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Svendborg vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 86-75
20-29 22-20 22-16 22-10
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#7
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game108.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Svendborg
Other2026-27
Meetings · Svendborg v Holbaek-Stenhus
26 Sep 2026
SVEN86
HOLB75
16 Jan 2026
SVEN103
HOLB42
28 Sep 2024
SVEN80
HOLB70
30 Dec 2023
SVEN115
HOLB77
28 Jan 2023
SVEN88
HOLB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
W
73-68
73
68
+5
59avg 83
H09/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
78-96
78
96
-18
66avg 83
A17/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
85-69
85
69
+16
78avg 83
H20/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
101-88
101
88
+13
90avg 83
A27/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
47avg 83
H30/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
87-111
87
111
-24
74avg 83
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
57avg 83
H07/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
103-78
103
78
+25
98avg 83
H14/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 83
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 83
A23/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
13-19
20-20
25-15
23-21
26-31
13-27
16-17
20-19
21-13
27-19
17-18
24-28
21-22
28-24
28-14
19-19
17-23
9-15
18-18
32-31
27-19
10-29
18-32
18-19
17-28
20-22
25-26
23-22
27-22
28-14
25-20
13-24
25-16
13-23
19-29
10-22
33-15
29-25
24-21
169.1Avg total
83.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.087.5170.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)70.092.0162.0-22.00%
Season away (1)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.685.5169.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)87.291.8179.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.782.7172.3+7.067%
vs Similar (9)85.290.9176.1-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.071.9163.9+20.183%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 69
A14/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 69
H21/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
65avg 69
A28/03
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
no box
A01/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
86-98
86
98
-12
69avg 69
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
85-101
85
101
-16
75avg 69
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 69
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 69
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
67avg 69
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
56-117
56
117
-61
40avg 69
A24/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
23-13
18-24
23-16
18-12
15-30
32-27
25-24
24-23
13-20
21-15
22-29
16-24
24-18
14-9
26-14
23-21
18-27
28-17
17-33
20-23
32-21
18-27
15-30
24-25
19-25
29-20
31-13
12-24
23-23
26-19
22-23
22-21
32-33
12-26
18-20
21-27
10-32
10-27
15-31
174.4Avg total
83.1Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.0108.5178.5-38.50%
Season at home (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
Season away (1)56.0117.0173.0-61.00%
Last 10 (10)83.191.3174.4-8.230%
Last 5 (5)82.298.0180.2-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.2100.4175.6-25.26%
vs Similar (14)88.085.7173.7+2.343%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
SvendborgHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H09/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H20/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A27/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A04/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/09
Basketligaen
85.1Avg total
42.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.039.585.5+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.936.580.4+7.459%-
Last 30 away (13)48.843.592.3+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.785.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.688.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.741.384.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (9)44.145.289.3-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.636.383.9+11.272%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H21/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A28/03
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A24/09
Basketligaen
87.8Avg total
40.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.546.587.0-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.046.588.5-4.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.146.485.5-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.987.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)43.050.893.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.650.189.8-10.525%-
vs Similar (14)41.642.383.9-0.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.4
50.4%
55.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.0
29.7%
31.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.316.7
71.7%
68.0%16.7
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.1
50.3%
55.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.0
30.4%
31.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
68.0%14.4
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WLWLLLWWLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLWLLWLLW
#4
League position
#7
-2.2
Net rating
-11.1
91.1
Offensive rating
87.5
93.3
Defensive rating
98.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
30.4%
55.4%
Assist %
43.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 87.5Defence93.3 · 98.7Shooting48.1% · 48.6%3-point %29.7% · 30.4%Ball care12.8% · 17.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Svendborg   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Svendborg wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26ARanders96-83
17/09/26HHorsens70-92
14/05/26HHorsens103-78
07/05/26HTeam FOG Naestved80-95
04/05/26ATeam FOG Naestved87-111
30/04/26HTeam FOG Naestved63-75
27/04/26ATeam FOG Naestved101-88
20/04/26HBakken Bears85-69
17/04/26ARanders78-96
09/04/26HCopenhagen73-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26ATeam FOG Naestved56-117
17/09/26HRanders84-100
23/04/26HVaerlose83-89
17/04/26AVejen103-83
12/04/26HBears Academy85-101
08/04/26AAmager86-98
01/04/26ABMS Herlev80-65
28/03/26AVaerlose80-87
21/03/26HVejen90-93
14/03/26ABears Academy84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.070.096.0
Allowed / game87.592.083.0
Point differential-4.5-22.0+13.0
Avg total170.5162.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.084.056.0
Allowed / game108.5100.0117.0
Point differential-38.5-16.0-61.0
Avg total178.5184.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved110100%117.056.0+61.0
2 Bakken Bears110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Copenhagen110100%88.074.0+14.0
4 Bears Academy21150%83.571.0+12.5
5 Gladsaxe21150%90.079.0+11.0
6 Horsens21150%78.076.5+1.5
7 Randers21150%91.590.0+1.5
8 Vaerlose21150%81.083.0-2.0
9 Svendborg21150%83.087.5-4.5
10 BMS Herlev21150%76.088.5-12.5
11 Vejen1010%60.092.0-32.0
12 Holbaek-Stenhus2020%70.0108.5-38.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2022222286
Holbaek-Stenhus2920161075
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