BC Roma vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 19:00

Projected 93-91

Projected total 184.3

Final 83-78

11-15 24-19 27-16 21-28

Position#18

Record2-4

FormLLWLL

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game92.7

BC Roma 🏆

54%

46%

■ ROM 54%■ ULM 46%

Pythia win probability

Ulm

Position#15

Record3-3

FormLWWLL

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game88.2

EurocupRound 7· Palazzetto dello Sport

European cup2026

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

BC Roma and Ulm face off in the EuroCup on 11 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as the margin between them is razor-thin. BC Roma has gone 2-4 in all six games this season, averaging 87.7 points and conceding 92.7, while Ulm sits at 3-3, scoring 89.2 and allowing 88.2, a slight edge in points per game. At home, Roma has a 2-1 record, outscoring opponents 83.0 to 81.3, and has won only one of its last five outings, losing to PAOK 111-113 away, beating Scafati 103-90 at home, and falling to KK Bosna 80-85 at home. Ulm's road record is 1-2, with 84.3 points scored and 85.3 allowed, and they have won two of their last five, dropping to Bahcesehir Kol. 82-96 at home, defeating Oldenburg 81-65 at home, and beating Lietkabelis 86-68 away. Pythia rates Roma as the favourite with a 53% chance of winning versus Ulm's 47%, projecting a close 91-90 scoreline and a total of 180.2 points; the home team line is -6.5 with a 34% chance of covering, and the over line of 182.5 has a 43% probability, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Roma can maintain its modest home advantage against a resilient Ulm side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Roma winWon

54.3%fair 1.84

Best odds1.29

Implied74.3%

Edge-20.1pp

Ulm winLost

45.7%fair 2.19

Best odds4.05

Implied25.7%

Edge+20.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 22:27 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC RomaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRoma

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

#21

92-87

88avg 86

H07/10

Eurocup

Maxima Roma

95-96

-1

86avg 86

A11/10

Lega A

Balkan

#32

77-72 OT

69avg 86

H13/10

Eurocup

Venezia

98-104

104

-6

92avg 86

H17/10

Lega A

Manresa

88-108

108

-20

78avg 86

A20/10

Eurocup

Varese

103-110 OT

103

110

-7

95avg 86

A24/10

Lega A

KK Bosna

#23

80-85

-5

70avg 86

H27/10

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

103-90

103

+13

101avg 86

H31/10

Lega A

PAOK

111-113

111

113

-2

no box

A03/11

Eurocup

Trieste

100-116

100

116

-16

no box

A08/11

Lega A

22-11

21-27

27-25

22-24

33-25

24-27

13-25

25-19

13-12

16-21

18-12

22-24

29-24

26-22

13-24

30-34

21-32

25-25

24-25

18-26

28-32

17-17

22-17

28-29

21-16

20-27

26-20

13-22

25-29

26-24

27-23

25-14

22-29

38-32

26-31

25-21

32-28

24-30

26-34

18-24

192.8Avg total

94.7Scored

98.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	87.7	92.7	180.3	-5.0	33%
Season at home (3)	83.0	81.3	164.3	+1.7	67%
Season away (3)	92.3	104.0	196.3	-11.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	94.7	98.1	192.8	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	99.4	102.8	202.2	-3.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	94.2	107.0	201.2	-12.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	94.0	100.8	194.8	-6.8	0%
vs Weaker (4)	95.0	79.8	174.8	+15.2	100%

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlmLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUlm

Date

Competition

Syntainics MBC

72-89

-17

53avg 74

A03/10

BBL

Manresa

89-101

101

-12

83avg 74

A07/10

Eurocup

Vechta

#13

92-97 OT

-5

84avg 74

A10/10

BBL

KK Bosna

#23

102-93

102

96avg 74

H14/10

Eurocup

PAOK

78-87

-9

65avg 74

A21/10

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

#10

82-98

-16

76avg 74

A25/10

BBL

Lietkabelis

#21

86-68

+18

84avg 74

A27/10

Eurocup

Oldenburg

#11

81-65

+16

77avg 74

H31/10

BBL

Bahcesehir Kol.

