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Lietkabelis vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-86
25-22 17-28 9-17 17-19
Position#21
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#13
Record2-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game91.2
EuropeEurocupRound 5· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Ulm
27 Oct 2026
LIE68
ULM86
15 Oct 2025
LIE94
ULM98
19 Dec 2023
LIE94
ULM90
19 Oct 2022
LIE80
ULM76
11 Jan 2017
LIE86
ULM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best odds1.99
Implied62.7%
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best odds2.60
Implied37.3%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 72
A23/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
77avg 72
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#23
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 72
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
48avg 72
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#22
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 72
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 72
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 72
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 72
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 72
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 72
A24/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-16
20-22
12-22
24-18
14-16
32-28
15-17
12-20
25-18
25-15
13-19
21-20
19-29
12-23
16-25
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
156.4Avg total
76.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.276.8157.0+3.575%
Season at home (2)85.079.0164.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)75.574.5150.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)76.979.5156.4-2.650%
Last 5 (5)75.473.8149.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.987.3168.2-6.430%
vs Similar (12)78.079.2157.2-1.242%
vs Weaker (8)80.470.0150.4+10.475%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 73
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 73
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
67-90
67
90
-23
65avg 73
H27/09
BBL
Balkan
#32
W
98-84
98
84
+14
92avg 73
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
53avg 73
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
83avg 73
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 73
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 73
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 73
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#10
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 73
A25/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
17-12
23-30
28-20
27-21
16-16
27-21
23-20
24-16
9-25
22-21
12-28
31-17
23-22
21-20
23-25
24-20
17-18
16-23
15-28
24-31
21-31
24-20
20-19
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
175.3Avg total
85.9Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.891.2183.0+0.550%
Season at home (2)100.088.5188.5+11.5100%
Season away (2)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)85.989.4175.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)88.695.2183.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.784.0156.7-11.30%
vs Similar (16)82.887.9170.7-5.131%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.377.7168.0+12.573%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under 167.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 172.5 · main lineActual: Under 172.5
Over 172.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under 172.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Marathon Be
2.06
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Under
BetVictor
1.90
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.68
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.57
Over/Under 177.5Actual: Under 177.5
Over 177.5
no forecast
@ 3.00
Under 177.5
no forecast
@ 1.41
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Bet365
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.33

📊 3. Team Totals

Lietkabelis total 80.5Actual: Lietkabelis under 80.5
Over 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.41
Under 80.5
no forecast
@ 2.92
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Under
Betano
2.92
1xBet
2.73
Bet365
2.70
Lietkabelis total 84.5 · main lineActual: Lietkabelis under 84.5
Over 84.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 84.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Under
Betano
2.10
BetVictor
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Lietkabelis total 88.5Actual: Lietkabelis under 88.5
Over 88.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 88.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.09
Under
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Ulm total 81.5Actual: Ulm over 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.86
Ulm total 85.5 · main lineActual: Ulm over 85.5
Over 85.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.15
BetVictor
1.95
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Ulm total 89.5Actual: Ulm under 89.5
Over 89.5
no forecast
@ 3.20
Under 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.20
1xBet
2.31
Under
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.26

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lietkabelis -3Actual: Ulm +3
LIE -3
no forecast
@ 1.83
ULM +3
no forecast
@ 2.04
Best 5 market prices
LIE
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Be
1.72
ULM
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathon Be
1.94
Bet365
1.86
1xBet
1.83
Spread Lietkabelis 0 · main lineActual: Ulm 0
LIE 0
no forecast
@ 1.84
ULM 0
no forecast
@ 1.84
Best 5 market prices
LIE
1xBet
1.84
ULM
1xBet
1.84
Spread Lietkabelis +3Actual: Ulm -3
LIE +3
no forecast
@ 1.35
ULM -3
no forecast
@ 3.00
Best 5 market prices
LIE
Bet365
1.35
Marathon Be
1.33
ULM
Bet365
3.00
Marathon Be
2.43

