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Ukmerges Stekas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 108-87
25-23 31-20 30-28 22-16
Position#14
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game85.0
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
Position#11
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game93.5
LithuaniaNKLRound 3· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
08 Oct 2026
UKME108
ZALG87
03 Jan 2026
UKME64
ZALG71
03 Oct 2024
UKME81
ZALG71
18 Nov 2023
UKME61
ZALG79
22 Oct 2022
UKME67
ZALG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
58avg 71
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
80-94
80
94
-14
60avg 71
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 71
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 71
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 71
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
93avg 71
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
92-101
92
101
-9
81avg 71
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
89avg 71
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
81avg 71
H01/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 71
A03/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
20-20
21-16
11-18
11-29
21-20
27-18
21-27
21-19
14-26
23-22
24-31
19-29
13-21
18-19
29-18
29-25
19-24
19-24
16-14
13-24
26-18
24-31
20-10
31-25
16-29
26-23
19-24
19-17
21-28
21-21
29-24
25-22
21-17
17-23
17-18
21-17
17-21
19-17
15-25
176.2Avg total
84.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.585.0165.5-4.50%
Season at home (1)89.090.0179.0-1.00%
Season away (1)72.080.0152.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)84.791.5176.2-6.810%
Last 5 (5)90.694.4185.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.789.0169.7-8.322%
vs Similar (3)79.092.3171.3-13.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 79
H05/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
91avg 79
A07/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
87avg 79
H12/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
69avg 79
A14/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
63avg 79
H28/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
103-93
103
93
+10
98avg 79
A01/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 79
H03/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
61avg 79
A07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
107-104
107
104
+3
102avg 79
H01/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
19-16
11-17
25-11
26-24
28-21
19-16
19-20
24-24
19-22
21-19
28-21
19-21
14-25
26-20
22-26
19-29
22-20
20-17
11-12
26-29
26-29
22-8
29-27
17-20
17-21
18-21
23-17
21-22
17-20
19-18
14-29
32-16
22-22
28-19
26-26
29-23
28-33
28-21
22-27
172.3Avg total
88.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)107.593.5201.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)107.0104.0211.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)108.083.0191.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.084.3172.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)92.889.6182.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.587.5169.0-6.050%
vs Similar (18)88.483.9172.3+4.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.781.9169.6+5.880%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Ukmerges StekasZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/10
NKL
Silute
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A03/10
NKL
84.9Avg total
39.5Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.644.181.7-6.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.843.580.3-6.729%-
Last 30 away (16)38.444.683.0-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.484.9-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.043.680.6-6.622%-
vs Similar (3)43.349.092.3-5.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H05/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A07/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A14/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H28/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A01/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H03/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/10
NKL
90.0Avg total
44.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.785.1+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.342.284.6+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)44.841.085.8+3.857%-
Last 10 (10)44.945.190.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.047.094.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.541.080.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (18)44.141.785.8+2.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.141.884.9+1.350%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.124.1
49.1%
54.5%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
31.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.913.1
65.8%
67.1%13.1
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.4
54.4%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
67.1%18.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLLWLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WWLLWLLWWW
#14
League position
#11
-6.9
Net rating
+2.5
88.4
Offensive rating
97.2
95.3
Defensive rating
94.7
48.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
31.5%
3-point %
33.9%
53.9%
Assist %
60.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.4 · 97.2Defence95.3 · 94.7Shooting48.4% · 53.1%3-point %31.5% · 33.9%Ball care15.1% · 15.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 264-71
30/10/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas116-84
25/01/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas82-75
03/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 281-71
09/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-75
18/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 261-79
17/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-68
22/10/22Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 267-80
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ASilute72-80
01/10/26HVytis VDU89-90 OT
14/03/26HKretinga103-107 OT
12/03/26AAlytaus Alytus92-101
07/03/26ABC Olimpas Palanga97-94 OT
05/03/26HOmega-Tauras83-87
03/03/26HJurbarkas79-87
26/02/26APlunges Olimpas82-98
21/02/26HSilute80-94
19/02/26ANeptunas 270-77
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26HVilkaviskis107-104
28/09/26AAlytaus Patriotai108-83
07/04/26ANeptunas 271-89
03/04/26HNeptunas 275-79
01/04/26ANeptunas 2103-93
28/03/26HNeptunas 272-78
14/03/26AVilkaviskis81-92
12/03/26HKedainiu SC92-86
07/03/26AVytis VDU92-81
05/03/26HRytas 279-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.589.072.0
Allowed / game85.090.080.0
Point differential-4.5-1.0-8.0
Avg total165.5179.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game107.5107.0108.0
Allowed / game93.5104.083.0
Point differential+14.0+3.0+25.0
Avg total201.0211.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas220100%99.073.0+26.0
2 Omega-Tauras220100%101.580.5+21.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga220100%90.072.5+17.5
4 Telsiai330100%88.073.0+15.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%107.593.5+14.0
6 Suduva-Mantinga110100%87.080.0+7.0
7 Vytis VDU220100%89.086.5+2.5
8 Vilkaviskis32167%90.782.7+8.0
9 Silute32167%77.376.7+0.7
10 Neptunas 231233%82.380.0+2.3
11 Mazeikiai31233%72.380.3-8.0
12 Kedainiai BC31233%79.093.7-14.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas2020%80.585.0-4.5
14 Rytas 22020%74.583.0-8.5
15 Plunges Olimpas2020%77.591.0-13.5
16 Kauno Atletas2020%77.093.0-16.0
17 Kretinga2020%70.587.5-17.0
18 Alytaus Patriotai3030%77.097.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas25313022108
Zalgiris Kaunas 22320281687
← all games of the day
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