82-96

-14

no box

H03/11

Eurocup

Rostock

87-97

-10

no box

A07/11

BBL

24-20

17-18

16-23

15-28

24-31

21-31

24-20

20-19

20-20

27-13

14-26

23-25

26-26

26-23

26-16

24-28

20-19

22-27

13-13

23-28

18-23

25-22

16-23

23-30

22-25

28-17

17-9

19-17

18-20

26-12

16-20

21-13

19-19

17-35

24-14

22-28

21-29

24-29

21-15

21-24

174.2Avg total

85.1Scored

89.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	89.2	88.2	177.3	+1.0	50%
Season at home (3)	94.0	91.0	185.0	+3.0	67%
Season away (3)	84.3	85.3	169.7	-1.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	89.1	174.2	-4.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	84.8	168.4	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	82.3	91.2	173.5	-8.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.9	86.9	168.8	-5.0	31%
vs Weaker (11)	88.5	78.4	166.9	+10.2	73%

This opponent (BC Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 184 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 185-189 (12%). The market's main line is 181.25.

Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176

Over 176

68.4%

@ 1.45+4.2pp

Under 176

31.6%

@ 2.60-4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.45

Under

Bet365

2.60

Over/Under 181.25 · main lineActual: Under 181.25

Over 181.25

55.5%

@ 1.81+5.5pp

Under 181.25

44.5%

@ 1.81-5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 186.25Actual: Under 186.25

Over 186.25

43.9%

@ 1.78-6.9pp

Under 186.25

56.1%

@ 1.84+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.78

Under

1xBet

1.84

📊 3. Team Totals

BC Roma total 90.5Actual: BC Roma under 90.5

Over 90.5

58.1%

@ 1.43-6.9pp

Under 90.5

41.9%

@ 3.40+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.40

Betano

1.23

Under

Betano

3.40

Bet365

2.65

1xBet

2.33

BC Roma total 94.5 · main lineActual: BC Roma under 94.5

Over 94.5

43.5%

@ 1.83-12.3pp

Under 94.5

56.5%

@ 2.35+12.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.46

Under

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.15

BetVictor

1.95

Bet365

1.83

BC Roma total 98.5Actual: BC Roma under 98.5

Over 98.5

29.8%

@ 2.30-16.6pp

Under 98.5

70.2%

@ 1.75+16.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

Betano

1.93

1xBet

1.86

Under

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.61

Bet365

1.55

Ulm total 85.5Actual: Ulm under 85.5

Over 85.5

71.0%

@ 1.83+10.3pp

Under 85.5

29.0%

@ 2.57-10.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.83

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.41

Betano

1.40

Under

Betano

2.57

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.28

BetVictor

1.95

Ulm total 89.5 · main lineActual: Ulm under 89.5

Over 89.5

56.9%

@ 2.40+8.0pp

Under 89.5

43.1%

@ 1.87-8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Marathon Be

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.77

Under

Betano

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.78

1xBet

1.68

Bet365

1.52

Ulm total 93.5Actual: Ulm under 93.5

Over 93.5

42.0%

@ 2.72+6.1pp

Under 93.5

58.0%

@ 1.44-6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.45

Under

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from BC Roma's side (positive = BC Roma win). Pythia's expected margin is +1.3; BC Roma win by 1+ in 48% of simulations.

