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Kretinga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:05
Final 85-101
16-25 22-24 23-23 24-29
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game97.3
LithuaniaNKLRound 8· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
24 Oct 2026
KRET85
ZALG101
07 Feb 2026
KRET64
ZALG104
10 Oct 2024
KRET65
ZALG90
09 Mar 2024
KRET72
ZALG88
26 Oct 2023
KRET77
ZALG98
10 Nov 2022
KRET80
ZALG103
08 Jan 2022
KRET55
ZALG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
96avg 76
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 76
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
67avg 76
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
70avg 76
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 76
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
72avg 76
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
95-99
95
99
-4
89avg 76
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 76
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 76
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
L
70-90
70
90
-20
56avg 76
A22/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
17-19
25-18
30-26
16-21
20-12
20-21
13-21
23-24
19-19
24-22
19-25
21-19
21-31
17-27
17-14
27-22
13-21
12-17
13-24
20-22
19-21
28-27
18-28
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
23-16
24-23
17-10
20-23
15-25
21-23
13-25
21-17
170.9Avg total
81.9Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.788.9168.6-9.114%
Season at home (3)84.792.7177.3-8.00%
Season away (4)76.086.0162.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)81.989.0170.9-7.120%
Last 5 (5)83.489.4172.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.990.6168.5-12.614%
vs Similar (12)84.381.8166.2+2.567%
vs Weaker (4)101.287.8189.0+13.5100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
103-93
103
93
+10
98avg 80
A01/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 80
H03/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
61avg 80
A07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
107-104
107
104
+3
102avg 80
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 80
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 80
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 80
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 80
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 80
H22/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
26-29
22-8
29-27
17-20
17-21
18-21
23-17
21-22
17-20
19-18
14-29
32-16
22-22
28-19
26-26
29-23
28-33
28-21
22-27
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
186.5Avg total
92.3Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.397.3193.6-1.043%
Season at home (4)96.896.5193.2+0.250%
Season away (3)95.798.3194.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)92.394.2186.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)91.898.8190.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.695.6181.2-10.020%
vs Similar (16)89.184.4173.4+4.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.686.0176.6+4.667%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
KretingaZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A22/10
NKL
84.4Avg total
40.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.682.3-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.883.2+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.142.481.4-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.984.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.686.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.644.582.1-6.914%-
vs Similar (12)40.438.679.0+1.858%-
vs Weaker (4)51.840.892.5+11.0100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A01/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H03/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
95.1Avg total
46.5Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.487.7+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.643.086.6+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)45.143.989.0+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.548.695.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.050.296.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.047.291.2-3.220%-
vs Similar (16)44.642.286.9+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.843.487.2+0.356%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.6
30.0%
31.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.915.3
64.0%
67.1%15.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.2
53.9%
54.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.1%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.418.2
71.7%
67.1%18.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWLLLLLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWLLWWLLW
#15
League position
#11
-8.4
Net rating
-2.4
90.9
Offensive rating
96.6
99.2
Defensive rating
99.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.0%
3-point %
34.1%
52.7%
Assist %
64.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 96.6Defence99.2 · 99.0Shooting50.5% · 52.8%3-point %30.0% · 34.1%Ball care14.8% · 15.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Kretinga   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai70-90
17/10/26AKauno Atletas84-72
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99
08/10/26APlunges Olimpas85-98
03/10/26AVilkaviskis65-84
01/10/26HNeptunas 276-91
10/04/26AVytis VDU85-90
08/04/26HVytis VDU69-75
04/04/26AVytis VDU107-103 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108
01/10/26HVilkaviskis107-104
28/09/26AAlytaus Patriotai108-83
07/04/26ANeptunas 271-89
03/04/26HNeptunas 275-79
01/04/26ANeptunas 2103-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game79.784.776.0
Allowed / game88.992.786.0
Point differential-9.1-8.0-10.0
Avg total168.6177.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game96.396.895.7
Allowed / game97.396.598.3
Point differential-1.0+0.2-2.7
Avg total193.6193.2194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas770100%90.772.7+18.0
2 Telsiai880100%86.470.1+16.2
3 Vytis VDU54180%96.892.0+4.8
4 BC Olimpas Palanga86275%91.878.1+13.6
5 Omega-Tauras75271%90.183.1+7.0
6 Silute64267%81.876.8+5.0
7 Neptunas 285362%79.276.4+2.9
8 Plunges Olimpas85362%83.281.1+2.1
9 Suduva-Mantinga53260%86.483.0+3.4
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 273443%96.397.3-1.0
11 Vilkaviskis73443%83.785.6-1.9
12 Alytaus Patriotai73443%84.990.4-5.6
13 Kedainiai BC83538%75.983.0-7.1
14 Ukmerges Stekas83538%82.690.0-7.4
15 Kretinga71614%79.788.9-9.1
16 Mazeikiai81712%72.983.5-10.6
17 Rytas 28080%73.587.2-13.8
18 Kauno Atletas6060%78.293.3-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1622232485
Zalgiris Kaunas 225242329101
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