BC Olimpas Palanga host Kauno Atletas in the NKL on 14 November 2026, and the Pythia model names the Palanga side as the clear favourite, assigning them a 91% chance of victory largely because of their 10-3 record and 94.8 points per game compared with the Atletas' 2-11 record and 79.0 points per game; the Palanga team also leads the league at position 3 while the Atletas sit 17th. Palanga have gone undefeated at home, 5-0 with 102.4 points per game and 90.2 allowed, and have won four of their last five games, including a 125-124 win over Omega-Tauras at home and a 100-86 victory away against Kretinga; the Atletas have won only two of their last five, with a recent 102-92 win over Silute at home but a 75-96 loss to Omega-Tauras. In their four previous meetings Palanga have won three times, most recently 88-63 on 21 December 2023. Pythia projects a 95-79 score, 174.2 total points, a 39% chance of the home team covering the -18.5 line and a 44% chance of the over on the 176.5 total, with a 2% probability of overtime. The Palanga side's dominant offensive output and flawless home record suggest they will likely keep the margin wide.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 94.8 | 84.9 | 179.8 | +9.9 | 77% |
| Season at home (5) | 102.4 | 90.2 | 192.6 | +12.2 | 100% |
| Season away (8) | 90.1 | 81.6 | 171.8 | +8.5 | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 97.5 | 87.1 | 184.6 | +10.4 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 99.8 | 95.8 | 195.6 | +4.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 77.9 | 81.6 | 159.4 | -3.7 | 29% |
| vs Similar (11) | 80.8 | 81.0 | 161.8 | -0.2 | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 97.6 | 85.4 | 183.0 | +12.2 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 79.0 | 92.8 | 171.8 | -13.8 | 15% |
| Season at home (7) | 80.7 | 91.1 | 171.9 | -10.4 | 14% |
| Season away (6) | 77.0 | 94.8 | 171.8 | -17.8 | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.8 | 93.5 | 173.3 | -13.7 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.8 | 86.8 | 170.6 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 79.0 | 92.8 | 171.8 | -13.8 | 15% |
| vs Similar (15) | 76.5 | 78.2 | 154.7 | -1.7 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 87.5 | 87.5 | 175.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 89.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.6 | 41.0 | 83.6 | +1.7 | 57% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 42.9 | 36.7 | 79.6 | +6.2 | 85% | 15% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 42.4 | 44.2 | 86.6 | -1.8 | 35% | 41% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.8 | 41.9 | 88.7 | +4.9 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 42.4 | 88.8 | +4.0 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 39.4 | 39.9 | 79.3 | -0.4 | 43% | 29% |
| vs Similar (11) | 39.2 | 41.5 | 80.7 | -2.4 | 36% | 18% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 47.7 | 41.1 | 88.8 | +6.6 | 83% | 42% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 89.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.1 | 42.6 | 80.7 | -4.4 | 33% | 17% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.6 | 42.0 | 80.6 | -3.4 | 33% | 13% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.7 | 43.1 | 80.8 | -5.5 | 33% | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.3 | 47.4 | 86.7 | -8.1 | 20% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 42.2 | 84.6 | +0.2 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 38.8 | 46.5 | 85.3 | -7.6 | 15% | 23% |
| vs Similar (15) | 36.9 | 38.4 | 75.3 | -1.5 | 53% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 42.5 | 48.5 | 91.0 | -6.0 | 0% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Olimpas Palanga under 100 | 70.7% | 1.66 | 1.66 | - | - | - | - | +18.6pp | Lost |
| BC Olimpas Palanga under 100.5 | 71.7% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +18.1pp | Lost |
| Kauno Atletas +22 | 72.7% | 1.66 | 1.66 | - | - | - | - | +16.8pp | Lost |
| Kauno Atletas +21.5 | 70.5% | 1.69 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.66 | - | - | +16.4pp | Lost |
| Kauno Atletas +22.5 | 73.5% | 1.59 | 1.62 | 1.56 | - | - | - | +16.2pp | Lost |
| Kauno Atletas +23.5 | 76.3% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +16.1pp | Lost |
| Kauno Atletas +24.5 | 78.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Lost |
| Kauno Atletas over 73.5 | 71.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Kauno Atletas under 84.5 | 70.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| BC Olimpas Palanga win | 91.0% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.02 | +0.3pp | Won |
| BC Olimpas Palanga (regulation) | 89.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.2 | 25.0 | 54.5% | 50.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.3 | 9.0 | 31.3% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.7 | 15.5 | 67.1% | 15.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.0 | 23.2 | 54.5% | 46.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 20.0 | 5.1 | 31.3% | 15.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 13.6 | 67.1% | 13.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/12/23 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Kauno Atletas | 88-63 |
| 02/11/23 | Kauno Atletas v BC Olimpas Palanga | 72-88 |
| 18/12/21 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Kauno Atletas | 62-58 |
| 13/11/21 | Kauno Atletas v BC Olimpas Palanga | 74-59 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 78-88 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 125-124 OT |
| 05/11/26 | A | Kretinga | 100-86 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 112-100 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Alytaus Patriotai | 84-81 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Vilkaviskis | 87-81 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Neptunas 2 | 77-78 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 107-76 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 102-76 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Rytas 2 | 103-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 75-96 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Silute | 102-92 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Neptunas 2 | 74-83 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Kedainiai BC | 80-66 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Mazeikiai | 88-97 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Telsiai | 76-100 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 63-113 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Vytis VDU | 85-97 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Kretinga | 72-84 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 83-107 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 77% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLWWL | 62% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| Win % | 77% | 100% | 62% |
| Points / game | 94.8 | 102.4 | 90.1 |
| Allowed / game | 84.9 | 90.2 | 81.6 |
| Point differential | +9.9 | +12.2 | +8.5 |
| Avg total | 179.8 | 192.6 | 171.8 |
| Over 176.25 | 46% | 60% | 38% |
| Win by 10+ | 54% | 60% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 15% |
| Home | LLLWL | 14% |
| Away | LLLLW | 17% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| Win % | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Points / game | 79.0 | 80.7 | 77.0 |
| Allowed / game | 92.8 | 91.1 | 94.8 |
| Point differential | -13.8 | -10.4 | -17.8 |
| Avg total | 171.8 | 171.9 | 171.8 |
| Over 176.25 | 38% | 43% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 73.6 | +16.9 | |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 90.4 | 78.0 | +12.4 |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 94.8 | 84.9 | +9.9 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 91.4 | 77.7 | +13.8 | |
| 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 97.4 | 90.4 | +7.0 | |
| 6 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69% | 78.1 | 74.7 | +3.4 | |
| 7 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 | |
| 8 | Alytaus Patriotai | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.8 | 84.9 | -1.1 |
| 9 | Omega-Tauras | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 90.5 | 86.2 | +4.2 |
| 10 | Plunges Olimpas | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 82.5 | 79.9 | +2.6 |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 82.1 | 86.6 | -4.5 | |
| 13 | Kedainiai BC | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 76.5 | 84.1 | -7.5 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 77.6 | 87.9 | -10.3 |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 21% | 78.9 | 88.9 | -10.0 | |
| 16 | Kretinga | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 81.5 | 90.7 | -9.2 |
| 17 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 79.0 | 92.8 | -13.8 | |
| 18 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 77.0 | 86.4 | -9.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 115 | |
| 23 | 16 | 23 | 19 | 81 |
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