Spread BC Roma -11Actual: Ulm +11

ROM -11

21.0%

@ 2.27-20.3pp

ULM +11

79.0%

@ 1.58+20.3pp

Best 5 market prices

ROM

Bet365

2.27

Marathon Be

2.17

ULM

Bet365

1.58

Marathon Be

1.55

Spread BC Roma -8 · main lineActual: Ulm +8

ROM -8

29.1%

@ 1.93-20.3pp

ULM +8

70.9%

@ 1.88+20.3pp

Best 5 market prices

ROM

Pinnacle

1.93

SBO

1.88

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.79

ULM

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.81

SBO

1.80

Spread BC Roma -5Push

ROM -5

38.8%

@ 1.56-21.7pp

ULM +5

61.2%

@ 2.50+21.7pp

Best 5 market prices

ROM

Pinnacle

1.56

Bet365

1.51

Marathon Be

1.49

ULM

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.39

Marathon Be

2.21

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BC RomaUlm

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.5
Last 30 (13)	24.2	24.1	48.3	+0.2	54%	69%
Last 30 at home (6)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	83%	50%
Last 30 away (7)	25.7	28.3	54.0	-2.6	29%	86%
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.8	48.4	+0.8	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	25.6	26.8	52.4	-1.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	28.0	51.2	-4.8	25%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	27.4	25.2	52.6	+2.2	60%	80%
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.5	75%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.5
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.1	42.9	+0.6	50%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.3	50%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	50%	38%
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	50%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.4	38%	23%
vs Weaker (11)	24.0	21.3	45.3	+2.7	64%	55%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (13)	23.6	24.8	48.5	-1.2	31%	77%
Last 30 at home (6)	23.3	23.7	47.0	-0.3	50%	83%
Last 30 away (7)	23.9	25.9	49.7	-2.0	14%	71%
Last 10 (10)	23.7	25.2	48.9	-1.5	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	26.0	51.0	-1.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	26.8	27.2	54.0	-0.5	25%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.2	24.2	45.4	-3.0	20%	80%
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	23.2	46.8	+0.2	50%	75%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.0	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	64%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	38%	50%
Last 10 (10)	23.3	22.7	46.0	+0.6	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	25.3	45.0	-5.7	17%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	54%	38%
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	18.4	42.9	+6.2	64%	45%

BC RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

#21

43-38

H07/10

Eurocup

Maxima Roma

57-52

A11/10

Lega A

Balkan

#32

29-33

-4

H13/10

Eurocup

Venezia

55-46

H17/10

Lega A

Manresa

46-57

-11

A20/10

Eurocup

Varese

45-49

-4

A24/10

Lega A

KK Bosna

#23

41-43

-2

H27/10

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

51-53

-2

H31/10

Lega A

PAOK

60-61

-1

A03/11

Eurocup

Trieste

56-58

-2

A08/11

Lega A

97.3Avg total

48.3Scored

49.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 92
Last 30 (13)	47.8	48.9	96.8	-1.1	31%	69%
Last 30 at home (6)	45.8	42.8	88.7	+3.0	50%	50%
Last 30 away (7)	49.6	54.1	103.7	-4.6	14%	86%
Last 10 (10)	48.3	49.0	97.3	-0.7	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	50.6	52.8	103.4	-2.2	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	50.0	55.2	105.2	-5.2	0%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	48.6	49.4	98.0	-0.8	40%	80%
vs Weaker (4)	44.8	42.0	86.8	+2.8	50%	50%

This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Syntainics MBC

41-38

A03/10

BBL

Manresa

45-62

-17

A07/10

Eurocup

Vechta

#13

47-33

+14

A10/10

BBL

KK Bosna

#23

52-49

H14/10

Eurocup

PAOK

42-46

-4

A21/10

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

#10

43-45

-2

A25/10

BBL

Lietkabelis

#21

50-42

A27/10

Eurocup

Oldenburg

#11

44-32

+12

H31/10

BBL

Bahcesehir Kol.

36-54

-18

H03/11

Eurocup

Rostock

45-58

-13

A07/11

BBL

90.4Avg total

44.5Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 92
Last 30 (30)	44.5	41.9	86.4	+2.6	63%	30%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	41.5	86.1	+3.1	64%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	44.4	42.2	86.6	+2.2	62%	25%
Last 10 (10)	44.5	45.9	90.4	-1.4	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	46.2	89.8	-2.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	47.5	88.2	-6.8	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.8	41.2	84.0	+1.7	54%	23%
vs Weaker (11)	48.5	39.6	88.2	+8.9	91%	36%

This opponent (BC Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: BC Roma win

