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Svendborg vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 103-78
23-22 27-22 28-14 25-20
Position#3
Record24-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#5
Record22-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game80.5
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - 3rd place· Arena Svendborg
Other2025-26
Meetings · Svendborg v Horsens
17 Sep 2026
SVEN70
HORS92
14 May 2026
SVEN103
HORS78
06 Apr 2026
SVEN68
HORS67
18 Dec 2025
SVEN69
HORS62
07 Apr 2025
SVEN91
HORS61
07 Nov 2024
SVEN78
HORS67
11 Mar 2024
SVEN76
HORS83
14 Sep 2023
SVEN80
HORS77
06 Mar 2023
SVEN91
HORS93
30 Nov 2022
SVEN84
HORS88
05 May 2022
SVEN85
HORS78
28 Apr 2022
SVEN73
HORS72
22 Apr 2022
SVEN79
HORS88
07 Mar 2022
SVEN92
HORS81
15 Dec 2021
SVEN105
HORS96
03 Feb 2021
SVEN72
HORS76
26 Oct 2020
SVEN101
HORS97
25 Jan 2020
SVEN76
HORS82
14 Dec 2019
SVEN83
HORS88
11 Mar 2019
SVEN75
HORS86
12 Dec 2018
SVEN64
HORS106
09 Nov 2017
SVEN64
HORS77
05 Jan 2017
SVEN69
HORS68
21 Nov 2016
SVEN67
HORS75
14 Nov 2016
SVEN77
HORS83
27 Jan 2016
SVEN72
HORS85
14 Dec 2015
SVEN65
HORS79
03 Nov 2015
SVEN73
HORS100
20 Apr 2015
SVEN76
HORS69
13 Apr 2015
SVEN65
HORS86
17 Nov 2014
SVEN69
HORS91
25 Apr 2014
SVEN66
HORS82
10 Mar 2014
SVEN96
HORS79
21 Nov 2013
SVEN79
HORS78
22 Sep 2012
SVEN97
HORS87
18 Feb 2012
SVEN87
HORS97
10 Nov 2011
SVEN75
HORS74
28 Mar 2011
SVEN91
HORS65
21 Mar 2011
SVEN94
HORS84
09 Oct 2010
SVEN82
HORS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H26/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A30/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H06/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H09/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A17/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H20/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
101-88
101
88
+13
A27/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H30/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
87-111
87
111
-24
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H07/05
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
17-19
18-19
17-23
23-22
26-25
20-28
21-17
20-19
19-17
12-10
17-21
15-14
13-19
20-20
25-15
23-21
26-31
13-27
16-17
20-19
21-13
27-19
17-18
24-28
21-22
28-24
28-14
19-19
17-23
9-15
18-18
32-31
27-19
10-29
18-32
18-19
17-28
20-22
25-26
163.5Avg total
79.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)90.578.6169.1+11.967%
Season at home (18)87.273.1160.3+14.172%
Season away (18)93.984.1177.9+9.861%
Last 10 (10)79.484.1163.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)83.287.6170.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.782.7172.3+7.067%
vs Similar (8)84.993.6178.5-8.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.870.2162.1+21.684%
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A23/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A29/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A06/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H10/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A16/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
103-82
103
82
+21
H20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
64-103
64
103
-39
H30/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-110
67
110
-43
A04/05
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
20-20
12-13
25-21
21-16
26-18
25-26
21-22
19-19
19-28
19-10
29-22
19-20
17-19
10-12
21-17
23-15
21-14
19-25
24-28
19-21
17-22
26-19
27-24
29-29
25-17
26-28
23-8
23-30
15-19
19-22
22-18
18-31
24-21
15-20
7-31
20-26
11-30
12-28
24-26
167.5Avg total
81.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.480.5165.9+4.963%
Season at home (17)88.280.5168.7+7.671%
Season away (18)82.880.4163.3+2.456%
Last 10 (10)81.286.3167.5-5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.494.0174.4-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.987.7169.6-5.936%
vs Similar (4)79.082.8161.8-3.825%
vs Weaker (12)90.775.9166.6+14.892%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
SvendborgHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A30/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H06/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H09/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H20/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A27/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/05
Basketligaen
84.2Avg total
