Bears Academy will host Horsens in the Basketligaen on 4 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Horsens the clear favourite, rating them 94% to win after a 6-2 season record, 87.6 points per game and 79.4 points allowed, placing them fourth in the league. Bears Academy, meanwhile, have struggled to a 1-7 record, 77.4 points scored and 92.9 allowed, and sit eleventh; they have gone 0-3 at home, 75.0 points per game and 89.3 allowed, and have lost every one of their last five outings, including an 80-113 defeat to Team FOG Naestved on 28 October. Horsens have been dominant on the road, 3-1 with 84.5 points scored and 72.0 allowed, and have won all five of their most recent games, most notably a 102-66 victory over Vejen away on 28 October. The teams have faced each other ten times, with Horsens winning every encounter, the last being a 99-92 win on 10 December 2025. Pythia projects a 75-93 score, 169 total points, a 16.5-point spread favouring Horsens with a 45% chance of covering, a 50% chance of the over, and a 1% probability of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 77.4 | 92.9 | 170.2 | -15.5 | 12% |
| Season at home (3) | 75.0 | 89.3 | 164.3 | -14.3 | 0% |
| Season away (5) | 78.8 | 95.0 | 173.8 | -16.2 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.1 | 89.3 | 169.4 | -9.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 98.6 | 172.2 | -25.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 77.7 | 103.9 | 181.6 | -26.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 82.0 | 76.5 | 158.5 | +5.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 90.3 | 79.7 | 170.0 | +10.7 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 87.6 | 79.4 | 167.0 | +8.2 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 90.8 | 86.8 | 177.5 | +4.0 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 84.5 | 72.0 | 156.5 | +12.5 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.6 | 84.8 | 169.4 | -0.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.4 | 76.2 | 170.6 | +18.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 81.1 | 90.4 | 171.5 | -9.3 | 33% |
| vs Similar (5) | 85.2 | 79.2 | 164.4 | +6.0 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 92.4 | 77.2 | 169.6 | +15.2 | 90% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.7 | 43.1 | 84.8 | -1.3 | 37% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.3 | 43.6 | 83.9 | -3.3 | 27% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.1 | 42.5 | 85.7 | +0.6 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.6 | 41.9 | 81.5 | -2.3 | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 44.4 | 79.4 | -9.4 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 37.1 | 49.1 | 86.2 | -12.0 | 0% | 44% |
| vs Similar (6) | 44.3 | 36.0 | 80.3 | +8.3 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 43.5 | 42.3 | 85.7 | +1.2 | 47% | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.4 | 43.2 | 86.6 | +0.2 | 47% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.7 | 41.1 | 87.8 | +5.7 | 67% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.1 | 45.3 | 85.4 | -5.3 | 27% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.6 | 45.8 | 89.4 | -2.2 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.2 | 41.8 | 92.0 | +8.4 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 41.2 | 46.3 | 87.5 | -5.1 | 27% | 67% |
| vs Similar (5) | 39.8 | 39.6 | 79.4 | +0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 48.5 | 40.3 | 88.8 | +8.2 | 80% | 70% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsens over 84.5 | 81.8% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Horsens over 82.5 | 86.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Won |
| Horsens over 86.5 | 76.0% | 1.44 | 1.52 | 1.45 | 1.34 | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Horsens over 80.5 | 90.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Horsens over 79.5 | 92.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Horsens over 78.5 | 93.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Over 159.5 | 71.9% | 1.52 | 1.54 | 1.53 | 1.49 | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 77.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 74.0% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Horsens over 87.5 | 72.8% | 1.46 | 1.53 | 1.44 | 1.40 | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 81.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| Horsens over 85.5 | 79.0% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Horsens over 76.5 | 95.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Horsens over 81.5 | 88.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Horsens over 83.5 | 84.4% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 88.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Horsens over 74.5 | 97.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Horsens over 72.5 | 98.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Horsens over 70.5 | 98.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Horsens -9.5 | 77.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Over 157.5 | 75.9% | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Horsens over 77.5 | 94.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Horsens over 75.5 | 96.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Horsens -10.5 | 74.7% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Lost |
| Horsens over 73.5 | 97.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Horsens -11.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.31 | - | - | +7.1pp | Lost |