ROM win

53.2%

@ 1.40-16.1pp

ULM win

46.8%

@ 3.09+16.1pp

1st half Spread BC Roma -4 · main lineActual: Ulm +4

ROM -4

36.3%

@ 1.88-14.5pp

ULM +4

63.7%

@ 1.94+14.5pp

1st half Over/Under 92 · main lineActual: Under 92

Over

50.6%

@ 1.90+0.4pp

Under

49.4%

@ 1.95-0.4pp

BC Roma 1st half total 48.5 · main lineActual: BC Roma under 48.5

Over

38.9%

@ 1.83-12.1pp

Under

61.1%

@ 2.05+12.1pp

Ulm 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Ulm under 44.5

Over

56.3%

@ 1.86+6.8pp

Under

43.7%

@ 1.95-6.8pp

1st half: ROM + total 91.5

ROM & over

27.2%

@ 2.70-5.0pp

ROM & under

23.7%

@ 2.85-6.8pp

1st half: Draw + total 91.5

Draw & over

2.2%

@ 26.00-1.1pp

Draw & under

2.1%

@ 29.00-0.9pp

1st half: ULM + total 91.5

ULM & over

23.2%

@ 5.50+7.4pp

ULM & under

21.7%

@ 5.75+6.5pp

1st half Over/Under 90.75Actual: Under 90.75

Over

56.1%

@ 1.72+3.5pp

Under

43.9%

@ 1.91-3.5pp

1st half Over/Under 93.25Actual: Under 93.25

Over

44.8%

@ 1.82-4.9pp

Under

55.2%

@ 1.80+4.9pp

1st half Spread BC Roma -5Actual: Ulm +5

ROM -5

32.6%

@ 2.04-14.0pp

ULM +5

67.4%

@ 1.78+14.0pp

1st half Spread BC Roma -3Actual: Ulm +3

ROM -3

40.2%

@ 1.71-15.4pp

ULM +3

59.8%

@ 2.14+15.4pp

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5

Over

59.9%

@ 1.80+6.1pp

Under

40.1%

@ 2.32-6.1pp

1st half Over/Under 94.5Actual: Under 94.5

Over

40.8%

@ 2.12-7.5pp

Under

59.2%

@ 1.87+7.5pp

1st half Spread BC Roma -6.5Actual: Ulm +6.5

ROM -6.5

27.6%

@ 2.25-14.2pp

ULM +6.5

72.4%

@ 1.57+14.2pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: BC Roma (regulation)

ROM

50.9%

@ 1.43-13.1pp

Draw

4.3%

@ 18.00-1.3pp

ULM

44.8%

@ 3.00+14.3pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (13)	22.0	23.1	45.1	-1.1	46%	54%
Last 30 at home (6)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	83%	50%
Last 30 away (7)	21.6	25.9	47.4	-4.3	14%	57%
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.6	45.8	-1.4	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	25.4	25.0	50.4	+0.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.5	28.0	51.5	-4.5	0%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	40%	40%
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.2	100%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.3	39.5	-1.2	43%	23%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	57%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	20.2	37.5	-2.9	31%	19%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	50%	0%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	19.2	39.3	+1.0	50%	17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.8	23%	23%
vs Weaker (11)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	64%	27%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.75
Last 30 (13)	23.3	22.8	46.2	+0.5	38%	54%
Last 30 at home (6)	23.3	21.5	44.8	+1.8	33%	50%
Last 30 away (7)	23.3	24.0	47.3	-0.7	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	23.7	46.3	-1.1	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	23.8	44.5	-3.0	25%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	24.6	25.8	50.4	-1.2	40%	60%
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	18.2	42.5	+6.0	50%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.75
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	43%	27%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	21.9	42.4	-1.5	43%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.4	44%	19%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	24.5	46.0	-3.0	33%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.5	46%	31%
vs Weaker (11)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	45%	9%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90.5
Last 30 (13)	45.3	45.9	91.2	-0.6	31%	54%
Last 30 at home (6)	45.8	41.3	87.2	+4.5	50%	33%
Last 30 away (7)	44.9	49.9	94.7	-5.0	14%	71%
Last 10 (10)	44.8	47.3	92.1	-2.5	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	47.2	47.0	94.2	+0.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.2	51.8	96.0	-7.5	0%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.8	48.4	92.2	-4.6	20%	60%
vs Weaker (4)	48.2	37.0	85.2	+11.2	75%	25%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90.5
Last 30 (30)	39.7	42.3	82.0	-2.7	43%	23%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	42.4	84.1	-0.8	50%	21%
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	42.2	80.2	-4.3	38%	25%
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.9	81.7	-2.1	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.7	43.7	85.3	-2.0	67%	17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.5	44.8	83.2	-6.3	31%	23%
vs Weaker (11)	40.0	38.7	78.7	+1.3	45%	27%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ROM win + total 181.5

