game68.0
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)
Women2023-24
Meetings · HBA W v Espoo Team II W
01 Dec 2023
HBA 69
ESPO58
14 Apr 2023
HBA 67
ESPO77
13 Nov 2022
HBA 42
ESPO77
03 Oct 2021
HBA 78
ESPO46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espoo Team II W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H14/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
no box
A18/04
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 55
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
69-61
69
61
+8
66avg 55
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
70-35
70
35
+35
68avg 55
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
59-69
59
69
-10
41avg 55
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
51avg 55
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
54-69
54
69
-15
35avg 55
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
67avg 55
H17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
55avg 55
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
7-29
23-12
27-12
12-10
15-23
6-21
12-9
14-20
18-16
11-24
27-23
21-14
16-13
18-13
14-21
21-14
15-5
19-5
15-11
12-23
12-13
19-16
16-17
17-32
19-8
14-10
11-15
20-12
12-21
5-24
17-12
23-17
13-27
19-14
23-15
13-18
10-15
22-11
13-12
128.2Avg total
63.1Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)64.963.9128.8+1.050%
Season at home (4)69.558.5128.0+11.075%
Season away (4)60.269.2129.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)63.165.1128.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)62.066.4128.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)62.768.0130.7-5.350%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.163.0131.1+5.162%
vs Weaker (12)71.255.4126.6+15.875%
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
HBA W
#4
L
49-64
49
64
-15
no box
H12/04
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A14/04
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#4
W
63-45
63
45
+18
no box
H18/04
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
44-72
44
72
-28
26avg 49
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
68-65
68
65
+3
41avg 49
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
63avg 49
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
70-74
70
74
-4
53avg 49
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
85-57
85
57
+28
71avg 49
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
49avg 49
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
59-58
59
58
+1
41avg 49
A19/11
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
18-19
12-13
8-19
24-10
29-7
12-23
12-27
10-12
23-15
21-6
9-12
14-15
10-20
11-20
9-17
13-7
8-23
22-14
25-21
21-23
16-20
24-21
20-10
14-15
23-13
18-26
15-20
22-13
25-18
17-13
21-13
10-12
16-18
23-20
17-26
14-12
22-12
10-14
13-20
131.4Avg total
66.2Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.668.0135.6-0.457%
Season at home (4)69.567.0136.5+2.575%
Season away (3)65.069.3134.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)66.265.2131.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.267.8140.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.770.3131.0-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (4)65.569.0134.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (23)77.057.3134.3+19.787%
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
HBA WEspoo Team II W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
17-53
17
53
-36
H14/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A18/04
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
65.4Avg total
30.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.530.865.3+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.128.763.9+6.460%-
Last 30 away (15)33.932.966.8+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)30.035.465.4-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.237.267.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.433.462.8-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.933.470.2+3.550%-
vs Weaker (12)37.227.064.2+10.267%-
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HBA W
#4
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H12/04
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#4
W
53-17
53
17
+36
A14/04
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#4
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H18/04
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A19/11
I Divisioona Women
64.0Avg total
34.3Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.729.366.0+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.130.766.8+5.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.327.965.2+9.387%-
Last 10 (10)34.329.764.0+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.267.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.331.058.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.534.067.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (23)38.428.366.7+10.178%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 63.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.815.5
37.1%
40.2%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.2
25.2%
24.5%21.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.1
66.4%
63.2%11.1
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espoo Team II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espoo Team II W: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.716.7
35.0%
40.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.38.4
26.1%
24.5%25.3
🏀 Free throws16.68.4
50.9%
63.2%8.4
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA W
WWLLLWWLLL
Espoo Team II W
WLWLWWLWWL
#9
League position
#12
+1.2
Net rating
+0.0
79.8
Offensive rating
75.5
78.5
Defensive rating
75.5
37.4%
Effective FG%
36.7%
36.8%
Opp. effective FG%
39.7%
25.4%
Turnover %
26.1%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
25.2%
3-point %
26.1%
64.8%
Assist %
54.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence79.8 · 75.5Defence78.5 · 75.5Shooting37.4% · 36.7%3-point %25.2% · 26.1%Ball care25.4% · 26.1%Off. rebounds37.7% · 37.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ HBA W   ■ Espoo Team II W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
HBA W wins
3
Espoo Team II W wins
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23APantterit W58-56
17/11/23HLePy W78-73
12/11/23ALappeenranta W54-69
05/11/23HPyrinto II W61-65
29/10/23AJyvaskyla BA W59-69
22/10/23HKataja W70-35
15/10/23HLahti Basketball W69-61
08/10/23ABC Nokia W70-83
18/04/23AEspoo Team II W45-63
14/04/23HEspoo Team II W67-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AHyPo W59-58
12/11/23APantterit W66-76
05/11/23HKorihait W85-57
27/10/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W70-74
22/10/23HTurun NMKY W81-74
15/10/23HPuhuttaret W68-65
08/10/23HTapiolan Honka II W44-72
18/04/23HHBA W63-45
14/04/23AHBA W77-67
12/04/23HHBA W49-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game64.969.560.2
Allowed / game63.958.569.2
Point differential+1.0+11.0-9.0
Avg total128.8128.0129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Espoo Team II W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game67.669.565.0
Allowed / game68.067.069.3
Point differential-0.4+2.5-4.3
Avg total135.6136.5134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W87188%76.564.9+11.6
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W87188%74.164.0+10.1
3 Lahti Basketball W86275%67.458.2+9.1
4 Turun NMKY W86275%64.264.0+0.2
5 Lappeenranta W75271%61.355.9+5.4
6 Espoo Team II W74357%67.668.0-0.4
7 Tapiolan Honka II W84450%71.463.0+8.4
8 HBA W84450%64.963.9+1.0
9 LePy W84450%58.163.6-5.5
10 Korihait W73443%68.770.6-1.9
11 Pyrinto II W83538%64.162.9+1.2
12 Jyvaskyla BA W83538%63.265.0-1.8
13 Pantterit W93633%65.367.8-2.4
14 HyPo W82625%62.269.4-7.1
15 Puhuttaret W61517%67.872.5-4.7
16 Kataja W8080%48.071.9-23.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA W1617142269
Espoo Team II W1213181558
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