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Kataja W vs Espoo Team II W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 52-54
11-8 19-14 15-17 7-15
Position#16
Record1-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game50.1
Allowed / game69.8
Kataja W
Finland
vs
Espoo Team II W 🏆
Finland
Position#12
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game67.8
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Motonet Areena
Women2023-24
Meetings · Kataja W v Espoo Team II W
17 Dec 2023
KATA52
ESPO54
26 Mar 2023
KATA61
ESPO81
04 Dec 2022
KATA48
ESPO64
12 Dec 2021
KATA86
ESPO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espoo Team II W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kataja WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
LePy W
#11
L
55-61
55
61
-6
40avg 37
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
53-83
53
83
-30
36avg 37
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
35-70
35
70
-35
17avg 37
A22/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
49-67
49
67
-18
36avg 37
H29/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
57-87
57
87
-30
37avg 37
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
43-74
43
74
-31
30avg 37
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-59
33
59
-26
17avg 37
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
48avg 37
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
55-70
55
70
-15
46avg 37
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
62-53
62
53
+9
61avg 37
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
18-14
11-17
15-11
10-17
10-16
21-30
12-20
14-21
5-15
5-19
11-15
13-13
12-20
11-19
13-15
19-18
13-32
11-13
14-24
14-17
11-15
13-28
5-14
3-16
10-9
15-23
5-11
15-20
17-17
14-26
13-11
8-22
18-20
15-14
14-14
23-13
11-12
14-14
14-14
119.9Avg total
50.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)50.169.8119.9-19.710%
Season at home (5)49.473.2122.6-23.80%
Season away (5)50.866.4117.2-15.620%
Last 10 (10)50.169.8119.9-19.710%
Last 5 (5)50.466.0116.4-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)51.171.8122.9-20.711%
vs Similar (8)65.162.5127.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (3)64.351.0115.3+13.367%
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
HBA W
#4
W
63-45
63
45
+18
no box
H18/04
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
44-72
44
72
-28
26avg 51
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
68-65
68
65
+3
41avg 51
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
63avg 51
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
70-74
70
74
-4
53avg 51
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
85-57
85
57
+28
71avg 51
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
49avg 51
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
59-58
59
58
+1
41avg 51
A19/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
58-69
58
69
-11
40avg 51
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
79-65
79
65
+14
71avg 51
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-12
23-15
21-6
9-12
14-15
10-20
11-20
9-17
13-7
8-23
22-14
25-21
21-23
16-20
24-21
20-10
14-15
23-13
18-26
15-20
22-13
25-18
17-13
21-13
10-12
16-18
23-20
17-26
14-12
22-12
10-14
13-20
12-16
13-17
18-14
15-22
15-10
24-14
13-25
27-16
132.8Avg total
67.3Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.867.8135.6+0.056%
Season at home (5)71.466.6138.0+4.880%
Season away (4)63.269.2132.5-6.025%
Last 10 (10)67.365.5132.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)69.465.0134.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.269.0134.2-3.850%
vs Similar (4)65.867.2133.0-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.258.0134.2+18.286%
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
Kataja WEspoo Team II W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kataja WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LePy W
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
19-36
19
36
-17
A22/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H29/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
13-25
13
25
-12
H19/11
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
60.1Avg total
25.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.133.762.8-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.232.160.3-3.927%-
Last 30 away (15)30.035.265.2-5.240%-
Last 10 (10)25.534.660.1-9.110%-
Last 5 (5)26.032.258.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)26.436.662.9-10.216%-
vs Similar (8)35.529.965.4+5.662%-
vs Weaker (3)29.325.354.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HBA W
#4
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H18/04
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A27/10
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A19/11
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
63.0Avg total
32.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.329.065.3+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.729.766.3+7.060%-
Last 30 away (15)36.028.364.3+7.780%-
Last 10 (10)32.530.563.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.463.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.229.259.5+1.050%-
vs Similar (4)32.232.264.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.228.366.5+9.977%-
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kataja Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja W: 49.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.19.1
32.4%
40.2%18.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.47.6
23.5%
24.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws12.18.8
72.7%
63.2%8.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espoo Team II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espoo Team II W: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.218.0
35.8%
40.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.77.4
26.0%
24.5%22.3
🏀 Free throws17.89.2
51.9%
63.2%9.2
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja W
WLLLLLLLLL
Espoo Team II W
WLWLWLWWLW
#16
League position
#12
-24.5
Net rating
+0.6
63.0
Offensive rating
76.0
87.5
Defensive rating
75.4
33.9%
Effective FG%
37.0%
38.1%
Opp. effective FG%
38.8%
28.9%
Turnover %
26.4%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
23.5%
3-point %
26.0%
64.1%
Assist %
53.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence63.0 · 76.0Defence87.5 · 75.4Shooting33.9% · 37.0%3-point %23.5% · 26.0%Ball care28.9% · 26.4%Off. rebounds22.0% · 37.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Kataja W   ■ Espoo Team II W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kataja W wins
3
Espoo Team II W wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Kataja W v Espoo Team II W61-81
22/03/23Espoo Team II W v Kataja W76-57
04/12/22Kataja W v Espoo Team II W48-64
20/03/22Espoo Team II W v Kataja W64-78
12/12/21Kataja W v Espoo Team II W86-54
Kataja Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23APantterit W62-53
03/12/23HKorihait W55-70
26/11/23ATurun NMKY W59-74
19/11/23HLappeenranta W33-59
12/11/23APyrinto II W43-74
05/11/23HJyvaskyla BA W57-87
29/10/23HLahti Basketball W49-67
22/10/23AHBA W35-70
15/10/23HBC Nokia W53-83
08/10/23ALePy W55-61
Espoo Team II Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HPyrinto II W79-65
01/12/23AHBA W58-69
19/11/23AHyPo W59-58
12/11/23APantterit W66-76
05/11/23HKorihait W85-57
27/10/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W70-74
22/10/23HTurun NMKY W81-74
15/10/23HPuhuttaret W68-65
08/10/23HTapiolan Honka II W44-72
18/04/23HHBA W63-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW10%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%0%20%
Points / game50.149.450.8
Allowed / game69.873.266.4
Point differential-19.7-23.8-15.6
Avg total119.9122.6117.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Espoo Team II W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game67.871.463.2
Allowed / game67.866.669.2
Point differential+0.0+4.8-6.0
Avg total135.6138.0132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1110191%73.959.7+14.2
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W119282%73.262.9+10.3
3 Lahti Basketball W118373%66.258.8+7.4
4 Lappeenranta W107370%59.356.7+2.6
5 Turun NMKY W106460%60.963.7-2.8
6 Espoo Team II W95456%67.867.8+0.0
7 HBA W116555%65.765.3+0.5
8 Pyrinto II W115645%66.463.8+2.5
9 Puhuttaret W104640%67.667.0+0.6
10 Korihait W104640%65.369.5-4.2
11 LePy W104640%55.764.5-8.8
12 Tapiolan Honka II W114736%70.065.3+4.7
13 HyPo W114736%62.563.9-1.4
14 Jyvaskyla BA W114736%64.267.8-3.6
15 Pantterit W113827%63.668.8-5.2
16 Kataja W101910%50.169.8-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja W111915752
Espoo Team II W814171554
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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