🔒 Pro

ULM win + total 181.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ROM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ULM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ROM:ULM): ROM wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Ulm +9 (3-way)	71.3%	1.82	Marathon Bet 1.82	-	-	-	-	+22.2pp	Won
Ulm over 85	73.4%	1.65	1xBet 1.65	-	-	-	-	+21.1pp	Lost
Ulm +11	79.0%	1.56	Bet365 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.55	-	-	-	+20.3pp	Won
Ulm +8	70.9%	1.84	Pinnacle 1.88	Marathon Bet 1.86	Bet365 1.86	1xBet 1.81	SBO 1.80	+20.3pp	Won
Ulm +12	81.3%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.47	-	-	-	+19.6pp	Won
Ulm +10.5	77.1%	1.59	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.60	BetVictor 1.57	1xBet 1.53	+19.5pp	Won
Ulm +9	73.8%	1.76	Bet365 1.80	Marathon Bet 1.75	Pinnacle 1.74	-	-	+19.2pp	Won
Ulm +8.5	71.8%	1.80	Bet365 1.83	1xBet 1.82	Marathon Bet 1.82	Betano 1.80	Betfair 1.80	+19.0pp	Won
Ulm +10	76.5%	1.65	Bet365 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.64	Pinnacle 1.64	-	-	+18.7pp	Won
Ulm +13	83.4%	1.42	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.40	-	-	-	+18.4pp	Won
Ulm +11.5	79.5%	1.50	Bet365 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.52	Betano 1.50	BetVictor 1.48	1xBet 1.45	+18.4pp	Won
Ulm +9.5	74.5%	1.69	Bet365 1.74	Betano 1.70	Marathon Bet 1.70	Pinnacle 1.68	BetVictor 1.68	+18.2pp	Won
Ulm +14	85.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	Marathon Bet 1.34	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Ulm over 86	70.0%	1.63	1xBet 1.63	-	-	-	-	+17.1pp	Lost
Ulm +12.5	81.7%	1.43	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.44	Betano 1.42	BetVictor 1.42	1xBet 1.37	+17.0pp	Won
BC Roma under 98.5	70.2%	1.64	Betano 1.75	1xBet 1.61	Bet365 1.55	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
BC Roma under 99.5	73.3%	1.57	Betano 1.62	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.52	-	-	+16.4pp	Won
2nd half: Ulm +7.5	76.3%	1.47	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Won
Ulm +15	87.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
BC Roma under 100.5	76.2%	1.46	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.45	Bet365 1.41	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
2nd half: Ulm +8.5	79.2%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+16.1pp	Won
Ulm +13.5	83.7%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	Marathon Bet 1.38	Betano 1.37	BetVictor 1.36	1xBet 1.30	+16.1pp	Won
2nd half: Ulm +6.5	73.0%	1.55	1xBet 1.55	-	-	-	-	+16.0pp	Won
Ulm +14.5	85.5%	1.33	Bet365 1.35	Betano 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	-	+16.0pp	Won
2nd half: Ulm +9.5	82.1%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+16.0pp	Won
2nd half: Ulm +10.5	84.7%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+15.7pp	Won
BC Roma under 101.5	79.0%	1.42	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+15.7pp	Won
Ulm +16	88.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Ulm +15.5	87.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
BC Roma under 102.5	81.4%	1.34	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.33	Bet365 1.31	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma under 50.5	71.2%	1.58	Betano 1.67	1xBet 1.50	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
1st half: Ulm +7.5	75.5%	1.48	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
1st half: Ulm +9.5	81.5%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Won
2nd half: BC Roma under 51.5	78.5%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Won
BC Roma under 103.5	83.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.31	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Ulm +16.5	88.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.26	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
2nd half: BC Roma under 50.5	74.3%	1.45	1xBet 1.45	-	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
1st half: Ulm +6.5	72.4%	1.56	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.55	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma under 52.5	80.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Won
2nd half: BC Roma under 52.5	82.1%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma under 51.5	75.7%	1.43	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.37	-	-	+13.8pp	Won
1st half: Ulm +8.5	78.8%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Won
Q4: BC Roma under 27.5	79.9%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Ulm +19.5	92.4%	1.16	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Won
Ulm over 82.5	80.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.36	Betano 1.23	-	-	+13.0pp	Lost
BC Roma under 105.5	87.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Ulm +17.5	90.1%	1.19	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
Q4: BC Roma under 26.5	74.2%	1.42	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
1st half: Ulm +10.5	84.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
1st half: Ulm over 37.5	87.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+12.5pp	Lost
Ulm over 78.5	88.9%	1.19	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Lost
Ulm +18.5	91.3%	1.17	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
1st half: Ulm over 39.5	81.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
BC Roma under 107.5	91.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Ulm over 79.5	87.0%	1.23	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Lost
Q4: Ulm +6.5	81.1%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Q4: Ulm +5.5	77.0%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Ulm over 80.5	84.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Lost
BC Roma under 104.5	85.7%	1.24	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Q1: Ulm +5.5	75.5%	1.40	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Ulm over 81.5	82.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.37	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.25	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Q2: BC Roma under 27.5	81.0%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma under 53.5	83.7%	1.25	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Q4: Ulm +4.5	72.5%	1.44	1xBet 1.44	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Q1: Ulm +6.5	79.9%	1.32	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Won
Q2: BC Roma under 26.5	75.3%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Q3: BC Roma under 26.5	77.5%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
BC Roma under 109.5	93.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
1st half: Ulm over 40.5	76.8%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Lost
Ulm over 76.5	92.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
1st half: Ulm over 41.5	72.2%	1.49	Bet365 1.58	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.41	-	-	+10.7pp	Lost
BC Roma under 106.5	89.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Q1: Ulm +4.5	71.3%	1.51	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.50	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
1st half: Ulm over 35.5	92.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Lost
Q1: BC Roma under 27.5	78.8%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Ulm over 85.5	71.0%	1.55	BetVictor 1.83	Bet365 1.55	1xBet 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	+10.3pp	Lost
Q1: BC Roma under 26.5	72.7%	1.46	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.39	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
1st half: Ulm +12.5	88.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Q3: BC Roma under 25.5	70.9%	1.43	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Lost
2nd half: Ulm over 39.5	78.0%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
2nd half: Ulm over 40.5	73.9%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma under 28.5	83.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Q1: Ulm over 19.5	75.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Ulm over 84.5	74.2%	1.40	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.35	Betano 1.33	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Ulm over 77.5	90.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Ulm over 83.5	77.2%	1.33	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.30	Betano 1.28	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
BC Roma under 111.5	95.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Q1: Ulm +8.5	86.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Q1: Ulm over 18.5	80.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
1st half: Ulm over 33.5	95.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
1st half: Ulm +14.5	92.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma under 30.5	91.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
BC Roma under 108.5	92.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Ulm +23.5	95.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Q2: Ulm over 19.5	74.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
BC Roma under 113.5	97.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Ulm over 74.5	94.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Q3: Ulm over 18.5	77.2%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
