PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BC Olimpas Palanga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 112-100
33-31 28-16 25-29 26-24
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game78.4
BC Olimpas Palanga 🏆
Lithuania
Vs
73%
27%
■ OPA 73%■ ZALG 27%
Pythia win probability
Projected 92-86
Projected total 178.2
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
Position#12
Record4-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game95.4
LithuaniaNKLRound 10· Palangos arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · BC Olimpas Palanga v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
31 Oct 2026
OPA112
ZALG100
08 Nov 2025
OPA91
ZALG85
13 Apr 2025
OPA78
ZALG81
04 Feb 2025
OPA78
ZALG81
18 Jan 2025
OPA74
ZALG81
02 Mar 2024
OPA61
ZALG56
07 Oct 2023
OPA87
ZALG72
16 Oct 2021
OPA85
ZALG88
22 Oct 2020
OPA78
ZALG79
05 Oct 2019
OPA89
ZALG93
06 Oct 2018
OPA80
ZALG91
01 Dec 2017
OPA72
ZALG74
09 Mar 2017
OPA62
ZALG53
04 Mar 2017
OPA72
ZALG67
11 Feb 2017
OPA79
ZALG84
08 Oct 2016
OPA78
ZALG75
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
BC Olimpas Palanga host Zalgiris Kaunas 2 in the NKL. Pythia makes BC Olimpas Palanga the favourite at 73% and projects 92-86, about 178 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. BC Olimpas Palanga are 7-2 this season (90.9 scored, 78.4 allowed a game), form WWLWW; Zalgiris Kaunas 2 are 4-5 this season (95.2 scored, 95.4 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Olimpas Palanga winWon
72.5%fair 1.38
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
27.5%fair 3.64
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Olimpas PalangaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalanga
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
80avg 76
A14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 76
H01/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 76
A03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
62avg 76
A08/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
103-81
103
81
+22
101avg 76
A10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
W
102-76
102
76
+26
103avg 76
H15/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
107-76
107
76
+31
108avg 76
A17/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 76
A22/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 76
H24/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 76
A29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
20-20
29-23
20-22
30-21
20-18
16-16
20-15
32-21
15-16
21-12
26-26
16-21
23-24
26-28
13-15
24-27
28-14
19-17
32-23
25-17
25-16
26-21
26-22
30-13
27-27
26-21
24-15
17-22
17-31
23-14
20-11
14-17
29-23
17-18
27-23
22-19
11-20
23-29
28-13
169.9Avg total
90.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.978.4169.3+12.478%
Season at home (3)91.775.7167.3+16.0100%
Season away (6)90.579.8170.3+10.767%
Last 10 (10)90.379.6169.9+10.770%
Last 5 (5)91.478.4169.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.283.6159.8-7.420%
vs Similar (11)81.079.8160.8+1.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.779.4172.1+13.278%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
61avg 80
A07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
102avg 80
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 80
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 80
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 80
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#9
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 80
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 80
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 80
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 80
H29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-20
19-18
14-29
32-16
22-22
28-19
26-26
29-23
28-33
28-21
22-27
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
187.6Avg total
92.8Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)95.295.4190.7-0.244%
Season at home (5)93.895.8189.6-2.040%
Season away (4)97.095.0192.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)92.894.8187.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)92.291.6183.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.693.4177.0-9.820%
vs Similar (16)87.884.2171.9+3.656%
vs Weaker (9)93.988.3182.2+5.667%
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
85.5%
Under 160.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5
Over 165.5
77.4%
Under 165.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5
Over 170.5
67.2%
Under 170.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

BC Olimpas Palanga total 79.5Actual: BC Olimpas Palanga over 79.5
Over 79.5
89.8%
Under 79.5
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Olimpas Palanga total 83.5Actual: BC Olimpas Palanga over 83.5
Over 83.5
81.1%
Under 83.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Olimpas Palanga total 87.5Actual: BC Olimpas Palanga over 87.5
Over 87.5
68.7%
Under 87.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 77.5Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 over 77.5
Over 77.5
78.4%
Under 77.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 81.5Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 over 81.5
Over 81.5
65.2%
Under 81.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 85.5Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 over 85.5
Over 85.5
50.0%
Under 85.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread BC Olimpas Palanga -3Actual: BC Olimpas Palanga -3
OPA -3
64.9%
ZALG +3
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
OPA
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.