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
LietkabelisUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#22
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
75.9Avg total
38.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.5-1.837%23%
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.778.7-0.640%20%
Last 30 away (15)37.740.778.3-3.033%27%
Last 10 (10)38.837.175.9+1.750%30%
Last 5 (5)38.033.071.0+5.060%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.943.083.9-2.120%40%
vs Similar (12)36.342.278.5-5.825%25%
vs Weaker (8)38.233.671.9+4.675%0%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A25/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/09
BBL
Balkan
#32
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
85.2Avg total
43.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86
Last 30 (30)43.740.684.3+3.160%43%
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.185.2+4.964%50%
Last 30 away (16)42.641.083.6+1.656%38%
Last 10 (10)43.541.785.2+1.860%50%
Last 5 (5)45.847.092.8-1.240%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.742.081.7-2.333%33%
vs Similar (16)41.641.883.4-0.150%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.938.586.5+9.482%55%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Ulm win
LIE win
no forecast
@ 1.65
ULM win
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Spread Lietkabelis -0.5 · main lineActual: Ulm +0.5
LIE -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
ULM +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 86 · main lineActual: Over 86
Over
no forecast
@ 1.75
Under
no forecast
@ 1.75
Lietkabelis 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Lietkabelis under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
Ulm 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Ulm over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: LIE + total 84.5
LIE & over
no forecast
@ 3.20
LIE & under
no forecast
@ 3.30
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: ULM + total 84.5
ULM & over
no forecast
@ 4.25
ULM & under
no forecast
@ 4.50
1st half Over/Under 84.75Actual: Over 84.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Lietkabelis -1.5Actual: Ulm +1.5
LIE -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
ULM +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.97
1st half Spread Lietkabelis +0.5Actual: Ulm -0.5
LIE +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
ULM -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.01
1st half Spread Lietkabelis -2.5Actual: Ulm +2.5
LIE -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
ULM +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Lietkabelis +1.5Actual: Ulm -1.5
LIE +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
ULM -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Ulm (regulation)
LIE
no forecast
@ 1.71
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
ULM
no forecast
@ 2.32

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LIE win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
ULM win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LIE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ULM leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (LIE:ULM): LIE wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.3
53.2%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.6
32.9%
34.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.414.4
78.3%
75.6%14.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.924.3
56.6%
54.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
34.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.3
69.3%
75.6%13.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWWLLLWWL
Ulm
LLWLLLWLWW
#21
League position
#13
-3.7
Net rating
-3.9
94.3
Offensive rating
94.6
98.0
Defensive rating
98.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
32.7%
55.4%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 94.6Defence98.0 · 98.4Shooting51.7% · 53.9%3-point %32.9% · 32.7%Ball care15.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lietkabelis wins
3
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
02/01/26Ulm v Lietkabelis79-89
15/10/25Lietkabelis v Ulm94-98
19/12/23Lietkabelis v Ulm94-90
17/10/23Ulm v Lietkabelis99-74
18/01/23Ulm v Lietkabelis78-69
19/10/22Lietkabelis v Ulm80-76
08/02/17Ulm v Lietkabelis81-86
11/01/17Lietkabelis v Ulm86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
04/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas68-97
30/09/26HKK Bosna75-72
26/09/26HTaurage85-79
23/09/26ASiauliai77-86
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
07/10/26AManresa89-101
03/10/26ASyntainics MBC72-89
30/09/26HBalkan98-84
27/09/26HWurzburg67-90
25/09/26APhoenix Hagen93-78
20/09/26HLudwigsburg86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game80.285.075.5
Allowed / game76.879.074.5
Point differential+3.5+6.0+1.0
Avg total157.0164.0150.0
Over 172.550%50%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game91.8100.083.5
Allowed / game91.288.594.0
Point differential+0.5+11.5-10.5
Avg total183.0188.5177.5
Over 172.575%100%50%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris440100%94.575.2+19.2
2 Hapoel Jerusalem440100%88.571.2+17.2
3 Basket Napoli440100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%90.678.6+12.0
5 Chemnitz43175%86.278.2+8.0
6 Tenerife43175%89.882.2+7.5
7 Tofas43175%90.585.2+5.2
8 Lietkabelis43175%80.276.8+3.5
9 PAOK53260%84.481.4+3.0
10 Venezia42250%87.581.2+6.2
11 London Lions42250%81.276.0+5.2
12 Buducnost42250%90.886.8+4.0
13 Le Mans42250%80.878.0+2.8
14 Manresa42250%93.892.5+1.2
15 Maxima Roma42250%81.880.5+1.2
16 Ulm42250%91.891.2+0.5
17 Tortona42250%82.584.0-1.5
18 Siauliai42250%78.581.8-3.2
19 BC Roma42250%83.889.5-5.8
20 Rigas Zelli42250%81.287.5-6.2
21 Cluj-Napoca42250%79.586.2-6.8
22 Frankfurt42250%81.588.8-7.2
23 KK Bosna41325%80.882.2-1.5
24 JL Bourg41325%84.286.2-2.0
25 Turk Telekom41325%79.082.0-3.0
26 San Pablo Burgos41325%82.087.0-5.0
27 Neptunas41325%84.890.5-5.8
28 Trento41325%79.086.2-7.2
29 Slask Wroclaw41325%79.590.2-10.8
30 Rostock41325%77.293.0-15.8
31 Cedevita Olimpija4040%72.583.2-10.8
32 Balkan4040%68.285.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis251791768
Ulm2228171986
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