BC Roma under 110.5	94.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Q4: Ulm over 19.5	73.9%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma under 55.5	89.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
BC Roma under 117.5	98.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Ulm over 72.5	96.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Q1: Ulm over 17.5	85.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Lost
Under 195.5	75.3%	1.37	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
BC Roma under 115.5	98.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Ulm over 70.5	97.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Under 196.5	77.1%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
BC Roma under 112.5	96.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Q3: Ulm over 19.5	70.8%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Ulm +28.5	98.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Over 170.5	78.9%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Q1: BC Roma under 32.5	96.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
BC Roma under 114.5	97.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Ulm over 71.5	97.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
BC Roma under 116.5	98.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Ulm over 75.5	93.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Ulm over 65.5	99.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Ulm over 73.5	95.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma under 57.5	93.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma under 34.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Ulm over 68.5	98.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Ulm over 69.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
1st half: Over 80.5	86.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Q1: Ulm over 15.5	92.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Q1: Ulm over 13.5	97.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Ulm over 66.5	99.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Q1: Ulm over 14.5	95.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Ulm over 67.5	98.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Q1: Ulm over 16.5	89.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Q1: Under 52.5	80.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Q1: Ulm over 12.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Under 194.5	73.5%	1.36	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q1: Under 50.5	71.8%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 171.5	77.1%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
1st half: Under 102.5	84.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Q1: Ulm over 11.5	98.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Over 157.5	94.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Q1: Over 39.5	82.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Over 167.5	83.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Under 193.5	71.6%	1.39	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
BC Roma over 73.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma over 14.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Q1: Over 41.5	75.1%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Over 175	70.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Q1: Ulm under 32.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Under 199.5	82.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Over 158.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
1st half: Under 100.5	78.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
1st half: Under 98.5	73.2%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Under 209.5	92.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q1: Ulm under 30.5	93.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Under 204.5	88.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Over 162.5	90.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Under 197.5	79.0%	1.24	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
BC Roma over 74.5	95.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 172.5	75.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Over 159.5	92.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Ulm under 108.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Q1: Ulm under 31.5	95.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Under 208.5	92.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Ulm under 109.5	95.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 82.5	82.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Lost
Under 203.5	87.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Ulm under 107.5	93.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Over 163.5	89.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Lost
1st half: BC Roma over 37.5	89.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Lost
BC Roma over 75.5	94.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Q1: Over 40.5	79.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Under 198.5	80.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma or Ulm	93.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma over 16.5	91.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Over 168.5	82.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Under 207.5	91.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma over 39.5	83.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Lost
BC Roma over 76.5	93.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Q1: Ulm under 29.5	91.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Ulm under 106.5	92.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
1st half: Over 84.5	76.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Lost
Over 173.5	73.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Lost
Q1: Under 51.5	76.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Over 164.5	87.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Lost
Ulm under 105.5	91.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Q1: Ulm under 28.5	87.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 202.5	86.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
BC Roma over 77.5	92.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 86.5	70.2%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Lost
Over 169.5	80.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Lost
Q2: BC Roma or Ulm	94.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Q2: Ulm under 25.5	71.0%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Q1: Over 42.5	70.7%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Lost
Ulm under 104.5	89.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
BC Roma over 78.5	90.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
1st half: BC Roma over 41.5	75.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Lost
Ulm under 103.5	87.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
BC Roma over 79.5	88.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Over 174.5	71.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Lost
Q1: BC Roma over 18.5	83.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Lost
1st half: Ulm under 53.5	87.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Q1: Ulm under 26.5	76.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Q1: Ulm under 27.5	82.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
BC Roma over 80.5	87.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
BC Roma +16.5	92.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Ulm under 102.5	85.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Ulm under 101.5	83.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
BC Roma over 81.5	85.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Ulm under 98.5	75.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
Ulm under 99.5	77.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma over 20.5	72.2%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Lost
Ulm under 100.5	80.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
BC Roma over 83.5	80.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Lost
1st half: Ulm under 51.5	80.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won
BC Roma over 82.5	82.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Won
Ulm under 97.5	72.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Q1: BC Roma +3.5	72.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-4.2pp	Lost
BC Roma over 85.5	74.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-4.8pp	Lost
BC Roma over 84.5	77.6%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-5.5pp	Lost
BC Roma +11.5	84.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-5.7pp	Won
1st half: Ulm under 49.5	71.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-6.7pp	Won
BC Roma over 86.5	71.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-7.2pp	Lost
1st half: BC Roma +5.5	75.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-7.8pp	Won
BC Roma +6.5	73.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-13.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