Spread BC Olimpas Palanga 0Actual: BC Olimpas Palanga 0
OPA 0
72.5%
ZALG 0
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
OPA
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.
Spread BC Olimpas Palanga +3Actual: BC Olimpas Palanga +3
OPA +3
79.8%
ZALG -3
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
OPA
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
BC Olimpas PalangaZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Olimpas PalangaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H01/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H15/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A17/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A22/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/10
NKL
85.3Avg total
44.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.181.3-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.536.274.6+2.377%-
Last 30 away (17)41.544.986.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.285.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.242.278.4-6.030%-
vs Similar (11)39.641.080.6-1.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.340.185.4+5.278%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#9
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
93.8Avg total
46.1Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.544.188.7+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.343.987.2-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)45.944.490.4+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.147.793.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.891.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.245.086.2-3.820%-
vs Similar (16)45.243.889.1+1.450%-
vs Weaker (9)45.144.289.3+0.956%-
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Olimpas Palangatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Olimpas Palanga: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.1
57.4%
54.5%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.9
30.3%
31.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
67.3%14.9
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.1
54.0%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
31.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.918.9
73.0%
67.3%18.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Olimpas Palanga
WWLWWWLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWLLWLLWWL
#3
League position
#12
+11.1
Net rating
-2.0
97.7
Offensive rating
96.3
86.6
Defensive rating
98.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
12.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.3%
3-point %
32.5%
64.2%
Assist %
63.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 96.3Defence86.6 · 98.3Shooting52.5% · 51.9%3-point %30.3% · 32.5%Ball care12.1% · 15.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ BC Olimpas Palanga   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BC Olimpas Palanga wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v BC Olimpas Palanga96-87
08/11/25BC Olimpas Palanga v Zalgiris Kaunas 291-85 OT
16/04/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v BC Olimpas Palanga83-82
13/04/25BC Olimpas Palanga v Zalgiris Kaunas 278-81
10/04/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v BC Olimpas Palanga87-77
04/02/25BC Olimpas Palanga v Zalgiris Kaunas 278-81
18/01/25BC Olimpas Palanga v Zalgiris Kaunas 274-81
02/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v BC Olimpas Palanga74-89
02/03/24BC Olimpas Palanga v Zalgiris Kaunas 261-56
27/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v BC Olimpas Palanga71-77
BC Olimpas Palangalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai84-81
24/10/26HVilkaviskis87-81
22/10/26ANeptunas 277-78
17/10/26AUkmerges Stekas107-76
15/10/26HPlunges Olimpas102-76
10/10/26ARytas 2103-81
08/10/26AJurbarkas78-88
03/10/26AKedainiai BC94-75
01/10/26HMazeikiai86-70
14/03/26AJurbarkas85-90
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108
01/10/26HVilkaviskis107-104
28/09/26AAlytaus Patriotai108-83
07/04/26ANeptunas 271-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Olimpas Palanga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %78%100%67%
Points / game90.991.790.5
Allowed / game78.475.779.8
Point differential+12.4+16.0+10.7
Avg total169.3167.3170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game95.293.897.0
Allowed / game95.495.895.0
Point differential-0.2-2.0+2.0
Avg total190.7189.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas880100%90.173.5+16.6
2 Telsiai10100100%88.272.5+15.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga97278%90.978.4+12.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga75271%93.480.4+13.0
5 Silute75271%84.078.1+5.9
6 Omega-Tauras96367%88.783.2+5.4
7 Neptunas 296367%77.074.2+2.8
8 Vytis VDU74357%94.092.6+1.4
9 Plunges Olimpas95456%80.378.7+1.7
10 Vilkaviskis84450%82.583.9-1.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 294544%95.295.4-0.2
12 Alytaus Patriotai94544%84.487.9-3.4
13 Kedainiai BC94544%78.282.2-4.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%81.990.8-8.9
15 Kretinga91811%80.289.9-9.7
16 Mazeikiai91811%74.286.3-12.1
17 Rytas 29090%73.385.8-12.4
18 Kauno Atletas8080%76.096.6-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Olimpas Palanga33282526112
Zalgiris Kaunas 231162924100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.