| Horsens over 71.5 | 98.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 93.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Horsens -6.5 | 84.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Horsens (regulation) | 92.9% | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Horsens win | 93.9% | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.04 | +5.1pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 95.5 | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Horsens +3.5 | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Horsens +8.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 85.5 | 84.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 94.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Horsens -1.5 | 93.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 96.5 | 97.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 84.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 90.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 92.5 | 95.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 92.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 93.5 | 95.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 94.5 | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 90.5 | 92.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 88.5 | 90.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 87.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 80.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 86.5 | 86.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 83.5 | 79.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Lost |
| Bears Academy under 84.5 | 81.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 70.3% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 89.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Bears Academy under 82.5 | 76.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Lost |
| Horsens under 100.5 | 76.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -3.3pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 83.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.9pp | Won |
| Horsens under 99.5 | 72.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 74.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -7.0pp | Won |
| Over 160 | 71.3% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.1 | 16.6 | 55.2% | 33.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 37.8 | 11.3 | 31.2% | 33.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.7 | 12.8 | 68.0% | 12.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 21.5 | 55.2% | 43.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.9 | 8.9 | 31.2% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.2 | 14.8 | 68.0% | 14.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/12/25 | Bears Academy v Horsens | 92-99 |
| 30/10/25 | Horsens v Bears Academy | 95-67 |
| 28/01/25 | Bears Academy v Horsens | 75-87 |
| 03/11/24 | Horsens v Bears Academy | 80-75 |
| 15/02/24 | Horsens v Bears Academy | 86-66 |
| 19/11/23 | Bears Academy v Horsens | 56-88 |
| 21/12/22 | Horsens v Bears Academy | 80-63 |
| 06/10/22 | Bears Academy v Horsens | 71-82 |
| 14/04/22 | Horsens v Bears Academy | 97-73 |
| 21/03/22 | Bears Academy v Horsens | 84-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 | A | Team FOG Naestved | 80-113 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Svendborg | 82-97 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Copenhagen | 66-78 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Holbaek-Stenhus | 67-88 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Randers | 73-117 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Bakken Bears | 84-108 |
| 24/09/26 | A | Vejen | 92-60 |
| 20/09/26 | H | BMS Herlev | 75-82 |
| 28/04/26 | A | Vaerlose | 91-70 |
| 21/04/26 | H | Vejen | 91-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 | A | Vejen | 102-66 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Randers | 94-84 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Holbaek-Stenhus | 97-83 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Copenhagen | 80-69 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Vaerlose | 99-79 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Team FOG Naestved | 73-101 |
| 24/09/26 | A | Bakken Bears | 64-83 |
| 17/09/26 | A | Svendborg | 92-70 |
| 14/05/26 | A | Svendborg | 78-103 |
| 04/05/26 | A | Bakken Bears | 67-110 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 12% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | WLLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| Points / game | 77.4 | 75.0 | 78.8 |
| Allowed / game | 92.9 | 89.3 | 95.0 |
| Point differential | -15.5 | -14.3 | -16.2 |
| Avg total | 170.2 | 164.3 | 173.8 |
| Over 169.25 | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 75% |
| Home | LWWW | 75% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Points / game | 87.6 | 90.8 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 79.4 | 86.8 | 72.0 |
| Point differential | +8.2 | +4.0 | +12.5 |
| Avg total | 167.0 | 177.5 | 156.5 |
| Over 169.25 | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 103.8 | 70.2 | +33.5 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 105.6 | 76.1 | +29.4 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 91.1 | 82.5 | +8.6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 87.6 | 79.4 | +8.2 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 95.2 | 85.8 | +9.5 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.9 | 81.6 | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.1 | 89.1 | -13.0 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.4 | 92.0 | -9.6 | |
| 9 | Gladsaxe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.9 | 90.0 | -12.1 |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 81.0 | 95.5 | -14.5 | |
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 77.4 | 92.9 | -15.5 | |
| 12 | BMS Herlev | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 77.0 | 98.1 | -21.1 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 12 | 21 | 30 | 84 | |
| 25 | 22 | 19 | 27 | 93 |
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