BC Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Roma: 91.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	22.2	60.5%	54.0%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	10.2	34.3%	34.0%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.7	80.7%	75.6%	16.7

They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	23.1	56.5%	54.0%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.2	34.3%	34.0%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.9	69.8%	75.6%	13.9

They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.1	53.7%	54.0%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	10.2	35.3%	34.0%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	24.6	18.2	74.0%	75.6%	18.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.8	55.3%	54.0%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.6	33.0%	34.0%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	25.7	17.8	69.3%	75.6%	17.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	22.2	60.7%	54.0%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.4	34.2%	34.0%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.5	79.4%	75.6%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.8	55.2%	54.0%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	8.3	31.7%	34.0%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.4	72.8%	75.6%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	21.9	54.9%	54.0%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.0	35.3%	34.0%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	25.5	18.8	73.7%	75.6%	18.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	18.6	52.4%	54.0%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.4	33.0%	34.0%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	23.9	17.2	72.2%	75.6%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

BC Roma

LLWLLLLWLW

Ulm

LLWWLLWLLL

#18

League position

#15

+0.8

Net rating

-2.8

100.1

Offensive rating

93.5

99.3

Defensive rating

96.3

56.5%

Effective FG%

54.6%

53.4%

Opp. effective FG%

53.0%

16.6%

Turnover %

17.0%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.31

34.3%

3-point %

34.3%

59.0%

Assist %

59.4%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ BC Roma ■ Ulm

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BC Roma wins

Ulm wins

No previous meetings.

