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Bears Academy vs Svendborg Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 76-94
Projected total 170.9
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game92.6
Vs
94%
■ BEAR 6%■ SVEN 94%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game79.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bears Academy v Svendborg
18 Nov 2026
BEAR v SVEN
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
BEAR71
SVEN119
05 Oct 2024
BEAR78
SVEN87
16 Nov 2023
BEAR60
SVEN86
21 Oct 2022
BEAR65
SVEN81
16 Mar 2022
BEAR81
SVEN100
05 Dec 2021
BEAR81
SVEN87
04 Dec 2020
BEAR69
SVEN82
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Bears Academy will host Svendborg in the Basketligaen on 18 November 2026, with the model designating Svendborg as the clear favourite thanks to their 8-2 record, 90.6 points per game and only 79.7 allowed, compared with Bears Academy's 1-9 record, 78.8 points scored and 92.6 allowed; the latter's home form is 0-4, while Svendborg's road record is 4-1. Bears Academy's last five games have yielded no wins, including losses to Gladsaxe 85-90, Horsens 84-93 and Team FOG Naestved 80-113, whereas Svendborg has won four of five, with recent victories over BMS Herlev 91-78, Vaerlose 86-59 and Copenhagen 103-98. In their ten previous matchups, Svendborg has won all ten, most recently defeating Bears Academy 97-82 on 23 October. Pythia projects a 76-94 score, with a 6% chance of a Bears Academy win and a 94% chance of a Svendborg win, a projected total of 170.9 points and a 1% probability of overtime. The game is expected to be a decisive showcase of Svendborg's offensive dominance over Bears Academy's struggling defence.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bears Academy win
6.1%fair 16.34
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg win
93.9%fair 1.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 75
H20/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
W
92-60
92
60
+32
91avg 75
A24/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
84-108
84
108
-24
61avg 75
H27/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
73-117
73
117
-44
61avg 75
A03/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
67-88
67
88
-21
51avg 75
A10/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 75
H17/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
82-97
82
97
-15
68avg 75
A23/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
80-113
80
113
-33
68avg 75
A28/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
84-93
84
93
-9
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A07/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
24-25
18-19
19-12
23-13
22-10
28-13
19-24
16-23
20-24
22-33
26-28
16-21
22-24
15-38
20-34
14-15
21-24
14-21
18-28
13-19
19-15
16-18
18-26
12-16
23-32
22-25
25-24
15-35
20-21
26-25
19-32
21-25
12-22
21-19
30-27
16-35
27-21
16-16
26-18
171.4Avg total
78.8Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.892.6171.4-13.810%
Season at home (4)77.290.2167.5-13.00%
Season away (6)79.894.2174.0-14.317%
Last 10 (10)78.892.6171.4-13.810%
Last 5 (5)79.494.2173.6-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.6101.9179.5-24.30%
vs Similar (5)81.072.8153.8+8.260%
vs Weaker (15)90.379.7170.0+10.773%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 83
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 83
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
79avg 83
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
W
102-74
102
74
+28
107avg 83
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 83
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 83
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
97-82
97
82
+15
103avg 83
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
100avg 83
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
25-16
13-23
19-29
10-22
33-15
29-25
24-21
20-29
22-20
22-16
22-10
28-17
27-18
25-15
22-24
27-23
22-12
20-22
23-13
18-28
16-22
21-15
28-21
16-12
32-23
25-22
24-25
22-30
25-17
23-22
23-24
26-16
24-15
18-17
18-11
20-25
23-11
22-16
26-26
170.3Avg total
90.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Season at home (5)88.276.4164.6+11.880%
Season away (5)93.083.0176.0+10.080%
Last 10 (10)90.679.7170.3+10.980%
Last 5 (5)92.080.6172.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.077.7161.7+6.367%
vs Similar (8)83.890.2174.0-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.676.4168.1+15.284%
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
62.9%
Under 165.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
50.8%
Under 170.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
38.6%
Under 175.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bears Academy total 82
Over 82
27.9%
Under 82
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bears Academy total 86
Over 86
16.2%
Under 86
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bears Academy total 90
Over 90
8.5%
Under 90
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Svendborg total 80.5
Over 80.5
92.0%
Under 80.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Svendborg total 84.5
Over 84.5
84.3%
Under 84.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Svendborg total 88.5
Over 88.5
72.7%
Under 88.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bears Academy -3
BEAR -3
4.0%
SVEN +3
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
BEAR
No market prices yet.
SVEN
No market prices yet.
Spread Bears Academy 0
BEAR 0
6.1%
SVEN 0
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
BEAR
No market prices yet.
SVEN
No market prices yet.
Spread Bears Academy +3
BEAR +3
8.6%
SVEN -3
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
BEAR
No market prices yet.
SVEN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
Bears AcademySvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#12
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H20/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A24/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H27/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A03/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A23/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A28/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H04/11
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A07/11
Basketligaen
81.6Avg total
37.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.284.5-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.343.382.6-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)43.443.086.4+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)37.044.681.6-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)35.648.283.8-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.149.485.5-13.30%-
vs Similar (5)45.433.478.8+12.080%-
vs Weaker (15)43.542.385.7+1.247%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A31/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A12/11
Basketligaen
84.4Avg total
44.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.685.4+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.881.8+6.156%-
Last 30 away (14)45.943.889.6+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.584.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.041.777.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.444.187.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.838.985.8+7.963%-
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.6
48.7%
55.2%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.811.3
29.9%
31.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.712.8
61.8%
68.0%12.8
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.1
58.2%
55.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.1
30.6%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.318.3
72.3%
68.0%18.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bears Academy
LLLLLLLLWL
Svendborg
WWWWLWWWWL
#11
League position
#4
-9.7
Net rating
+8.0
82.3
Offensive rating
97.2
92.0
Defensive rating
89.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.9%
3-point %
30.6%
68.8%
Assist %
62.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence82.3 · 97.2Defence92.0 · 89.2Shooting46.7% · 53.4%3-point %29.9% · 30.6%Ball care18.0% · 15.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Bears Academy   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bears Academy wins
10
Svendborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AGladsaxe85-90
04/11/26HHorsens84-93
28/10/26ATeam FOG Naestved80-113
23/10/26ASvendborg82-97
17/10/26HCopenhagen66-78
10/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus67-88
03/10/26ARanders73-117
27/09/26HBakken Bears84-108
24/09/26AVejen92-60
20/09/26HBMS Herlev75-82
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ABMS Herlev91-78
08/11/26HVaerlose86-59
31/10/26ACopenhagen103-98 OT
23/10/26HBears Academy97-82
15/10/26ATeam FOG Naestved83-86
07/10/26AGladsaxe92-70
02/10/26HVejen102-74
26/09/26HHolbaek-Stenhus86-75
23/09/26ARanders96-83
17/09/26HHorsens70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%0%17%
Points / game78.877.279.8
Allowed / game92.690.294.2
Point differential-13.8-13.0-14.3
Avg total171.4167.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.688.293.0
Allowed / game79.776.483.0
Point differential+10.9+11.8+10.0
Avg total170.3164.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears87188%102.076.6+25.4
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen95456%84.081.6+2.4
7 Holbaek-Stenhus104640%77.187.4-10.3
8 Vejen93633%80.993.6-12.7
9 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
10 Vaerlose102820%78.091.7-13.7
11 Bears Academy101910%78.892.6-13.8
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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