PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Belfius Mons vs Leuven Bears Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 72-84
Projected total 155.7
Scheduled
Position#16
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game89.4
Vs
15%
85%
■ BMO 15%■ LEUV 85%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
7.0/10
🔥 Hot
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeBNXT League· Mons.Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Belfius Mons v Leuven Bears
21 Nov 2026
BMO v LEUV
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
BMO63
LEUV93
15 Feb 2025
BMO85
LEUV71
03 May 2024
BMO85
LEUV70
20 Oct 2023
BMO68
LEUV75
04 Oct 2023
BMO71
LEUV83
13 Jan 2023
BMO71
LEUV93
28 May 2022
BMO74
LEUV69
24 Sep 2021
BMO71
LEUV68
18 Jan 2020
BMO72
LEUV99
02 Nov 2019
BMO82
LEUV99
30 Apr 2019
BMO77
LEUV76
10 Nov 2018
BMO85
LEUV66
12 May 2018
BMO104
LEUV96
11 Nov 2017
BMO90
LEUV75
11 Mar 2017
BMO89
LEUV81
22 Oct 2016
BMO77
LEUV75
04 May 2016
BMO75
LEUV60
19 Mar 2016
BMO80
LEUV57
21 Feb 2015
BMO77
LEUV59
22 Mar 2014
BMO74
LEUV66
09 Nov 2013
BMO83
LEUV86
15 May 2013
BMO86
LEUV46
09 Feb 2013
BMO89
LEUV75
13 Oct 2012
BMO90
LEUV83
09 May 2012
BMO83
LEUV69
12 Nov 2011
BMO86
LEUV76
21 May 2011
BMO85
LEUV74
17 May 2011
BMO81
LEUV54
07 May 2011
BMO96
LEUV65
06 Nov 2010
BMO98
LEUV83
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Belfius Mons host Leuven Bears in the BNXT League. Pythia makes Leuven Bears the favourite at 85% and projects 72-84, about 156 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Belfius Mons are 0-7 this season (66.9 scored, 89.4 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Leuven Bears are 3-4 this season (69.9 scored, 74.6 allowed a game), form WWLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belfius Mons win
14.7%fair 6.80
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears win
85.3%fair 1.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMons
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
76-116
76
116
-40
71avg 69
H02/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
79-101
79
101
-22
70avg 69
H06/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
57-107
57
107
-50
48avg 69
A09/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
63-100
63
100
-37
43avg 69
H03/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
60-98
60
98
-38
43avg 69
A09/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
57-74
57
74
-17
44avg 69
H17/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
77-89
77
89
-12
68avg 69
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 69
A31/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
79-99
79
99
-20
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
63-83
63
83
-20
no box
A13/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
15-39
18-17
15-31
20-32
19-26
20-18
20-25
17-27
15-19
6-24
19-37
5-22
19-26
23-27
16-25
22-26
8-24
15-25
15-23
15-24
15-15
15-17
12-18
19-20
17-15
22-30
19-24
21-22
23-22
5-25
20-14
21-27
26-20
22-21
10-31
14-16
14-24
22-18
13-25
163.0Avg total
68.0Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.989.4156.3-22.60%
Season at home (3)66.391.0157.3-24.70%
Season away (4)67.288.2155.5-21.00%
Last 10 (10)68.095.0163.0-27.00%
Last 5 (5)69.085.6154.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.692.9168.5-17.211%
vs Similar (1)64.077.0141.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (2)73.082.0155.0-9.050%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 71
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 71
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 71
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 71
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 71
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
72-69
72
69
+3
72avg 71
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 71
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
54-66
54
66
-12
45avg 71
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
11-11
14-14
17-22
25-17
21-16
12-15
18-18
3-17
14-15
33-31
17-19
17-21
25-25
11-23
12-20
20-23
146.6Avg total
72.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.974.6144.4-4.743%
Season at home (4)69.072.2141.2-3.275%
Season away (3)71.077.7148.7-6.70%
Last 10 (10)72.174.5146.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)68.475.2143.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.081.6157.6-5.638%
vs Similar (11)74.275.1149.3-0.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.375.2158.5+8.267%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
42.8%
Under 158.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
31.4%
Under 163.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
21.5%
Under 168.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Belfius Mons total 79.5
Over 79.5
22.5%
Under 79.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belfius Mons total 83.5
Over 83.5
12.9%
Under 83.5
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belfius Mons total 87.5
Over 87.5
6.8%
Under 87.5
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leuven Bears total 76
Over 76
79.3%
Under 76
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leuven Bears total 80
Over 80
65.7%
Under 80
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leuven Bears total 84
Over 84
49.4%
Under 84
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Belfius Mons -3
BMO -3
10.1%
LEUV +3
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
BMO
No market prices yet.
LEUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Belfius Mons 0
BMO 0
14.7%
LEUV 0
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
BMO
No market prices yet.
LEUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Belfius Mons +3
BMO +3
19.8%
LEUV -3
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
BMO
No market prices yet.
LEUV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -9.4-9.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -9.4-9.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
Belfius MonsLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H02/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H06/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H03/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A09/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H17/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A31/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H07/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A13/11
BNXT League
82.8Avg total
35.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.244.482.6-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.345.586.9-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)35.043.378.3-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)35.347.582.8-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.078.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.444.883.2-6.422%-
vs Similar (1)32.042.074.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (2)38.040.578.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/11
BNXT League
73.3Avg total
36.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.7+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.878.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.976.5-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.273.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.073.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.941.682.5-0.754%-
vs Similar (11)36.534.971.4+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.735.078.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.1
51.5%
53.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.9
30.3%
32.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.411.8
64.1%
71.0%11.8
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.111.7
61.3%
71.0%11.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belfius Mons
LLLLLLLLLL
Leuven Bears
LLLWWLWWWL
#16
League position
#12
-30.8
Net rating
+1.6
77.2
Offensive rating
84.4
108.0
Defensive rating
82.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
60.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
22.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.3%
3-point %
28.7%
54.6%
Assist %
57.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence77.2 · 84.4Defence108.0 · 82.7Shooting49.0% · 50.1%3-point %30.3% · 28.7%Ball care22.9% · 19.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Belfius Mons   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Belfius Mons wins
7
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AKortrijk63-83
07/11/26HLeiden79-99
31/10/26AOkapi Aalst69-83
25/10/26ARotterdam77-89
17/10/26HZwolle57-74
09/10/26ASpirou Charleroi60-98
03/10/26HAntwerp Giants63-100
09/05/26ADen Bosch57-107
06/05/26HSpirou Charleroi79-101
02/05/26HAntwerp Giants76-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMechelen68-91
08/11/26ADen Bosch81-86
31/10/26AOostende54-66
24/10/26HLeiden67-64
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belfius Mons
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.966.367.2
Allowed / game89.491.088.2
Point differential-22.6-24.7-21.0
Avg total156.3157.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game69.969.071.0
Allowed / game74.672.277.7
Point differential-4.7-3.2-6.7
Avg total144.4141.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.