BC Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	Trieste	100-116
03/11/26	A	PAOK	111-113
31/10/26	H	Scafati	103-90
27/10/26	H	KK Bosna	80-85
24/10/26	A	Varese	103-110 OT
20/10/26	A	Manresa	88-108
17/10/26	H	Venezia	98-104
13/10/26	H	Balkan	77-72 OT
11/10/26	A	Maxima Roma	95-96
07/10/26	H	Lietkabelis	92-87

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Rostock	87-97
03/11/26	H	Bahcesehir Kol.	82-96
31/10/26	H	Oldenburg	81-65
27/10/26	A	Lietkabelis	86-68
25/10/26	A	Alba Berlin	82-98
21/10/26	A	PAOK	78-87
14/10/26	H	KK Bosna	102-93
10/10/26	A	Vechta	92-97 OT
07/10/26	A	Manresa	89-101
03/10/26	A	Syntainics MBC	72-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Roma

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	33%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	87.7	83.0	92.3
Allowed / game	92.7	81.3	104.0
Point differential	-5.0	+1.7	-11.7
Avg total	180.3	164.3	196.3
Over 181.25	33%	0%	67%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

Ulm

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	89.2	94.0	84.3
Allowed / game	88.2	91.0	85.3
Point differential	+1.0	+3.0	-1.0
Avg total	177.3	185.0	169.7
Over 181.25	50%	67%	33%
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hapoel Jerusalem	7	7	0	100%	88.4	74.0	+14.4
2	Basket Napoli	7	7	0	100%	94.9	84.0	+10.9
3	Bahcesehir Kol.	7	6	1	86%	92.6	76.6	+16.0
4	Aris	7	6	1	86%	90.6	77.0	+13.6
5	Tenerife	7	6	1	86%	91.4	79.0	+12.4
6	Tofas	7	6	1	86%	91.7	82.9	+8.9
7	PAOK	7	5	2	71%	87.7	82.0	+5.7
8	Manresa	7	5	2	71%	88.1	83.3	+4.9
9	London Lions	7	4	3	57%	81.1	75.3	+5.9
10	Buducnost	7	4	3	57%	88.4	84.4	+4.0
11	Chemnitz	7	4	3	57%	87.9	85.4	+2.4
12	Le Mans	6	3	3	50%	79.5	77.8	+1.7
13	Ulm	6	3	3	50%	89.2	88.2	+1.0
14	Maxima Roma	6	3	3	50%	84.3	84.0	+0.3
15	Frankfurt	6	3	3	50%	86.2	91.7	-5.5
16	Venezia	7	3	4	43%	86.3	80.6	+5.7
17	Turk Telekom	7	3	4	43%	80.6	80.9	-0.3
18	Tortona	7	3	4	43%	80.6	83.3	-2.7
19	Siauliai	7	3	4	43%	80.0	86.3	-6.3
20	Rigas Zelli	7	3	4	43%	78.6	85.3	-6.7
21	Lietkabelis	7	3	4	43%	73.7	81.7	-8.0
22	BC Roma	6	2	4	33%	87.7	92.7	-5.0
23	KK Bosna	7	2	5	29%	79.9	81.9	-2.0
24	JL Bourg	7	2	5	29%	81.1	84.7	-3.6
25	Cedevita Olimpija	7	2	5	29%	74.9	79.0	-4.1
26	Neptunas	7	2	5	29%	84.7	90.3	-5.6
27	Trento	7	2	5	29%	82.1	89.0	-6.9
28	Rostock	7	2	5	29%	78.4	86.4	-8.0
29	Cluj-Napoca	7	2	5	29%	81.3	94.3	-13.0
30	San Pablo Burgos	6	1	5	17%	76.3	85.5	-9.2
31	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	6	14%	79.7	89.9	-10.1
32	Balkan	7	1	6	14%	67.4	80.6	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BC Roma	11	24	27	21	83
Ulm	15	19	16	28	78

← all games of the day

BC Roma vs Ulm Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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