41.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.339.485.7+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.935.179.1+8.862%-
Last 30 away (14)49.044.293.2+4.864%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.784.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.287.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.741.384.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (8)44.848.493.1-3.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.535.382.8+12.374%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A23/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A29/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A06/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H10/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A16/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H30/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A04/05
Basketligaen
84.9Avg total
40.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.837.784.5+9.180%-
Last 30 away (15)38.845.183.9-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.384.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.249.289.4-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.544.985.4-4.429%-
vs Similar (4)38.040.578.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (12)47.137.784.8+9.492%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.7
48.9%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.9
28.7%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.514.3
69.8%
70.1%14.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.824.1
56.3%
54.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.2
26.5%
32.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws24.514.2
58.0%
70.1%14.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
LLLWWLWWLL
Horsens
LLLWWWLWWL
#3
League position
#5
-5.1
Net rating
-5.9
86.6
Offensive rating
91.4
91.7
Defensive rating
97.2
46.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.7%
3-point %
26.5%
55.2%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 91.4Defence91.7 · 97.2Shooting46.6% · 50.5%3-point %28.7% · 26.5%Ball care13.6% · 14.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Svendborg   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Svendborg wins
6
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
06/04/26Svendborg v Horsens68-67
16/03/26Horsens v Svendborg92-74
18/12/25Svendborg v Horsens69-62
17/10/25Horsens v Svendborg76-72
07/04/25Svendborg v Horsens91-61
03/03/25Horsens v Svendborg84-74
03/02/25Horsens v Svendborg75-72
07/11/24Svendborg v Horsens78-67
10/05/24Horsens v Svendborg94-87
05/04/24Horsens v Svendborg80-70
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26HTeam FOG Naestved80-95
04/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved87-111
30/04/26HTeam FOG Naestved63-75
27/04/26ATeam FOG Naestved101-88
20/04/26HBakken Bears85-69
17/04/26ARanders78-96
09/04/26HCopenhagen73-68
06/04/26HHorsens68-67
30/03/26ATeam FOG Naestved90-92
26/03/26HRanders69-80
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/26ABakken Bears67-110
30/04/26HBakken Bears64-103
27/04/26ABakken Bears79-89
20/04/26HTeam FOG Naestved103-82
16/04/26ABakken Bears89-86
10/04/26HRanders87-82
06/04/26ASvendborg67-68
29/03/26ACopenhagen86-79
26/03/26HBakken Bears93-82
23/03/26ARanders77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWWWLL72%
AwayWLLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %67%72%61%
Points / game90.587.293.9
Allowed / game78.673.184.1
Point differential+11.9+14.1+9.8
Avg total169.1160.3177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL63%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%71%56%
Points / game85.488.282.8
Allowed / game80.580.580.4
Point differential+4.9+7.6+2.4
Avg total165.9168.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears3529683%99.977.4+22.5
2 Team FOG Naestved3628878%101.689.6+12.0
3 Svendborg36241267%90.578.6+11.9
4 Randers32211166%93.685.8+7.8
5 Horsens35221363%85.480.5+4.9
6 Vaerlose33171652%79.889.1-9.3
7 Copenhagen32141844%86.387.2-0.9
8 Bears Academy33141942%83.689.9-6.3
9 Vejen32102231%79.990.4-10.4
10 BMS Herlev2261627%78.092.1-14.2
11 Holbaek-Stenhus3272522%81.592.7-11.2
12 Herlev Wolfpack102820%77.290.2-13.0
13 Amager3262619%82.394.7-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg23272825103
Horsens2222142078
← all games of the day
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